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L'intégration des marchés financiers mondiaux au cours de la décennie passée confronte les responsables publics à des difficultés nouvelles. La vitesse à laquelle l'argent peut se déplacer d'un pays à l'autre et d'une monnaie à l'autre a progressé avec l'efficacité des communications mondiales, raccourcissant considérablement les délais dont disposent les responsables publics pour réagir à l'apparition d'une crise. Cette brochure examine les tentatives des économistes pour prédire les crises en élaborant des systèmes d'alerte précoce pour détecter des difficultés en gestation sur les marchés monétaires et dans les systèmes bancaires.

Exports and Imports --- Financial Risk Management --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Financial Crises --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- International economics --- Monetary economics --- Early warning systems --- Financial crises --- Current account deficits --- Currencies --- External debt --- Crisis management --- Balance of payments --- Money --- Debts, External --- Thailand

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Volatile commodity prices and a tightly managed exchange rate (ER) have led to boom and bust cycles with significant impacts on the public and financial sectors. While the previous Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangement (December 2017—March 2021) has helped maintain macroeconomic stability, the pandemic has delayed structural reform implementation and widened the gap to reach the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). In addition, surging international commodity prices since the start of Russia’s war in Ukraine have deteriorated the external and fiscal balances and led to inflationary pressures and food insecurity. In March 2021, the authorities requested a successor arrangement to support accelerated implementation of their national development strategy, help increase social and infrastructure spending, and improve governance and the business environment.

Money and Monetary Policy --- International Economics --- Exports and Imports --- Public Finance --- Banks and Banking --- Macroeconomics --- Finance: General --- Monetary Policy --- International Agreements and Observance --- International Organizations --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- International Financial Markets --- Price Level --- Inflation --- Deflation --- Monetary economics --- International institutions --- International economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Financial services law & regulation --- Finance --- Monetary policy --- International organization --- Public debt --- External debt --- Financial regulation and supervision --- Financial markets --- International agencies --- Debts, External --- Debts, Public --- Financial risk management --- Prices --- Foreign exchange market --- Mauritania, Islamic Republic of