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Voting --- Polls --- Elections --- Politics, Practical --- Social choice --- Suffrage --- Voting. --- Vote --- Élections --- Statistiques. --- Statistiques --- Système électoral --- Balloting

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Immigrants --- Voting --- Political participation --- Polls --- Elections --- Politics, Practical --- Social choice --- Suffrage --- Political activity --- History. --- Balloting

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The conventional wisdom of economic voting theory argues that a nation's economic performance drives electoral outcomes. Therefore, voters will hold an administration accountable for its economic stewardship. Austin Hart challenges the simplicity of this notion, drawing on cognitive-psychological research on priming to demonstrate that the intensity of voters' exposure to economic campaign messages systematically conditions the strength of the economic vote. However, this study goes further than simply saying 'campaigns matter'. Here, we learn that candidates who control the campaign narrative can capitalize on favorable economic conditions or - contrary to the predictions of conventional theory - overcome unfavorable conditions. Although the aim is not to dismiss the importance of structural variables in the study of elections, Hart shows that the choices candidates make about what to say and how often shape election outcomes in ways that cannot be explained by contextual or institutional forces alone.

Voting --- Polls --- Elections --- Politics, Practical --- Social choice --- Suffrage --- Economic aspects. --- Balloting

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Social ethics --- Voting --- Moral and ethical aspects. --- Polls --- Elections --- Politics, Practical --- Social choice --- Suffrage --- Moral and ethical aspects --- Balloting

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Economic conditions are said to affect election outcomes, but past research has produced unstable and contradictory findings. This book argues that these problems are caused by the failure to take account of electoral competition between parties. A research strategy to correct this problem is designed and applied to investigate effects of economic conditions on (individual) voter choices and (aggregate) election outcomes over 42 elections in 15 countries. It shows that economic conditions exert small effects on individual party preferences, which can have large consequences for election outcomes. In countries where responsibility for economic policy is clear, voters vote retrospectively and reward or punish incumbent parties - although in coalition systems smaller government parties often gain at the expense of the largest party when economic conditions deteriorate. Where clarity of responsibility for economic policy is less clear, voters vote more prospectively on the basis of expected party policies.

Voting --- Economic aspects. --- Polls --- Elections --- Politics, Practical --- Social choice --- Suffrage --- Economic aspects --- Balloting --- Social Sciences --- Political Science