Choose an application

• Reference Manager
• EndNote
• RefWorks (Direct export to RefWorks)

L’historien ne travaille que sur des choses douteuses, incertaines, il ne peut en tirer que des conclusions « probables ». Qu’est-ce que le probabilisme en histoire? Quelle est l’importance du jeu du probable? Comment constater nos ignorances? Comment, avec l’âge, l’expérience renonce-t-on aux explications « certaines » et glisse-t-on à un certain probabilisme ? Autant de questions auxquelles dans ces vingt-quatre leçons Guy Thuillier tente d’apporter des réponses. Le probabilisme n’est pas un corps de doctrine, comme le souligne François Monnier dans sa préface, mais une expérience personnelle, chacun doit la mener pour son compte, et inventer ses méthodes pour mettre en doute ses idées, suspendre son jugement. L’historien est condamné à vivre dans le doute, l’incertitude, l’inquiétude ; rien n’est stable, tout est provisoire.

Historiography --- History --- Probability measures --- Measures, Normalized --- Measures, Probability --- Normalized measures --- Distribution (Probability theory) --- History, Modern --- Historical criticism --- Authorship --- Philosophy --- Criticism --- #A0307H --- History as a science --- Historiography. --- Probability measures. --- Philosophy. --- historien --- probabilisme --- obsolescence --- archive --- érudition --- histoire monétaire --- science administrative

Choose an application

• Reference Manager
• EndNote
• RefWorks (Direct export to RefWorks)

A comprehensive and self-contained introduction to Gaussian processes, which provide a principled, practical, probabilistic approach to learning in kernel machines.

Computer assisted instruction --- Stochastic processes --- Gaussian processes --- Machine learning --- Data processing --- Mathematical models --- 681.3*I26 --- Learning: analogies; concept learning; induction; knowledge acquisition; language acquisition; parameter learning (Artificial intelligence)--See also {681.3*K32} --- Data processing. --- Mathematical models. --- 681.3*I26 Learning: analogies; concept learning; induction; knowledge acquisition; language acquisition; parameter learning (Artificial intelligence)--See also {681.3*K32} --- Learning, Machine --- Artificial intelligence --- Machine theory --- Distribution (Probability theory) --- machine learning --- statistiek --- Bayesian statistics --- Gauss, Carl Friedrich --- Aprenentatge automàtic --- Processos gaussians --- Models matemàtics --- Informàtica --- Distribució (Teoria de la probabilitat) --- Processos estocàstics --- Intel·ligència artificial --- Màquines, Teoria de --- Mathematics --- Physical Sciences & Mathematics --- Mathematical Statistics --- Gaussian processes - Data processing --- Machine learning - Mathematical models

Choose an application

• Reference Manager
• EndNote
• RefWorks (Direct export to RefWorks)

This book is open access under a CC BY 4.0 license. This book addresses the physical phenomenon of events that seem to occur spontaneously and without any known cause. These are to be contrasted with events that happen in a (pre-)determined, predictable, lawful, and causal way. All our knowledge is based on self-reflexive theorizing, as well as on operational means of empirical perception. Some of the questions that arise are the following: are these limitations reflected by our models? Under what circumstances does chance kick in? Is chance in physics merely epistemic? In other words, do we simply not know enough, or use too crude levels of description for our predictions? Or are certain events "truly", that is, irreducibly, random? The book tries to answer some of these questions by introducing intrinsic, embedded observers and provable unknowns; that is, observables and procedures which are certified (relative to the assumptions) to be unknowable or undoable. A (somewhat iconoclastic) review of quantum mechanics is presented which is inspired by quantum logic. Postulated quantum (un-)knowables are reviewed. More exotic unknowns originate in the assumption of classical continua, and in finite automata and generalized urn models, which mimic complementarity and yet maintain value definiteness. Traditional conceptions of free will, miracles and dualistic interfaces are based on gaps in an otherwise deterministic universe. .

Physics. --- Epistemology. --- Philosophy and science. --- Probabilities. --- History and Philosophical Foundations of Physics. --- Theoretical, Mathematical and Computational Physics. --- Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes. --- Philosophy of Science. --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Combinations --- Mathematics --- Chance --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk --- Science and philosophy --- Science --- Epistemology --- Theory of knowledge --- Philosophy --- Psychology --- Natural philosophy --- Philosophy, Natural --- Physical sciences --- Dynamics --- Genetic epistemology. --- Distribution (Probability theory. --- Philosophy. --- Normal science --- Philosophy of science --- Distribution functions --- Frequency distribution --- Characteristic functions --- Probabilities --- Developmental psychology --- Knowledge, Theory of --- Mathematical physics. --- Physical mathematics --- Physics --- Self-reflexive knowledge --- Physical chaos --- Physical random number generators --- Irreducible randomness --- Randomness in physics --- Physical indeterminism --- Acausality in physics --- Ecotoxicology. --- Environmental management. --- Waste management. --- Environmental Management. --- Waste Management/Waste Technology.

Choose an application

• Reference Manager
• EndNote
• RefWorks (Direct export to RefWorks)

This book demonstrates how nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian time series estimation methods were used to produce a probability distribution of potential MH370 flight paths. It provides details of how the probabilistic models of aircraft flight dynamics, satellite communication system measurements, environmental effects and radar data were constructed and calibrated. The probability distribution was used to define the search zone in the southern Indian Ocean. The book describes particle-filter based numerical calculation of the aircraft flight-path probability distribution and validates the method using data from several of the involved aircraft’s previous flights. Finally it is shown how the Reunion Island flaperon debris find affects the search probability distribution.

Engineering. --- Mathematical statistics. --- Probabilities. --- Statistics. --- Signal, Image and Speech Processing. --- Statistics for Engineering, Physics, Computer Science, Chemistry and Earth Sciences. --- Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes. --- Probability and Statistics in Computer Science. --- Statistical analysis --- Statistical data --- Statistical methods --- Statistical science --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Mathematics --- Statistics, Mathematical --- Construction --- Econometrics --- Combinations --- Chance --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk --- Statistics --- Probabilities --- Sampling (Statistics) --- Industrial arts --- Technology --- Distribution (Probability theory. --- Computer science. --- Informatics --- Science --- Distribution functions --- Frequency distribution --- Characteristic functions --- Signal processing. --- Image processing. --- Speech processing systems. --- Statistics . --- Computational linguistics --- Electronic systems --- Information theory --- Modulation theory --- Oral communication --- Speech --- Telecommunication --- Singing voice synthesizers --- Pictorial data processing --- Picture processing --- Processing, Image --- Imaging systems --- Optical data processing --- Processing, Signal --- Information measurement --- Signal theory (Telecommunication)

Choose an application

• Reference Manager
• EndNote
• RefWorks (Direct export to RefWorks)

This book covers seismic probabilistic risk assessment (S-PRA) and related studies which have become more important to increase the safety of nuclear facilities against earthquakes and tsunamis in the face of the many uncertainties after the Fukushima accident. The topics are (1) Active faults and active tectonics important for seismic hazard assessment of nuclear facilities,(2) Seismic source modeling and simulation and modeling techniques indispensable for strong ground motion prediction, and (3) PRA with external hazard and risk communication. The Fukushima accident has showed us the limitations of the deterministic evaluation approach to external events (an earthquake and tsunami) in which there are many uncertainties. Furthermore, public anxiety regarding nuclear safety because of an unexpected threat caused by an earthquake or tsunami is growing. The current policy on the estimation of the design basis of ground motion as well as tsunami height still has not been improved following the Fukushima accident.  In particular, the risk concept in a nuclear system regarding seismic motion and a tsunami beyond the design basis is indispensable. Therefore, research and development for PRA enhancing nuclear safety are being actively pursued not only in Japan but also worldwide. This book provides an opportunity for readers to consider the future direction of nuclear safety vis-à-vis natural disasters.

Environmental Sciences --- Earth & Environmental Sciences --- Environment. --- Nuclear energy. --- Natural disasters. --- Probabilities. --- Quality control. --- Reliability. --- Industrial safety. --- Environmental management. --- Environmental Management. --- Nuclear Energy. --- Natural Hazards. --- Quality Control, Reliability, Safety and Risk. --- Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes. --- Environmental stewardship --- Stewardship, Environmental --- Environmental sciences --- Management --- Industrial accidents --- Industries --- Job safety --- Occupational hazards, Prevention of --- Occupational health and safety --- Occupational safety and health --- Prevention of industrial accidents --- Prevention of occupational hazards --- Safety, Industrial --- Safety engineering --- Safety measures --- Safety of workers --- Accidents --- System safety --- Dependability --- Trustworthiness --- Conduct of life --- Factory management --- Industrial engineering --- Reliability (Engineering) --- Sampling (Statistics) --- Standardization --- Quality assurance --- Quality of products --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Combinations --- Mathematics --- Chance --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk --- Natural calamities --- Disasters --- Atomic energy --- Atomic power --- Energy, Atomic --- Energy, Nuclear --- Nuclear power --- Power, Atomic --- Power, Nuclear --- Force and energy --- Nuclear physics --- Power resources --- Nuclear engineering --- Nuclear facilities --- Nuclear power plants --- Prevention --- Geology. --- System safety. --- Distribution (Probability theory. --- Distribution functions --- Frequency distribution --- Characteristic functions --- Probabilities --- Safety, System --- Safety of systems --- Systems safety --- Industrial safety --- Systems engineering --- Geognosy --- Geoscience --- Earth sciences --- Natural history --- Environmental Management