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Population --- Population forecasting --- Forecasting, Population --- Population projection --- Population projections --- Projection, Population --- Projections, Population --- Social prediction --- Vital statistics --- Forecasting --- E-books --- Population - Statistics. --- Population forecasting - Statistics. --- Fertility, Human - Statistics.

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Population --- Population forecasting --- Statistics - General --- Social Sciences --- Vital statistics --- Forecasting, Population --- Population projection --- Population projections --- Projection, Population --- Projections, Population --- Social prediction --- Forecasting --- E-books

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First published in 1995. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor & Francis, an informa company.

Demography --- Europe --- #A9503A --- Fertility, Human --- Labor market --- Population forecasting --- Population. --- Forecasting, Population --- Population --- Population projection --- Population projections --- Projection, Population --- Projections, Population --- Social prediction --- Forecasting --- total --- fertility --- rate --- southern --- skilled --- international --- migration --- demographic --- transition --- age

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This open access book provides a step-by-step overview on how to build a microsimulation model with SAS. It shows how to convert an already existing multistate projection by age, sex, education and region into a microsimulation model. Two new dimensions are then added, either the labor force participation and the sector of activity, and/or some examples of outputs and alternative scenarios that would not be possible with standard demographic methods. The book also describes how to adapt the model for other countries or other purposes. It also provides details on how to extend and adapt the model for other purposes as well as other use of microsimulation with SAS. The book suggests codes that are easy to understand, so they can be replicated or adapted for other purposes. As such, this book provides a great resource for people with beginner to intermediate knowledge in SAS.

Population & demography --- Computer modelling & simulation --- Microsimulation in SAS --- Population Projection in SAS --- Multidimensional Projection Methods --- Statistical Software for Microsimulation --- Coding Microsimulation --- Projecting Labour Force Participation --- Projecting Human Capital --- Population Modelling in SAS --- Demographic Projections

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This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections.    The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources.   This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.

Population forecasting. --- Population. --- Population forecasting --- Population research --- Demography --- Business & Economics --- Methodology --- Methodology. --- Forecasting, Population --- Population --- Population projection --- Population projections --- Projection, Population --- Projections, Population --- Forecasting --- Social sciences. --- Demography. --- Social Sciences. --- Methodology of the Social Sciences. --- Social prediction --- Social sciences --- Historical demography --- Vital statistics --- Behavioral sciences --- Human sciences --- Sciences, Social --- Social science --- Social studies --- Civilization