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Publication of minutes of monthly monetary policy meetings between the Chancellor of the Exchequer and the Governor of the Bank of England was a conspicuous feature of the United Kingdom’s inflation targeting framework from 1994 through April 1997. It was intended to reinforce credibility by publicizing the criteria on which policy was decided. On some occasions, however, these minutes revealed disagreement between the participants. This paper examines whether such disagreement unsettled the markets and detracted from credibility.

Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Monetary Policy --- Macroeconomics --- Monetary economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Inflation targeting --- Exchange rates --- Prices --- Monetary policy --- Germany

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This paper examines the short-run links between money growth, exchange rate depreciation, nominal wage growth, the output gap, and inflation in Chile, Korea, Mexico, and Turkey, using a generalized vector autoregression analysis. Nominal historical wage shocks are shown to have an important effect on movements in inflation only in Mexico. Generalized impulse response functions show that a positive historical shock to nominal wage growth generates a transitory but significant reduction in output. Inflation increases in all countries, particularly Mexico. A positive shock to nominal money growth raises real cash balances on impact and exerts an expansionary effect on output, despite an increase in real wages.

Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Labor --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Macroeconomics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Real wages --- Exchange rates --- Wage adjustments --- Prices --- Mexico

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A standard open-economy model is used to show that price stabilization programs are more likely to succeed if labor contracts specify forward-looking wage indexation. Compared with contracts specifying backward-looking wage indexation or wages based on static expectations, such contracts will result in a greater reduction in inflation with lower output costs, smaller misalignment of real wages, smaller outflows of reserves, smaller disruptions caused by policy announcements, and a reduced impact of some shocks during price stabilization programs. These results are generally true whether or not capital is mobile and whether or not expectations are rational.

Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: Public Policy --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Wage indexation --- Real wages --- Wages --- Exchange rates --- Prices --- Price stabilization --- Colombia

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Most empirical work on the U.S. Phillips curve has had a strong tendency to impose global linearity on the data. The basic objective of this paper is to reconsider the issue of nonlinearity and to underscore its importance for policymaking. After briefly reviewing the history of the Phillips curve and the basis for convexity, we derive it explicitly using standard models of wage and price determination. We provide some empirical estimates of Phillips curves and Phillips lines for the United States and use some illustrative simulations to contrast the policy implications of the two models.

Inflation --- Labor --- Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Macroeconomics --- Unemployment rate --- Unemployment --- Disinflation --- Wages --- Prices --- United States

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D'où vient le malaise de la politique économique ? Impuissante à résorber le chômage, ligotée par les marchés financiers, elle semble souvent frappée d'inefficacité. Pourquoi ? Il y a d'abord l'effet d'une désinflation compétitive qui, arc-boutée à la monnaie unique, perdure sans souci de ses échecs répétés et impose une « cohérence » résolument étrangère au problème de l'emploi.Mais, au-delà des impasses propres à la désinflation compétitive, il se pourrait plus largement que la politique économique connaisse une mutation qui en altère profondément les pratiques et l'efficacité. Désormais soumise à l'opinion globale, c'est-à-dire à la convergence de tous les regards, elle est en permanence exposée aux jugements et aux interprétations. Et, seul le spectacle de la communauté tout entière rassemblée derrière la « bonne » politique semble pouvoir tranquilliser les marchés. Quand faire entendre une objection suffit pour alarmer la finance, c'est la possibilité même du dissensus démocratique qui se trouve dès lors mise en cause.L'Europe permettra-t-elle de dépasser ces limites et de restaurer la souveraineté de la politique économique ? Rien n'est moins sûr, estime Frédéric Lordon, puisqu'il revient désormais aux marchés financiers, ce haut-lieu de l'opinion globale, d'élire la nouvelle monnaie internationale que l'euro voudrait devenir.

Economic nationalism --- Economic planning --- Economic policy --- Economisch beleid --- Economische politiek --- National planning --- Politiek [Economische ] --- Politique économique --- State planning --- Deflation (Finance) --- Politique économique. --- Marché financier --- -Deflation (Finance) --- -Europe --- -Disinflation --- France --- -Pʻŭrangsŭ --- Frankrig --- Francja --- Frant︠s︡ii︠a︡ --- Prantsusmaa --- Francia (Republic) --- Tsarfat --- Tsorfat --- Franḳraykh --- Frankreich --- Fa-kuo --- Faguo --- Франция --- French Republic --- République française --- Peurancih --- Frankryk --- Franse Republiek --- Francland --- Frencisc Cynewīse --- فرنسا --- Faransā --- Franza --- Republica Franzesa --- Gallia (Republic) --- Hyãsia --- Phransiya --- Fransa --- Fransa Respublikası --- Franse --- Францыя --- Frantsyi︠a︡ --- Французская Рэспубліка --- Frantsuzskai︠a︡ Rėspublika --- Parancis --- Pransya --- Franis --- Francuska --- Republika Francuska --- Bro-C'hall --- Френска република --- Frenska republika --- França --- República Francesa --- Pransiya --- Republikang Pranses --- Γαλλία --- Gallia --- Γαλλική Δημοκρατία --- Gallikē Dēmokratia --- فرانسه --- Farānsah --- צרפת --- רפובליקה הצרפתית --- Republiḳah ha-Tsarfatit --- פראנקרייך --- 法国 --- 法蘭西共和國 --- Falanxi Gongheguo --- フランス --- Furansu --- フランス共和国 --- Furansu Kyōwakoku --- Francija --- Ranska --- Frankrike --- Europe --- Economic policy. --- Disinflation --- European Union countries --- Marché financier. --- Déflation. --- Finance --- Deflation (Finance) - France. --- Deflation (Finance) - Europe. --- Politique économique --- Marché financier. --- Déflation.