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There have been enormous differences of opinion between U.S. and Japanese institutional investors about the outlook for stock prices, differences across the two countries in average one-year-ahead forecasts for the Japanese stock market as great as twenty percentage points. In the past two years most Japanese and U.S. institutional investors have had expectations for a reversal of trends in the stock market, and advised an investing strategy that depended on getting out of (or in to) the market before an anticipated market turnaround. These results, obtained from a number of questionnaire surveys in 1989 and 1990, help explain the relative lack of portfolio diversification across countries and show the short-term nature of speculative behavior.

Speculation.

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Commodity exchanges --- Options (Finance) --- Speculation --- Spéculation --- Spéculation --- MARCHES FINANCIERS --- OPTIONS --- FUTURS --- C.E.E.

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Money market. Capital market --- Japan --- Financial institutions --- Stock exchanges --- Institutions financières --- Bourse --- -Stock exchanges --- -Bulls and bears --- Commercial corners --- Corners, Commercial --- Equity markets --- Exchanges, Securities --- Exchanges, Stock --- Securities exchanges --- Stock-exchange --- Stock markets --- Capital market --- Efficient market theory --- Speculation --- Financial intermediaries --- Lending institutions --- Associations, institutions, etc. --- -Financial institutions --- Institutions financières --- Bulls and bears --- Financial institutions - Japan. --- Stock-exchange - Japan.

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Finance --- Investments --- Accounting --- Mathematical models --- Finances --- Investissements --- Comptabilité --- HW_AF --- Modèles mathématiques --- Périodiques. --- Funding --- Funds --- Investing --- Investment management --- Portfolio --- Accountancy --- Business enterprises --- Commerce --- Commercial accounting --- Financial accounting --- Mathematical models. --- Economics --- Currency question --- Disinvestment --- Loans --- Saving and investment --- Speculation --- Business --- Bookkeeping --- Financiering. --- Accountancy. --- Kwantitatieve methoden. --- Unternehmensfinanzierung. --- Portfolio-Management. --- Betriebliches Rechnungswesen. --- Theorie. --- USA. --- Periodicals.

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Commodity exchanges --- Commodity futures --- 339.54 --- Commodities futures --- Commodity futures contracts --- Commodity futures trading --- Futures, Commodity --- Futures --- Commodities exchange --- Commodity markets --- Exchanges, Commodity --- Exchanges, Produce --- Produce exchanges --- Futures market --- Commercial products --- Produce trade --- Speculation --- 339.54 Buitenlandse economische politiek. Buitenlandse handelspolitiek. Instrumentarium van de buitenlandse handel --- Buitenlandse economische politiek. Buitenlandse handelspolitiek. Instrumentarium van de buitenlandse handel --- Econometric models&delete& --- Congresses --- Foreign trade policy --- Econometric models