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Book
Cybersecurity Risk
Authors: --- --- --- ---
ISBN: 1513515276 1513507540 151351525X Year: 2020 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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Abstract

Using textual analysis and comparing cybersecurity-risk disclosures of firms that were hacked to others that were not, we propose a novel firm-level measure of cybersecurity risk for all US-listed firms. We then examine whether cybersecurity risk is priced in the cross-section of stock returns. Portfolios of firms with high exposure to cybersecurity risk outperform other firms, on average, by up to 8.3% per year. At the same time, high-exposure firms perform poorly in periods of high cybersecurity risk. Reassuringly, the measure is higher in information-technology industries, correlates with characteristics linked to firms hit by cyberattacks, and predicts future cyberattacks.


Book
Informational Efficiency, Interest Rate Variability, and Central Bank Operations.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 146237025X 1452751307 1281605719 1451892101 9786613786401 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

It is shown how the frequency of central bank intervention in financial markets can affect the incentives for economic agents to acquire information, which will be reflected in market prices and thus become available to policy makers. The optimal frequency of intervention, and therefore the optimal interest rate variability, will balance the desirability of attaining given operational targets against the benefits of encouraging informational efficiency. The ability of the central bank to send clear signals of its own intentions will also depend on market informational efficiency.


Book
Devaluation Expectations and the Stock Market : The Case of Mexico in 1994/95
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462334938 145278258X 128160612X 1451892284 9786613786814 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Using company-level data, this paper examines the relative stock-market performance of firms with different foreign-exchange exposures around the time of the 1994/95 Mexican crisis. Contrary to what one might have expected given the alleged peso overvaluation, exporting firms outperformed the market beginning in late 1993. Although interest rates fail to show a clear confidence loss in the exchange rate regime, the relative performance of net exporters suggests that expectations of devaluation increased continuously. The methodology presented is relevant beyond the Mexican case: sectoral differences in stock market performance may constitute valuable leading indicators of exchange rate changes in emerging markets.


Book
Foreign Exchange Intervention and the Australian Dollar : Has it Mattered?
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462361048 1452788588 1281602078 1451898002 9786613782762 Year: 2003 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Since the Australian dollar was floated in December 1983, the Australian central bank (Reserve Bank of Australia) has actively intervened in the foreign exchange market. Using daily exchange rate and official intervention data from January 1984 to December 2001, this paper examines what effects, if any, foreign exchange operations by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) have had on the level and volatility of the Australian dollar exchange rate. First, using an event study we evaluate the effectiveness of intervention by examining its direct effect on the level of the exchange rate. We find that over the period 1997-2001, the RBA has had some success in its intervention operations, by moderating the depreciating tendency of the Australian dollar. Second, we investigate the effects of RBA intervention policies on exchange rate volatility over the floating rate period. Our results indicate that intervention operations tend to be associated with an increase in exchange rate volatility, which suggests that official intervention may have added to market uncertainty. Overall, the effects of RBA intervention are quite modest on both the level and the volatility of the Australian dollar exchange rate.


Book
Emerging Equity Markets in Middle Eastern Countries
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462373143 1455224294 1281601942 1455227218 9786613782632 Year: 1994 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Within a broad framework for analyzing portfolio capital flows to developing countries, the paper undertakes a comparative analysis of equity markets in six Middle Eastern countries. The analysis, based primarily on a range of quantitative indicators, identifies the principal characteristics of these markets, including relative to international comparators, and examines associated structural features. This, along with an analysis of the informational efficiency of selected markets in the region, provides a basis for the subsequent review of policies for enhancing the role of equity markets in the macroeconomy of Middle Eastern countries.


Book
Noise Trading, Transaction Costs, and the Relationship of Stock Returns and Trading Volume
Author:
ISBN: 1462363024 1455278793 1282050850 9786613798305 1455277673 Year: 1994 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The relationship of stock returns and trading volume is the focus of much recent interest. I examine an economic model of a rational trader who operates in a market with transactions costs and noise trading. The level of trading affects the rational trader’s marginal cost of transacting; as a result, trading volume is a source of risk. This engenders an equilibrium relationship between returns and volume. The model also provides a simple way to scrutinize this relationship empirically. Empirical evidence supports the implications of the model.


Book
Interpreting Real Exchange Rate Movements in Transition Countries.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462345980 1452720002 1281331376 1451894546 9786613778772 Year: 2001 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Several transition countries have experienced strong real exchange rate appreciations. This paper tests the hypothesis that these appreciations reflect underlying productivity gains in the tradable sector. Using panel data over the period 1993-98, the results show clear evidence of productivity-driven exchange rate movements in the central and eastern European and Baltic countries. Transition countries, particularly the EU accession countries that have begun to catch up, can expect to experience further productivity-driven real exchange rate appreciations. Evidence from a large cross-section of non-transition countries indicates that catching up by one percent will be associated with a 0.4 percent real appreciation.


Book
Structural Reforms in Government Bond Markets.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462346901 1452701806 1281600962 9786613781659 1451898681 Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The paper documents institutional reforms that have taken place in the government debt markets of many industrial countries since the early 1980s, and investigates the impact of three key changes: (i) the move from relationship financing to market funding; (ii) the introduction of options; and (iii) the introduction of futures. Variance ratio tests on bond data for 14 industrial countries indicate that the move to market funding increased the volatility of bond yields and improved the informational efficiency of the secondary markets. The introduction of options and futures increased the informational efficiency of the underlying market, but did not have a stabilizing effect.


Book
Responses of the Stock Market to Macroeconomic Announcements Across Economic States
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462321720 1451989474 1281430447 9786613780379 1451896360 Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Is the stock market responsive to macroeconomic news? This paper employs the daily returns of the Dow Jones Industrial Index, the S&P 500 index, the Russell 1000 index, and the Russell 2000 index to examine stock market reactions to a broad list of macroeconomic announcements, including money supply, inflation, employment, housing starts, and trade balances, etc. Several announcements concerning real economic activity that have received little attention in previous research are shown to have a significant impact on stock prices. The paper also presents preliminary evidence for the different reaction to macroeconomic news by small cap stocks and large cap stocks.


Book
Managing Capital Flows : Lessons From the Experience of Chile
Authors: ---
ISBN: 146238921X 1452702772 1282107054 1451903480 9786613800404 Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

As a result of the Asian crisis, methods of coping with volatile international capital markets have received considerable attention from observers and policymakers. It has been argued that the imposition by Chile of a nonremunerated reserve requirement on external borrowing played a useful role in the smooth liberalization of its capital account by allowing Chile to deal effectively with short-term capital inflows and thus to reduce its vulnerability to external shocks, and that such measures should be adopted by other countries. In light of this, this paper reviews Chile’s experience in managing capital flows and draws lessons for policymakers.

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