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This paper presents an empirical model to study the response of wages and prices to movements in the nominal exchange rate. A four-equation model is applied to Italian data to evaluate the response of tradeable goods prices, consumer prices, and wages following the lira’s exit from the ERM in the fall of 1992. The model tracks reasonably well the inflation performance of tradeables, especially import prices. But it is argued that structural changes in the labor market contribute to an overprediction of price and wage inflation.
Inflation --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Trade: General --- Foreign Exchange --- Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Import prices --- Wages --- Labor markets --- Consumer prices --- Prices --- Export prices --- Imports --- Labor market --- Exports --- Italy
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Changes in economic systems provide a rare opportunity to redesign basic institutional structures in labor markets. This paper attempts to provide guidance for such institutional choice by drawing on the findings of recent labor market research in market economies on the links between institutional structure and labor market performance. After considering the suitability of research from market economies for the labor market problems faced by economies in transition from central planning, the paper considers the effects of alternative institutions for wage determination (collective bargaining structures and minimum wage and indexation legislation), employment security, income security, and active labor market policy.
Labor --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search --- Labor Economics Policies --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Labour --- income economics --- Labor markets --- Active labor market policies --- Labor market --- Manpower policy --- Economic theory --- United States
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This paper extends the equilibrium business cycle framework to incorporate ex ante skill heterogeneity among workers. Consistent with the empirical evidence, skilled and unskilled workers in the model face the same degree of cyclical variation in real wages although unskilled workers are subject to substantially higher procyclical variation in employment. Systematic cyclical changes in the average skill level of employed workers are shown to induce bias in aggregate measures of cyclical variation in the labor input, productivity, and the real wage. The introduction of skill heterogeneity improves the model’s ability to match the empirical correlation between total hours and the real wage but the correlation between total hours and labor productivity remains higher than in the data.
Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Production and Operations Management --- Business Fluctuations --- Cycles --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Wage Level and Structure --- Wage Differentials --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Labor Economics: General --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Labour --- income economics --- Real wages --- Productivity --- Production --- Economic theory --- Labor economics --- Industrial productivity --- United States
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This paper examines the role of the labor market in the transmission process of adjustment policies in developing countries. It begins by reviewing the recent evidence regarding the functioning of these markets. It then studies the implications of wage inertia, nominal contracts, labor market segmentation, and impediments to labor mobility for stabilization policies. The effect of labor market reforms on economic flexibility and the channels through which labor market imperfections alter the effects of structural adjustment measures are discussed next. The last part of the paper identifies a variety of issues that may require further investigation, such as the link between changes in relative wages and the distributional effects of adjustment policies.
Labor --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search --- Labor Demand --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: Public Policy --- Labour --- income economics --- Labor markets --- Real wages --- Minimum wages --- Labor market --- Economic theory --- Minimum wage --- Mexico
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This Selected Background Issues paper examines the process of international financial integration in Germany, focusing on both banking and securities markets. The examination is useful both because of the size and importance of Germany’s economy and because of the structure of its financial markets, which rely on bank-based finance as opposed to securities-based finance to a greater extent than most other major industrial countries. The paper examines the data demonstrating the increased internationalization of German financial markets. It also considers measures taken by authorities to facilitate the internationalization process.
Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Income --- Labor markets --- National accounts --- Economic theory --- Labor market --- Germany
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This report describes recent developments and issues in Austria. The report discusses the structural features of the Austrian labor market. Two features—the relative importance of foreign labor supply, and the comparatively low labor force participation of certain groups—are analyzed in detail. The historical structure of the Austrian balance of payments is discussed, and the developments in 1994 are analyzed. The report also examines the Austrian tourism industry and its underlying problems. Developments in public finances are also elaborated.
Exports and Imports --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Industries: Hospital,Travel and Tourism --- Sports --- Gambling --- Restaurants --- Recreation --- Tourism --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Trade: General --- Labor Economics: General --- General Aggregative Models: General --- Hospitality, leisure & tourism industries --- Labour --- income economics --- International economics --- Labor markets --- Exports --- National accounts --- Economic sectors --- International trade --- Labor market --- Labor economics --- National income --- Austria
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This paper examines the problem of unemployment in Ireland. A brief description of the main distinctive features of the structure of Irish unemployment is presented. Based on up to date literature, the possible causes behind unemployment are reviewed. Empirical studies that have quantified the contributions of different determinants to the increase in Irish unemployment are also surveyed. The paper concludes with some policy suggestions.
Labor --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search --- Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Unemployment rate --- Labor force --- Labor markets --- Labor market --- Economic theory --- Ireland
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This paper examines the effect of trade reform on wages and unemployment in a two-sector, three-good economy in which labor is imperfectly mobile across sectors. Wages in the export sector are set so as to minimize turnover costs. The analysis shows that a reduction in tariffs, coupled with an adjustment in lump-sum taxes to equilibrate the government budget, lowers wages in all production sectors in the short and the medium run but has an ambiguous effect on unemployment. Although employment and production of exportables expand in the medium run, the unemployment rate may rise or fall depending on whether the elasticity of wages in the export sector with respect to wages in the nontraded goods sector is lower or greater than unity. Potentially adverse effects may be mitigated in the long run, however, as a result of induced shifts in the structure of production activities.
Exports and Imports --- Labor --- Taxation --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Trade: General --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure --- Labour --- income economics --- International economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Exports --- Tariffs --- Labor markets --- International trade --- Taxes --- Labor force --- Economic theory --- Tariff --- Labor market --- Mexico
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In this paper, we use micro panel data to examine the effects of oil price changes on employment and real wages, at the aggregate and industry levels. We also measure differences in the employment and wage responses for workers differentiated on the basis of skill level. We find that oil price increases result in a substantial decline in real wages for all workers, but raise the relative wage of skilled workers. The use of panel data econometric techniques to control for unobserved heterogeneity is essential to uncover this result, which is completely hidden in OLS estimates. We find that changes in oil prices induce changes in employment shares and relative wages across industries. However, we find little evidence that oil price changes cause labor to consistently flow into those sectors with relative wage increases.
Investments: Energy --- Inflation --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Energy: Demand and Supply --- Prices --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Energy: General --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Wage Level and Structure --- Wage Differentials --- Energy and the Macroeconomy --- Labour --- income economics --- Investment & securities --- Oil prices --- Oil --- Commodities --- Petroleum industry and trade --- Economic theory --- United States
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Sweden's economy in the early 1990s has been characterized by a deep recession, high unemployment, a ballooning public sector budgete deficit, and a decline in the value of the currency- developments that have raised questions about the country's capacity to sustain its comprehensive welfare state. This study provides an analysis of recent economic developments in a longer-term context and assesses their implications for future policies.
Social security law --- Economic policy and planning (general) --- Sweden --- Public welfare --- Economic conditions --- Social policy --- -330.1 <485> --- politique sociale --- prosperite et bien etre --- situation economique --- suede --- SE / Sweden - Zweden - Suede --- 331.31 --- 331.30 --- 336.61 --- 336.024 --- 368.40 --- 331.32 --- 330.05 --- 361.6509485 --- Benevolent institutions --- Poor relief --- Public assistance --- Public charities --- Public relief --- Public welfare reform --- Relief (Aid) --- Social welfare --- Welfare (Public assistance) --- Welfare reform --- Human services --- Social service --- Economische grondbegrippen. Algemene begrippen in de economie--Zweden --- sociale politiek --- welvaart en welzijn --- economische toestand --- zweden --- Economisch beleid. --- Economische toestand. --- Financieel beleid. --- Sociale begroting, rekeningen en uitgaven. Gezondheid. --- Sociale voorzorg en verzekeringen. Sociale zekerheid: algemeenheden. --- Structuur van de economie. --- Government policy --- Economic conditions. --- Social policy. --- Working papers --- 330.1 <485> Economische grondbegrippen. Algemene begrippen in de economie--Zweden --- 330.1 <485> --- Economische toestand --- Economisch beleid --- Structuur van de economie --- Sociale begroting, rekeningen en uitgaven. Gezondheid --- Financieel beleid --- Sociale voorzorg en verzekeringen. Sociale zekerheid: algemeenheden --- Public welfare - Sweden --- Sweden - Economic conditions --- Sweden - Social policy --- Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Budgeting --- Price Level --- Inflation --- Deflation --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Trade: General --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Labour --- income economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Pensions --- International economics --- Labor markets --- Export prices --- Public debt --- Pension spending --- Prices --- Expenditure --- Exports --- Labor market --- Debts, Public --- Consumption --- Economics
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