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Military research --- Deflation (Finance) --- Finance.

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It has been argued that higher levels of inflation lead to greater uncertainty about future inflation and to greater dispersion of relative prices. In either case, inflation could reduce the efficiency of market prices in coordinating economic activities. This paper shows that the rise of inflation in Colombia, from low levels in the 1950s to average rates of 18–22 percent since the 1970s, has been accompanied by increased uncertainty and relative price dispersion; and that inflation has had a negative and persistent effect on real GDP growth.

Inflation --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Macroeconomics --- Prices --- Colombia

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The Maastricht inflation criterion, designed in the early 1990s to bring "high-inflation" EU countries in line with "low-inflation" countries prior to the introduction of the euro, poses challenges for both new EU member countries and the European Central Bank. While the criterion has positively influenced the public stance toward low inflation, it has biased the choice of the disinflation strategy toward short-run, fiat measures-rather than adopting structural reforms with longer-term benefits-with unpleasant consequences for the efficiency of the eurozone transmission mechanism. The criterion is also unnecessarily tight for new member countries as it mainly reflects cyclical developments.

Deflation (Finance) -- European Union countries. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- European Union countries -- Economic conditions. --- European Union countries -- Economic policy. --- Inflation (Finance) -- European Union countries. --- Finance --- Business & Economics --- Money --- Deflation (Finance) --- Inflation (Finance) --- European Union countries --- Economic conditions. --- Economic policy. --- Disinflation --- Natural rate of unemployment --- Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Production and Operations Management --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Institutions and the Macroeconomy --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Output gap --- Exchange rates --- Structural reforms --- Prices --- Production --- Economic theory --- Hungary

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The paper develops a model of exchange rate regime choice centered on the trade-off between internal price stability and external competitiveness and allowing for institutional costs of altering exchange rate arrangements. The main implication of the model is a nonlinear relationship between the rate of inflation and the choice of regime for the next period. The model also suggests that a major inflationary shock-like the one to which all Central and Eastern European economies were subject when they allowed prices to be determined by the market-should give rise to a tightening of the exchange rate regime, followed by a gradual introduction of more flexibility as inflation subsides. A series of regressions on a sample of 13 Central and Eastern European economies yield results consistent with the hypothesis.

Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Open Economy Macroeconomics --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Macroeconomics --- Exchange rate arrangements --- Exchange rate flexibility --- Conventional peg --- Exchange rates --- Prices --- Bulgaria

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This paper compares the experience with exchange-rate–based stabilization (ERBS) of four Western European countries with that of high-inflation developing countries. In general, the behavior of key macroeconomic variables—inflation, output, demand, the real exchange rate and the current account—in the four countries examined did not correspond to the pattern observed in developing countries, although some resemblance to this pattern could be found in Italy in 1987–92 and Greece in 1994–96. The experience with ERBS in Western Europe highlights the importance of incomes policy as an ingredient of a successful stabilization program and shows that the adoption of a looser anchor does not necessarily reduce the output cost of disinflation.

Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Open Economy Macroeconomics --- Fiscal Policy --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Exchange rates --- Real exchange rates --- Fiscal consolidation --- Disinflation --- Prices --- Fiscal policy --- Italy