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This report provides the details of the IMF's projections and estimates on The Bahamas's basic data; generation and sale of electricity, value of construction starts and completions in the real sector; summary of operations of the nonfinancial public sector, central government revenue and expenditure, summary central government operations in the fiscal sector; summary accounts of the financial system, accounts of the central and commercial banks and other local financial institutions, selected interest rates in the monetary sector; balance of payments, comparative real exchange rates in the external sector, and so on.
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The paper presents statistical data on gross domestic product, prices, average monthly wage, employment by sector, labor market indicators, unit labor costs by sector, summary of general government operations, general government revenue, and expenditures of Estonia. The paper also presents data on fiscal balances by government sector, analytical accounts of banking institutions, maturity and currency composition of deposits, average interest rates of deposits and loans, nonperforming loans of commercial banks, balance of payments, direction of trade-exports by countries, and other related economic indices.
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Fiscal vulnerability describes a situation where a government is exposed to the possibility of failure to meet its aggregate fiscal policy objectives. The suggested framework for assessing vulnerability highlights four macro-fiscal aspects of vulnerability: incorrect specification of the initial fiscal position; sensitivity of short-term fiscal outcomes to risk; threats to longer-term fiscal sustainability; and structural or institutional weaknesses affecting the design and implementation of fiscal policy. Fiscal vulnerability indicators are suggested.
Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Fiscal Policy --- Public Administration --- Public Sector Accounting and Audits --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Public finance & taxation --- Fiscal policy --- Fiscal stance --- Fiscal risks --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Expenditure --- Finance, Public --- Expenditures, Public
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Intergovernmental equalization grants have been described as “the glue that holds a nation together.” Getting the grants system right is critical to countries as they decentralize. This paper illustrates general principles with an example based on Indonesia in 2000. A general grant should be used to supplement own revenues and to finance local service provision where there are no central mandates. The special needs of backward regions would be better provided for by specific grants. Specific grants need to be taken into account in the general grants scheme.
Public Finance --- Demography --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Education: General --- Demographic Economics: General --- Health: General --- Public finance & taxation --- Education --- Population & demography --- Health economics --- Expenditure --- Total expenditures --- Population and demographics --- Health --- Expenditures, Public --- Population --- Indonesia
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This paper examines trends in income distribution in Brazil and the determinants of income inequality, including social expenditure. While recent data reveal reduced income inequality since the Real Plan of July 1994, the distribution of income is still among the most unequal in the world. Among the most important determinants of income inequality in Brazil is extreme disparity in educational attainment levels. Public expenditures on education, health, and social insurance have tended to exacerbate income inequality. A number of options for improving the equity and efficiency of Brazilian social expenditure merit further examination.
Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Education: General --- Public finance & taxation --- Education --- Income --- Income inequality --- Expenditure --- Income distribution --- National accounts --- Expenditures, Public --- Brazil
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This paper assesses the effects of expenditure composition as well as fiscal adjustment on economic growth in a sample of 39 low-income countries during the 1990s. The paper finds that strong budgetary positions and fiscal consolidation are generally associated with higher economic growth in both the short and long terms. The composition of public outlays also matters: Countries where spending is concentrated on wages tend to have lower growth, while those that allocate higher shares to capital and nonwage goods and services enjoy faster output expansion. Expenditure composition, along with the size of the fiscal consolidation and initial fiscal conditions, affects the sustainability of adjustment. Initial fiscal conditions also have a bearing on the nexus between fiscal deficits and growth.
Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Fiscal Policy --- Macroeconomics: Production --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Public finance & taxation --- Fiscal consolidation --- Expenditure --- Fiscal policy --- Expenditure composition --- Revenue administration --- Expenditures, Public --- Revenue --- Benin
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To monitor fiscal sustainability, this paper proposes a recursive algorithm derived from the law of motion of the debt-to-GDP ratio, subject to a government reaction function that links convergence to the targeted debt ratio with primary fiscal surpluses. Based on quarterly estimates of this algorithm in the 1990s, 12 developed and developing countries are ranked according to their degree of sustainability. For a number of countries, the paper finds evidence of causality between the fiscal policy stance and growth-adjusted real interest rates.
Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Fiscal Policy --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Public finance & taxation --- Fiscal sustainability --- Expenditure --- Fiscal stance --- Fiscal policy --- Public debt --- Expenditures, Public --- Debts, Public --- United States
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This paper examines the rationale for a top-down approach to budget preparation and approval, and discusses some factors that have to be considered when reorienting the budget process along these lines. The paper argues that the sequence in which budgetary decisions are taken matters, and that a strong top-down approach strengthens fiscal discipline and improves policy prioritization and coordination. Top-down budgeting also alters the division of roles and responsibilities between the central budget authority and line ministries, and requires that the process of determining the total expenditure level, sectoral allocations and individual appropriations is clarified. Finally, the paper argues that strong top-down elements in the parliamentary budget voting process can be effective in addressing the risk of excessive and unsustainable amendments during budget approval.
Budgeting --- Public Finance --- National Budget --- Budget Systems --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Fiscal Policy --- Budgeting & financial management --- Public finance & taxation --- Macroeconomics --- Budget planning and preparation --- Expenditure --- Total expenditures --- Fiscal policy --- Central government spending --- Budget --- Expenditures, Public --- Switzerland
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This paper benchmarks the efficiency of public expenditure in the social sectors in the Russian Federation relative to other countries and among the country's regions. It finds that there is substantial room for efficiency gains, particularly in health care and social protection, although less so in education. An econometric analysis of efficiency differences between the regions suggests that they are positively related to per capita income and the quality of governance and democratic control, while they are negatively related to the share of federal transfers in the respective region's government revenue and the level of spending relative to gross regional product.
Public Finance --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Education: General --- Health: General --- National Government Expenditures and Health --- National Government Expenditures and Education --- Public finance & taxation --- Education --- Health economics --- Expenditure --- Health --- Health care spending --- Education spending --- Expenditures, Public --- Russian Federation
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Enhancing the efficiency of education and health spending is a key policy challenge in G7 countries. The paper assesses this efficiency and seeks to establish a link between differences in efficiency across countries and policy and institutional factors. The findings suggest that reforms aimed at increasing efficiency need to take into account the nature and causes of inefficiencies. Inefficiencies in G7 countries mostly reflect lack of cost effectiveness in acquiring real resources, such as teachers and pharmaceuticals. We also find that high wage spending is associated with lower efficiency. In addition, lowering student-teacher ratios is associated with reduced efficiency in the education sector, while immunizations and doctors' consultations coincide with higher efficiency in the health sector. Greater autonomy for schools seems to raise efficiency in secondary education.
Public Finance --- Education: General --- National Government Expenditures and Health --- National Government Expenditures and Education --- Health: General --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Public finance & taxation --- Education --- Health economics --- Health care spending --- Education spending --- Health --- Expenditure --- Expenditures, Public --- Germany
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