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2021 (35)

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Book
Sierra Leone Public Expenditure Review 2021 : Sierra Leone Agriculture Sector Review.
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Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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At the request of the Government of Sierra Leone (GoSL), the World Bank is undertaking a programmatic Public Expenditure Review (PER) to analyze fiscal policy quality and provide policy advice to the GoSL with a focus on fiscal policy and public financial management. The analysis is also meant to inform World Bank projects and operations, other development partners, and the public. The activities of the Programmatic PER are and organized in two modules. The first module is an overview of public expenditure and a fiscal sustainability analysis. More specifically, it analyzes the composition of the budget (based on economic and functional classification) and fiscal sustainability and risks. The second module of the PER is comprised of four sector specific analyses: (i) health, (ii) education (iii) social protection, and (iv) agriculture. The selection of the specific sectors has been motivated by their low level of public spending (in absolute and relative terms), except for health, and low spending efficiency scores the country experiences in these sectors. The Agriculture Sector Public Expenditure and Institutional Review (AgPEIR) therefore constitutes part of the second module of the Programmatic PER. The AgPEIR covers core issues related to the level and quality of public spending in agriculture, which will help to identify the pathway to fiscal adjustment and management of medium to long-term expenditure constraints identified from the previous administration's budgetary details. The agriculture sector review identifies existing patterns of expenditures in core agriculture-related services and the functional institutional capacities in the sector. It is intended to help the new administration make evidence-based decisions on resource allocation by identifying historical patterns of expenditure, comparing these with sector achievements, and suggesting areas for improvements in expenditure management in the future.


Book
Realizing Scale in Smallholder-Based Agriculture : Policy Options for the Philippines.
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Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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In recent decades, the agriculture and fisheries sector in the Philippines has grown but has clearly not lived up to its potential. Philippine agriculture has weathered the impact of the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic better than the overall national economy. Recent government reports highlight the difficulty of modernizing Philippine agriculture under circumstances in which farmland is continuously fragmented, institutional arrangements for farm-to-market coordination and distribution are underdeveloped, and large parts of the food economy experience significant logistical bottlenecks and costs. This report combines results from three activities undertaken from mid-2020 to the first months of 2021. This report has five chapters. Chapter 2 reviews recent policy developments and some current priorities of the Department of Agriculture (DA). Chapter 3 describes the spatial analysis, highlighting the differences in agriculture's transformative potential in different regions of the country. Given that spatial strategies are a relatively new departure in Philippine agriculture, Chapter 4 draws on experience at the national and subnational levels of other Asian countries to derive positive lessons for implementing them in the Philippines.


Book
Angola Agriculture Support Policy Review : Realigning Agriculture Support Policies and Programs.
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Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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This report assesses agriculture policy support estimates in Angola. These estimates represent the monetary value assigned to different agriculture support policies and programs using the OECD methodology for the years 2018-2019. The advantages of using the OECD methodology are that: (a) it provides a systematic and integrated view of agriculture support policies and programs (not limited to the more traditional public expenditure reviews or rate of protection); (b) given the large number of countries using this same methodology to measure support estimates, an immediate benchmarking is possible across a large set of comparators; and (c) the methodology is simple and can be integrated into the agriculture public policy analysis conducted by the Government and other stakeholders. The methodology also has some disadvantages and limitations, mainly: (a) while it quantifies the level of support provided to producers and consumers, it does not further disaggregate support received by type of agricultural producers (small-scale, large-scale; family farm, commercial) or consumers; (b) since the estimates are based on the monetary value of budget and price support, non-monetary support, like the quality of policies, is not captured (e.g., the methodology is able to identify how much policy/program support is invested in land administration efforts, but unable to qualify the impact (quality) of those policies/programs). This assessment aims to support the Angolan Government in reviewing its agriculture policies and programs, in particular to: (a) provide new estimates and a new approach to assess sector support for policy decision-making; (b) allow for benchmarking agriculture support policies with a large global database of countries using the same estimate methodology; and (c) help kickstart a policy dialogue on realigning agriculture policies and programs in Angola towards greater sector competitiveness and fast economic recovery from the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, increased food security and nutrition outcomes, and climate sustainability through a build back better approach.


Book
Agricultural Data Collection to Minimize Measurement Error and Maximize Coverage
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Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Advances in agricultural data production provide ever-increasing opportunities for pushing the research frontier in agricultural economics and designing better agricultural policy. As new technologies present opportunities to create new and integrated data sources, researchers face trade-offs in survey design that may reduce measurement error or increase coverage. This paper first reviews the econometric and survey methodology literatures that focus on the sources of measurement error and coverage bias in agricultural data collection. Second, it provides examples of how agricultural data structure affects testable empirical models. Finally, it reviews the challenges and opportunities offered by technological innovation to meet old and new data demands and address key empirical questions, focusing on the scalable data innovations of greatest potential impact for empirical methods and research.


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Tajikistan Agrifood Sector and Public Expenditure Review.
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Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Tajikistan's agrifood system has had a steady and growing presence domestically and in the Central Asia region, but still faces many constraints. Agriculture is significantly affected by climate change due to the high vulnerability of its natural environment and the low adaptive capacity of both farmers and the public sector. Coronavirus (COVID-19) disruptions amplified the latter and highlighted the need for more constructive relationships between public policy and the private sector, not only to respond to imminent challenges brought by the current crisis, but also to implement longer-term solutions for resilient development. This report reviews key issues characterizing the agrifood sector in Tajikistan (Chapter 1), assesses how the agrifood sector fared in the face of COVID-19 (Chapter 2), and discusses key findings regarding agricultural public expenditure policies (Chapter 3). Chapter 4 presents recommendations for building a better future.


Book
Ukraine : Building Climate Resilience in Agriculture and Forestry.
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Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Ukraine has made impressive progress on key reforms and restored macro-financial stability, but weak growth and poverty remain a concern. Despite these economic challenges, Ukraine recognizes climate change as the most consequential factor this century, affecting the economy and future generations. This study is the first detailed assessment of the potential impacts of climate change on Ukraine, with a focus on agriculture, a key driver of the economy and jobs. The analysis provides an insight into the spatial dimension of climate change, how these changes would be experienced in different oblasts in the country. This report is supported by four background technical reports on climate projections, impact on agriculture, impact on forests and distributional analysis. In addition, climate datasets of over two terabytes generated for this assessment are housed at the Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Institute, Kyiv. The results of this study are expected to inform Ukraine's national adaptation strategy, which is now being finalized. This study also paves the way for the development of sub-national and sectoral adaptation strategies with the spatially disaggregated information that has been generated for all oblasts.


Book
Zambia's Farmer Input Support Program and Recommendations for Re-designing the Program.
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Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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This note provides recommendations for redesigning Zambia's Farmer Input Support Program (FISP) in the context of international experience with other similar programs, especially those in Africa. The objective of this note is to provide recommendations that can help in improving the current programs providing subsidized inputs to farmers, through enhancing the efficiency of the program, targeting the right beneficiaries, value perceived by beneficiary farmers, and probably bringing in savings. The note is a key deliverable under the Advisory Services work carried out by the Bank on strategies for food security in Zambia and Zimbabwe. This note has three sections following the summary: (i) a brief review of the evidence generated on input subsidy programs; (ii) specific recommendations for Zambia's Farmers Input Support Program, and (iii) recommendations on complementary investments.


Book
Improving Governance of Indonesia's Peatlands and Other Lowland Ecosystems.
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Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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The report aims to advance a policy dialogue on how to address sustainability challenges from lowland developments. The specific approach discussed in this report is the "landscape approach" which, in turn, calls for improved "landscape governance." As a technical background study, the report serves four functions. First, it summarizes the principles of a landscape approach, elaborated in the context of Indonesia's lowlands through two previous technical studies. Second, it takes stock of current governance challenges in Indonesia's lowlands, focusing on those related to the government sector, and discusses how these challenges currently prevent a landscape approach from being implemented in Indonesia's lowlands. Third, it reviews Indonesia's recent efforts to address the governance challenges in the management of peatlands and other lowland ecosystems. Fourth, it offers recommendations on options to improve lowland governance in order to shift toward integrated management of Indonesia's lowlands based on a landscape approach.The report focuses on the lowland areas in eight fire-prone provinces, and on key landscape governance issues related to peatlands. Indonesia suffered many years of repeated fires and haze crises, with landmark events in 1982/83, 1997/98, 2002, 2006, 2009, and 2015. The 2015 El Nino-driven fires were particularly extensive and costly. Almost 80 percent of the 2015-16 fires occurred within the lowland areas in eight fire-prone provinces-Central Kalimantan, East Kalimantan, Jambi, Papua, Riau, South Kalimantan, South Sumatra, and West Kalimantan-which together account for 87 percent of lowland areas nationally. The report highlights the importance of sustainable landscape management of lowland areas, particularly of the peatlands within lowland boundaries, for achieving the Government of Indonesia's objective in preventing land and forest fires.


Book
Uzbekistan : Second Agricultural Public Expenditure Review
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Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Public expenditures matter a lot for agricultural growth, food and nutrition security, sustainable food systems, and other interlinked developmental outcomes. The level of agricultural public spending is important as small budgets can rarely deliver results, let alone drive any transformation of the sector. Yet, global experience clearly shows that although greater spending on agriculture is important, it does not always guarantee better outcomes unless: (i) funds are allocated to the 'right' programs and functions, which help address market failures and deliver public goods (i.e., allocative efficiency); (ii) the right programs are being implemented well (i.e. implementation efficiency); and (iii) public expenditures are supported by market-friendly agricultural policies (i.e., no agricultural price distortions). Spending more on agriculture without making progress on all the above-mentioned conditions is not recommended, because higher public spending without progress on agricultural development could result in fiscal, inflation, exchange rate, and other macroeconomic risks, which would backfire on the agriculture sector itself in the medium to long run. The quality of public spending is, therefore, an important issue, which has become even more urgent during and in the aftermath of the COVID-19 crisis. The crisis required Uzbekistan to make substantial unforeseen public expenditures, which resulted in the larger public borrowing and lower fiscal space in the future. This report presents a review of Uzbekistan's AgPER to contribute to the policy dialogue on the repurposing of public expenditures and getting more value for money. This is the second AgPER for Uzbekistan prepared by the World Bank in the last three years. The first AgPER was completed in 2019. It fed into the Agricultural Strategy, which was being prepared at that time and later approved in October 2019. It set the 2016-2018 baseline of agricultural public expenditures for the Agricultural Strategy, underpinning Annex 4, which presented the direction of the major repurposing of agricultural public expenditures by 2030. The expenditure repurposing encompassed the phasing out of direct subsidies coupled with production conditions and a move toward more efficient farm support instruments, such as climate-smart direct farm support and investments in general support services to increase the developmental impact of public expenditures. The first AgPER presented global lessons about the impacts of various types of agricultural public expenditures (for example, their functional composition) on developmental outcomes in the agriculture sector, which were considered in preparation of Annex 4 of the Agricultural Strategy.


Book
Kosovo Country Economic Memorandum, November 2021 : Raising Agricultural Productivity.
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Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Igniting farm productivity can support growth and job creation in Kosovo. Agricultural production, in real terms, has been decreasing in Kosovo since 2009 but employment has not changed much. This note examines drivers of agricultural productivity and its growth in Kosovo, and implied constraints on growth of agriculture, using farm-level data. The results of the productivity analysis suggest that in Kosovo there is a considerable misallocation of resources that if remedied can boost growth and job creation. In Kosovo, which suffers from low technical efficiency (TE), an average farm can produce the same amount of output using 72.8 percent less inputs. For micro and small farms, the current design of farm support does not facilitate income smoothing. On the other hand, agribusiness, mainly food processing, has been growing steadily in terms of number of firms, annual turnover, and employment. Finally, the impacts of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on Kosovo agriculture have been multiple and so have been policy responses.

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