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Foreign exchange rates --- Foreign exchange administration

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Sovereign credit ratings play an important role in determining the terms and the extent to which countries have access to international capital markets. In principle, there is no reason why changes in sovereign credit ratings should be expected to systematically predict a currency crisis. In practice, however, in developing countries there is a strong link between currency crises and default. About 85 percent of all the defaults in the sample are linked with currency crises. The results presented here suggest that sovereign credit ratings systematically fail to anticipate currency crises--but do considerably better predicting defaults. Downgrades usually follow the currency crisis--possibly highlighting how currency instability increases default risk.

General --- Foreign Exchange

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Foreign exchange --- Hedging (Finance) --- Speculation

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Foreign exchange futures --- Tobin, James, - 1918-2002

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This book contains papers selected from the 25th Federation of ASEAN Economic Associations Annual Meeting, hosted by the Economic Society of Singapore on 7-8 September 2000, in Singapore. East and Southeast Asia had just emerged from the devastation of the Asian currency crisis of 1997-8. The theme of the conference was chosen to enable participants to examine macroeconomic policies, particularly fiscal, monetary and exchange rate policies that would enable their countries to sustain economic growth without the trauma of financial and currency crises. Prominent economists Ronald McKinnon (Stan

Monetary policy --- Finance --- Foreign exchange rates