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Since independence in 1991, Uzbekistan has pursued a gradual approach to the transition from planned to market economy. This approach relied heavily on trade controls, directed credit, and large public investments. A number of financial sector measures were also instituted that distorted resource allocation and increased transaction costs. As a result, while possibly preventing the contraction of output in the early 1990s, these policies led to disappointing economic outcomes and social conditions. The paper reviews the underlying distortions and presents survey-based evidence to support their existence and their detrimental impact on economic activity. Looking forward, the paper-using a representative agent framework to model existing financial sector distortions-offers some guidance regarding the likely implications of eliminating the observed distortions on key aggregate variables. It suggests that the elimination of these distortions will enhance welfare and lead to increased investment and capital stock.
Banks and Banking --- Foreign Exchange --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Monetary economics --- Banking --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Currencies --- Consumption --- Commercial banks --- Money --- Banks and banking --- Economics --- Uzbekistan, Republic of
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In addition to transferring about 16 percent of GDP from exporters to importers, Uzbekistan’s quasi-fiscal multiple exchange rate regime generates identifiable welfare losses of 2-8 percent of GDP on import markets and up to 15 percent on export markets. These excess burdens have increased substantially with the growing difference of exchange rates. The welfare analysis allows some conclusions regarding the optimal reform strategy: (i) welfare losses will decline overproportionally as exchange rates unify; (ii) exchange rate unification should be supplemented by changing the explicit fiscal system; (iii) at a minimum, Uzbekistan would benefit from moving to an explicit fiscal regime.
Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Taxation and Subsidies: Other --- Trade: General --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- International economics --- Banking --- Exchange rates --- Exports --- Market exchange rates --- Quasi-fiscal operations --- International trade --- Central banks --- Banks and banking, Central --- Uzbekistan, Republic of
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This paper uses the growth-accounting approach to determine the sources of growth in transition economies. The central conclusion is that the estimated total factor productivity (TFP) growth for the former Soviet Union republics were significantly higher than other fast growing economies. A key question for prospective growth is whether the TFP gains achieved thus far have already eliminated most of the inefficiencies of central planning-and will therefore soon fade away. Underutilized labor combined with the recent trend of faster capital accumulation may play a more important role in the medium-term growth.
Macroeconomics --- Production and Operations Management --- Production --- Cost --- Capital and Total Factor Productivity --- Capacity --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Labor Economics: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Total factor productivity --- Labor --- Production growth --- Productivity --- Capacity utilization --- Industrial productivity --- Labor economics --- Economic theory --- Industrial capacity --- Uzbekistan, Republic of --- Economic development --- Econometric models.
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This Background Paper and Statistical Appendix highlights that starting in 1994, financial policies in Uzbekistan were tightened so as to reduce inflation and stabilize the exchange rate in anticipation of the introduction of the new national currency, the sum. The Central Bank of Uzbekistan raised the interest rate on its rediscount credits several times and credit to loss-making state enterprises was curtailed. The average monthly rate of price increase fell from more than 22 percent in the first half of the year to less than 2 percent in the third quarter, partly in reflection of seasonal factors.
Investments: Commodities --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Agriculture: General --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Trade: General --- Monetary economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Investment & securities --- International economics --- Agricultural commodities --- Currencies --- Credit --- Exports --- Commodities --- International trade --- Money --- Exchange rates --- Farm produce --- Uzbekistan, Republic of
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The paper analyzes economic developments and policies over the past couple of years, with emphasis on the period since mid-1998. It assesses consequences for the economy of several external shocks and provides an overview of recent developments. The nature and extent of the external shocks affecting the economy and the internal constraints that characterize the Uzbek economy are detailed. The paper also analyzes the policy responses to these shocks and the results of these policies. A set of tables updates available economic data series.
Banks and Banking --- Investments: Commodities --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Agriculture: General --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Trade: General --- Investment & securities --- International economics --- Banking --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Agricultural commodities --- Commercial banks --- External debt --- Exchange rates --- Exports --- Commodities --- Financial institutions --- International trade --- Farm produce --- Banks and banking --- Debts, External --- Uzbekistan, Republic of
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This paper on the Republic of Uzbekistan focuses on the fiscal transparency in the country. This report provides further guidance to support implementation of the fiscal transparency evaluation recommendations and the government’s plans to strengthen transparency. The IMF team worked with the authorities to further strengthen the application of the Government Finance Statistics Manual standards, improve the budget classification, presentation and reporting; strengthen fiscal risk disclosure and address other fiscal transparency-related issues. Steps have been taken to improve the coverage of Government Finance Statistics reports; however, further work is required. Wide-ranging reforms to improve the coverage, reliability, quality and accessibility of fiscal reports are being developed. A Presidential Decree, approved in August 2018, sets out measures to enhance budget openness and transparency, increase the engagement of citizens in the budget process, and strengthen parliamentary and public scrutiny of the budget.
Fiscal policy. --- Tax policy --- Taxation --- Economic policy --- Finance, Public --- Government policy --- Accounting --- Budgeting --- Public Finance --- National Budget --- Budget Systems --- Public Administration --- Public Sector Accounting and Audits --- Budgeting & financial management --- Public finance & taxation --- Financial reporting, financial statements --- Budget planning and preparation --- Fiscal risks --- Budget classification --- Financial statements --- Fiscal transparency --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Budget --- Fiscal policy --- Uzbekistan, Republic of
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This Fiscal Transparency Evaluation report on the Republic of Uzbekistan provides a summary of progress made since that evaluation was conducted and is based on practices in place at the time of a Fiscal Affairs Department visit. Uzbekistan has improved its fiscal transparency practices against eight of the Code’s standards since the June evaluation. Most improvements have been accomplished in the areas of fiscal forecasts and budgeting, and fiscal risk disclosure. A road map has also been developed to expand the coverage and quality of fiscal reports and better align these with international standards, further enhance fiscal risk disclosure, and ensure greater parliamentary scrutiny of the budget. Work has also commenced to identify all off-budget fiscal activities, and, the government has committed to including these in future budget and government finance statistics (GFS) reports. Efforts are also underway to expand the coverage of GFS reports, so that they reflect all general government fiscal transactions, including those of nonmarket state-owned enterprises.
Fiscal policy. --- Tax policy --- Taxation --- Economic policy --- Finance, Public --- Government policy --- Budgeting --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- National Budget --- Budget Systems --- Public Administration --- Public Sector Accounting and Audits --- Fiscal Policy --- Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt --- Budgeting & financial management --- Public finance & taxation --- Budget planning and preparation --- Fiscal risks --- Fiscal policy --- Macroeconomic and fiscal forecasts --- Fiscal transparency --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Budget --- Economic forecasting --- Uzbekistan, Republic of
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This paper analyzes the determinants of growth in 25 transition economies during 1990–97. The paper’s main finding is that macroeconomic stabilization, structural reform, and reduction of government expenditures are key to achieving sustainable growth. Although the initial effect of reforms on output may be negative, over time the best growth performances are in those countries with the greatest progress in implementing reforms. The analysis also confirms that although adverse initial conditions hurt growth, their effect is small compared to the other factors.
Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General --- Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General --- Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: General --- Institutions and the Macroeconomy --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Labor Economics: General --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Public finance & taxation --- Labour --- income economics --- Structural reforms --- Expenditure --- Labor --- Government debt management --- Macrostructural analysis --- Prices --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Expenditures, Public --- Labor economics --- Debts, Public --- Uzbekistan, Republic of
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In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discussions with government officials, is published at the option of the member country.
Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Investments: Energy --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Trade: General --- Energy: General --- Banking --- Monetary economics --- International economics --- Investment & securities --- Credit --- Commercial banks --- Correspondent banking --- Exports --- Financial institutions --- Money --- Financial services --- International trade --- Oil --- Commodities --- Banks and banking --- Correspondent banks --- Petroleum industry and trade --- Uzbekistan, Republic of
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This paper reviews Uzbekistan’s Interim Welfare Improvement Strategy Paper (I-WISP). I-WISP defines the main directions and measures aimed at improving living standards and reducing poverty among the population of Uzbekistan for 2005–10. The strategy is designed to further expand reforms in all aspects of life in the society based on the national model of economic and social development, the social values of the people of Uzbekistan, and their commitment to the processes of integration into the world community.
International Monetary Fund -- Uzbekistan. --- Poverty -- Uzbekistan. --- Uzbekistan -- Economic conditions -- 1991-. --- Uzbekistan -- Economic policy -- 1991-. --- Uzbekistan -- Social policy. --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Demography --- Education: General --- Demographic Economics: General --- Labor Economics: General --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Health: General --- Education --- Population & demography --- Labour --- income economics --- Health economics --- Population and demographics --- Health --- Population --- Labor economics --- Economic theory --- Uzbekistan, Republic of --- Poverty --- International Monetary Fund --- Uzbekistan --- Social policy. --- Economic conditions --- Economic policy
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