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1987 (33)

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The arms debate and the Third World : have we learned from Vietnam?
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Year: 1987 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : ©1987 RAND Corporation,

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Book
Misperceiving the terrorist threat
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Year: 1987 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation,

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Although much attention has been focused recently on international terrorism, there has been little discussion about whether or not terrorism actually threatens vital U.S. interests. This report, a version of which originally appeared in the Summer 1987 issue of Foreign Policy, addresses the possibility that U.S. decisionmakers have misperceived the threat of terrorism, treating each incident as a "crisis" and trying to design high-level policies for what are essentially low-level threats. The author suggests that counterterrorist strategy regarding those incidents that can be absorbed by the United States with minimal or no damage to national security should be guided by a different set of responses than those appropriate for incidents that truly threaten vital interests.


Book
Issues in international telecommunications : government regulation of Comsat
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Year: 1987 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation,

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"The question of government regulation of the Communications Satellite Corporation (Comsat) is paramount because of Comsat's market power in providing international satellite circuits to U.S. users. Comsat is the monopoly supplier of INTELSAT international satellite links. However, Comsat's satellite monopoly does not translate into a full monopoly of U.S.-overseas communications links, since undersea cable is a substitute. Taking into account advances in cable technology, and especially the introduction of fiber optics, Comsat's market power is being eroded and government regulation is becoming less important. However, the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) imposes circuit-loading restrictions that force AT & T to use a greater number of satellite circuits, essentially guaranteeing Comsat a portion of AT & T's traffic. This report discusses the history of the FCC's attempt to regulate Comsat, assesses FCC actions to reduce Comsat's market power, and evaluates the past effects of and future needs for such regulation."--Rand Abstracts


Book
The strategic nuclear debate
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ISBN: 0833008366 Year: 1987 Publisher: Santa Monica Rand Corporation

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Military spending in Eastern Europe
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Year: 1987 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation,

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This report provides military expenditure estimates for the Northern Tier countries of the Warsaw Pact (Czechoslovakia, the German Democratic Republic, and Poland) and Hungary, assesses the political and economic factors that determine these spending levels, and discusses the probable course of military spending in these countries over the next several years. These estimates suggest that the defense budgets reported by the East Europeans contain most major components of military spending. A statistical analysis of factors that may determine military spending levels indicates the primary determinant is available resources--i.e., utilized national income. The prospects for large surges in military spending in the next few years are therefore low.


Book
Soviet research on the transport of intense relativistic electron beams through high-pressure air
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Year: 1987 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation,

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Soviet research on the propagation of intense relativistic electron beams (IREB) through fairly high-pressure air (pressure range 0.1 to 760 Torr) since the early 1970s has included the study of the plasma channel created by the passage of the electron beam through air, the resistive hose instability and its effect on beam propagation, the effect of self-fields, current enhancement, gas expansion, return currents, inherent beam energy spread, and other factors. This report covers Soviet developments in IREB propagation through air where the beam is not focused by external magnetic fields. The information was obtained from Soviet open-source publications with emphasis given to the last ten years of beam propagation in the Soviet Union. The volume of papers published on this subject in recent years indicates a significant increase in Soviet research in this area.


Book
Extended deterrence and arms control : a conference report
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Year: 1987 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation,

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This report summarizes the presentations and discussions from a conference on Extended Deterrence and Arms Control held in San Diego, California, in March 1986. It focuses on the main issues related to Soviet policy toward the West, extended deterrence and Alliance strategy, and the role of arms control. Most participants agreed that it is in the West's interest to continue to pursue arms control agreements. They believe that although the West has had difficulty in translating its strategic objectives into an arms control strategy, changes can be made to improve the West's position. In the near term, it will be important to reestablish a more coherent link between arms control and the requirements for deterrence. An enduring challenge for the United States will be the need to reassure its European allies of its continued commitment to Alliance security if arms control should lead the two superpowers down the road toward significant nuclear-force reductions.


Book
The Soviet civilian leadership and the military high command, 1976-1986
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Year: 1987 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : ©1987 RAND Corporation,

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"This report charts the stormy course of high-level Soviet civil-military relations from 1976 to 1986; and it assesses the sources, dynamics, and implications of the policy debates and political conflicts that have occurred between members of the civilian leadership and members of the high command. In particular, the study examines the civil-military tensions generated by escalating disagreements over doctrine and resource allocations and the ways in which these tensions have influenced and been influenced by factional struggles and personnel changes within both the civilian leadership and the high command. It also seeks to determine whether the severe tensions of the past decade are temporary aberrations or whether they are likely to persist--and, if they persist, what that might portend by way of continuity or change in Soviet policies and priorities."--Rand abstracts


Book
United States policy toward Poland : a conference report
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Year: 1987 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation,

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On January 14-15, 1987, in Washington, D.C., The RAND Corporation convened a workshop conference on U.S. policy toward Poland. The purpose of the workshop was to assemble a group of academic specialists on Poland, present and former government officials, and representatives of the Polish emigre community to assess the Polish domestic situation and to consider premises and objectives of future policy toward Poland. This report summarizes the initial presentations and the ensuing discussions for each of the five workshop sessions.


Book
Ogarkov's complaint and Gorbachev's dilemma : the Soviet defense budget and party-military conflict
Authors: --- ---
Year: 1987 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation,

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This report attempts to illuminate the conflict within the Soviet Union between the Communist Party and the military high command over resource allocation in the early 1980s. It examines the measures of resource growth that the two sides could have used in the debate. It also considers Gorbachev's approach to the same problem in the last half of the 1980s and the connections between the two episodes. The author suggests that, in the future, Gorbachev's ability to maneuver may be limited by the growing harshness of military-Party relations. Furthermore, his failure to make good on his promises could aggravate the military-Party conflict.

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