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People& especially Americans& are by and large optimists. They're much better at imagining best-case scenarios (I could win the lottery!) than worst-case scenarios (A hurricane could destroy my neighborhood!). This is true not just of their approach to imagining the future, but of their memories as well: people are better able to describe the best moments of their lives than they are the worst. Though there are psychological reasons for this phenomenon, Karen A.Cerulo, in 'Never Saw It Coming,' considers instead the role of society in fostering this attitude. What kinds of communities develop this pattern of thought, which do not, and what does that say about human ability to evaluate possible outcomes of decisions and events? Cerulo takes readers to diverse realms of experience, including intimate family relationships, key transitions in our lives, the places we work and play, and the boardrooms of organizations and bureaucracies. Using interviews, surveys, artistic and fictional accounts, media reports, historical data, and official records, she illuminates one of the most common, yet least studied, of human traits& a blatant disregard for worst-case scenarios. 'Never Saw It Coming,' therefore, will be crucial to anyone who wants to understand human attempts to picture or plan the future. & In 'Never Saw It Coming,' Karen Cerulo argues that in American society there is a & positive symmetry,' a tendency to focus on and exaggerate the best, the winner, the most optimistic outcome and outlook. Thus, the conceptions of the worst are underdeveloped and elided. Naturally, as she masterfully outlines, there are dramatic consequences to this characterological inability to imagine and prepare for the worst, as the failure to heed memos leading up to both the 9/11 and NASA Challenger disasters, for instance, so painfully reminded us.& --Robin Wagner-Pacifici, Swarthmore College & Katrina, 9/11, and the War in Iraq& all demonstrate the costliness of failing to anticipate

Political philosophy. Social philosophy --- Catastrophical, The. --- Cognition and culture. --- Knowledge, Sociology of. --- Social psychology. --- Catastrophe (Philosophie) --- Cognition et culture --- Psychologie sociale --- Sociologie de la connaissance --- Catastrophical, The --- Cognition and culture --- Social psychology --- Knowledge, Sociology of

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Geology. Earth sciences --- Disasters --- Disaster relief --- Emergency management --- Catastrophes --- Secours aux victimes de catastrophes --- Gestion des situations d'urgence --- Periodicals --- Périodiques --- Disasters. --- Disaster relief. --- Emergency management. --- Accident environnemental. --- Aide humanitaire. --- Catastrophe. --- Catastrophe d'origine humaine. --- Catastrophe naturelle. --- Gestion des situations d'urgence. --- Prévention. --- Recherche. --- Secours aux sinistrés. --- #TS:WDEP --- Engineering --- Law --- Environmental Engineering --- Crime, Criminology and Law Enforcement --- Consequence management (Emergency management) --- Disaster planning --- Disaster preparedness --- Disaster prevention --- Emergencies --- Emergency planning --- Emergency preparedness --- Calamities --- Disaster assistance --- Emergency assistance in disasters --- Emergency relief --- Natural Disaster --- Natural Disasters --- Disaster --- Disaster, Natural --- Disasters, Natural --- Management --- Planning --- Preparedness --- Prevention --- Public safety --- First responders --- Curiosities and wonders --- Accidents --- Hazardous geographic environments --- Human services --- Chernobyl Nuclear Accident --- Prévention. --- Secours aux sinistrés.

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Über die Zahl der ermordeten Juden wird seit dem Ende des NS-Staates diskutiert, und die Dimension des Völkermordes wird unter apologetischer Tendenz interessierter Kreise immer noch in Frage gestellt. Einer mathematisch-exakten Beweisführung, die in der Feststellung genauer Zahlenangaben münden würde, stehen erhebliche methodische Schwierigkeiten gegenüber, die gewöhnlich unterschätzt, aber als Beweis für vermutete politische Absichten oder für die Unfähigkeit der Historiker gerne benutzt werden. Absicht dieses Bandes ist es deshalb, nicht nur streng wissenschaftlich und möglichst exakt die Zahl der jüdischen Opfer der NS-Herrschaft zu ermitteln, sondern auch die Probleme aufzuzeigen, die der Bestimmung einer absoluten Zahl der Opfer entgegenstehen. Die hier anhand einer regional gegliederten Darlegung der gesicherten Erkenntnisse gezogene Bilanz ermittelt die Größenordnung des Völkermords jenseits aller Spekulationen.

History of Europe --- anno 1940-1949 --- anno 1930-1939 --- Holocaust, Jewish (1939-1945) --- National socialism --- Holocauste, 1939-1945 --- Nazisme --- Nazism --- Authoritarianism --- Fascism --- Nazis --- Neo-Nazism --- Totalitarianism --- World War, 1939-1945 --- Catastrophe, Jewish (1939-1945) --- Destruction of the Jews (1939-1945) --- Extermination, Jewish (1939-1945) --- Holocaust, Nazi --- Ḥurban (1939-1945) --- Ḥurbn (1939-1945) --- Jewish Catastrophe (1939-1945) --- Jewish Holocaust (1939-1945) --- Jews --- Nazi Holocaust --- Nazi persecution of Jews --- Shoʾah (1939-1945) --- Genocide --- Kindertransports (Rescue operations) --- Causes --- Nazi persecution --- Persecutions --- Atrocities --- Jewish resistance --- National socialism. --- Holocaust, Jewish (1939-1945). --- Holocaust, Nazi (Jewish Holocaust) --- Nazi Holocaust (Jewish Holocaust) --- Nazi persecution (1939-1945)

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Holocaust, Jewish (1939-1945). --- Holocaust, Jewish (1939-1945) --- Historiography. --- World history --- Jewish religion --- anno 1940-1949 --- 815 Geschiedenis --- Catastrophe, Jewish (1939-1945) --- Destruction of the Jews (1939-1945) --- Extermination, Jewish (1939-1945) --- Holocaust, Nazi --- Ḥurban (1939-1945) --- Ḥurbn (1939-1945) --- Jewish Catastrophe (1939-1945) --- Jewish Holocaust (1939-1945) --- Jews --- Nazi Holocaust --- Nazi persecution of Jews --- Shoʾah (1939-1945) --- Historiography --- Nazi persecution --- Genocide --- World War, 1939-1945 --- Kindertransports (Rescue operations) --- Persecutions --- Atrocities --- Jewish resistance --- Holocaust, Nazi (Jewish Holocaust) --- Nazi Holocaust (Jewish Holocaust) --- Nazi persecution (1939-1945)

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Antisemitism --- Christianity and antisemitism --- Holocaust, Jewish (1939-1945) --- Jews --- Judaism --- Catastrophe, Jewish (1939-1945) --- Destruction of the Jews (1939-1945) --- Extermination, Jewish (1939-1945) --- Holocaust, Nazi --- Ḥurban (1939-1945) --- Ḥurbn (1939-1945) --- Jewish Catastrophe (1939-1945) --- Jewish Holocaust (1939-1945) --- Nazi Holocaust --- Nazi persecution of Jews --- Shoʾah (1939-1945) --- Genocide --- World War, 1939-1945 --- Kindertransports (Rescue operations) --- Antisemitism and Christianity --- Christianity and other religions --- History --- Relations --- Nazi persecution --- Persecutions --- Atrocities --- Jewish resistance --- Philosophy and psychology of culture --- Political philosophy. Social philosophy --- Christian religion --- Jewish religion --- Comparative religion --- Holocaust, Nazi (Jewish Holocaust) --- Nazi Holocaust (Jewish Holocaust) --- Nazi persecution (1939-1945)