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Famous first bubbles : the fundamentals of early manias
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ISBN: 0262072041 0262273497 0585446520 9780262273497 9780262072045 Year: 2000 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. : MIT Press,

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Abstract

The jargon of economics and finance contains numerous colorful terms for market-asset prices at odds with any reasonable economic explanation. Examples include "bubble," "tulipmania," "chain letter," "Ponzi scheme," "panic," "crash," "herding," and "irrational exuberance." Although such a term suggests that an event is inexplicably crowd-driven, what it really means, claims Peter Garber, is that we have grasped a near-empty explanation rather than expend the effort to understand the event.In this book Garber offers market-fundamental explanations for the three most famous bubbles: the Dutch Tulipmania (1634-1637), the Mississippi Bubble (1719-1720), and the closely connected South Sea Bubble (1720). He focuses most closely on the Tulipmania because it is the event that most modern observers view as clearly crazy. Comparing the pattern of price declines for initially rare eighteenth-century bulbs to that of seventeenth-century bulbs, he concludes that the extremely high prices for rare bulbs and their rapid decline reflects normal pricing behavior. In the cases of the Mississippi and South Sea Bubbles, he describes the asset markets and financial manipulations involved in these episodes and casts them as market fundamentals.

Keywords

History of North America --- History of the United Kingdom and Ireland --- History of Asia --- anno 1600-1699 --- anno 1700-1799 --- Affaire des mers du Sud, Grande-Bretagne, 1720 --- Bollenrazernij (Tulpenhandel, Nederland, 1634-1637) --- South Sea Bubble, Great Britain, 1720 --- South Sea Company, Groot-Brittannië--Failliet, 1720 --- Tulip mania, 17th century --- Tulipomanie (Commerce de tulipes, Pays-Bas, 1634-1637) --- Speculation --- Tulip mania, 17th century. --- South Sea Bubble, Great Britain, 1720. --- Spéculation --- Tulipomanie, 17e siècle --- South Sea Bubble, Grande-Bretagne, 1720 --- History. --- Histoire --- Law, John, --- Compagnie des Indes --- History --- 338 <09> --- -Tulip mania, 17th century --- AA / International- internationaal --- NL / Netherlands - Nederland - Pays Bas --- 331.100 --- 333.645 --- 380.26 --- 332.63228 --- Financial crises --- Dutch Tulip Mania, 1634-1637 --- Dutch Tulipmania, 1634-1637 --- Tulip Bulb mania, 1634-1637 --- Tulip Craze, 1634-1637 --- Tulipmania, 1634-1637 --- Tulipomania, 1634-1637 --- Bucket-shops --- Commercial corners --- Corners, Commercial --- Finance --- Gambling --- Commodity exchanges --- Contracts, Aleatory --- Investments --- Stock exchanges --- Economische geschiedenis --- Economische geschiedenis: algemeenheden. --- Speculatie op de beurs. --- Theorie van speculatie. --- Law, John --- Law, --- Law, Jan, --- -Compagnie des Indes --- Compagnie perpétuelle des Indes --- FEIC --- French Compagnie des Indes --- French East India Company --- Compagnie de la Chine --- Compagnie des Indes orientales --- Compagnie d'Occident --- Nouvelle Compagnie des Indes --- 338 <09> Economische geschiedenis --- Tulip Mania, 1634-1637. --- Spéculation --- Tulipomanie, 17e siècle --- Tulip Mania, 1634-1637 --- Economische geschiedenis: algemeenheden --- Speculatie op de beurs --- Theorie van speculatie --- ECONOMICS/Finance --- Speculation - History --- Law, John, - 1671-1729

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