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This Selected Issues paper on the Kingdom of the Netherlands reviews the cyclical position of the Dutch economy, and provides a comparison of different estimates of the nonaccelerating inflation rate of unemployment and the potential output. The study analyzes the adjustment mechanisms embedded in the central projections of a number of forecasters, and investigates the sensitivity of the outlook to upside demand risks using macroeconometric models. The paper also evaluates the effect of changes in the monetary and fiscal policies, key features of labor, and asset markets.
Inflation --- Labor --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Labour --- income economics --- Macroeconomics --- Labor costs --- Labor markets --- Wages --- Unemployment --- Prices --- Labor market --- Netherlands, The
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For a sample of US industries, nominal wage and price inflation follow aggregate price inflation closely during economic expansions. Hence, fluctuations in profit markup and real output are moderate in the face of expansionary demand shocks. During recessions, however, industrial nominal wage deflation exceeds that of the aggregate price level. This is in contras to producers’ attempt to maintain, or even increase, industrial real price inflation during recessions. Consistently, the increase in the profit markup is correlated with an increase in output contraction and a reduction in workers’ real standard of living during recessions.
Inflation --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: Public Policy --- Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data --- Data Access --- Labour --- income economics --- Economic growth --- Wages --- Real wages --- Business cycles --- Wage indexation --- Prices --- Cost of living --- Cost and standard of living --- United States
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This paper examines the effect of unionization on welfare and trade policy in a model of duopolists competing in a third market. It shows that the traditional result that the presence of a union necessitates a stronger strategic trade policy to reach the optimal level of welfare depends on the mode of competition. With Bertrand duopolists, a union can be welfare-improving; it can also lead to a weaker trade policy, or even reverse the direction of the optimal policy. The results highlight the importance for trade policy of understanding the nature of firm behavior and the institutional features of the labor market.
Exports and Imports --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Trade Unions: Objectives, Structure, and Effects --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: Public Policy --- Labor Economics: General --- Labour --- income economics --- International economics --- Wages --- Trade policy --- Wage setting --- Export subsidies --- Commercial policy --- Labor economics
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This paper uses micro data from the German Socio-Economic Panel to document that the wage structure in West Germany was remarkably stable during 1984-97, with little variation over time in wage or earnings inequality between and within different skill groups. Empirical evidence suggests that this stability is attributable to institutional factors rather than market forces. The rigidity of relative wages, despite relative shifts in labor demand that favor skilled workers, has resulted in sharp declines in employment rates for unskilled workers. The microeconomic evidence is shown to have important implications for interpreting trends in wage shares, capital-labor ratios, and aggregate unemployment.
Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Wage Level and Structure --- Wage Differentials --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: Public Policy --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Wage structure --- Income inequality --- Wage adjustments --- Labor markets --- National accounts --- Income distribution --- Labor market --- Germany
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The finances of the Czech pension system have deteriorated markedly in recent years and the aging population will add further strains in the future. The system is also burdened by significant distortions and disincentive effects. This paper assesses the current pay-as-you-go (PAYG) system, including its long-run viability, and discusses reform options. It concludes that alterations to the basic PAYG parameters can go a long way toward addressing the problems, although more systemic changes—such as pre-funding, strengthening the link between contributions and benefits, and diverting part of the pension contributions to a mandatory, private pension savings pillar—could also help.
Labor --- Public Finance --- Demography --- Fiscal Policy --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- Retirement --- Retirement Policies --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Pensions --- Labour --- income economics --- Population & demography --- Pension spending --- Aging --- Wages --- Population aging --- Czech Republic
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Fiscal policy has a strong foundation in the multiyear program of spending cuts, tax reforms, and deficit reduction in Germany. Germany's focus on actual, rather than cyclically adjusted, fiscal goals and outcomes carries the risk of rendering fiscal policy procyclical. The recent business and personal income tax reforms, pension reform, and product market reforms is commendable. But the potential benefits of these diverse reforms require a more proactive approach to labor market reform. The longer-term efficiency and functioning of the financial sector pose challenging issues.
Inflation --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Taxation --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Energy: Demand and Supply --- Prices --- Labour --- income economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Pensions --- Labor markets --- Labor costs --- Wages --- Income tax systems --- Pension spending --- Taxes --- Expenditure --- Labor market --- Income tax --- Germany
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The conceptual framework of this paper assumes that macroeconomic performance depends on the interplay between the economic environment and policies. Declining labor shares, wage moderation, and employment performance in Germany and the Netherlands have been presented. A number of policy changes are under way, but additional reforms may be needed to fully reap the benefits of the new economy. The tax reform package marks a radical and constructive shift in German tax policy, and the pension system requires a sea of change in public policy reforms.
Labor --- Public Finance --- Taxation --- Corporate Taxation --- Production and Operations Management --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Labour --- income economics --- Pensions --- Macroeconomics --- Public finance & taxation --- Corporate & business tax --- Labor markets --- Pension spending --- Productivity --- Labor share --- Expenditure --- Production --- Labor market --- Wages --- Industrial productivity --- Corporations --- Germany
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Norway showed exemplary economic performance over the past decade, as reflected in the strong economic growth and low inflation. Executive Directors commended this development, and stressed the need to maintain monetary and fiscal stances, improve efficiency, and corporate governance. They appreciated the Solidarity Alternative policy framework for preserving the competitiveness of the non-oil economy, and employment through a combination of incomes policy and prudent management of the country's oil wealth. They agreed that the country's economic statistics are adequate for surveillance purposes in their coverage, quality, and timeliness.
Investments: Energy --- Inflation --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Fiscal Policy --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Energy: General --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Labour --- income economics --- Investment & securities --- Pensions --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Fiscal stance --- Wages --- Oil --- Fiscal policy --- Commodities --- Petroleum industry and trade --- Prices --- Norway
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The paper describes recent macroeconomic and financial developments and highlights a number of important medium- and longer-term policy issues. Empirical estimates of potential output growth for the Kyrgyz economy based on a number of different methodologies are presented. Competitiveness and trade policy, social policy issues, namely poverty alleviation and pension reform, are also taken up for discussion. Developments in the banking system since 1998 are described. Fiscal issues are discussed and also statistical data on economic indices are presented.
Banks and Banking --- Labor --- Public Finance --- Poverty and Homelessness --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: General --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Pensions --- Banking --- Poverty & precarity --- Labour --- income economics --- Pension spending --- Commercial banks --- Poverty --- Expenditure --- Financial institutions --- Wages --- Banks and banking --- Kyrgyz Republic
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The current slowdown in the Norwegian economy has followed an exceptionally prolonged phase of expansion. The current slowdown in economic growth is expected to continue. Over the longer term, the public finances face challenges as oil revenues begin to run out and pension liabilities escalate. Support to agriculture deserves high priority. There is scope to improve the performance of the labor market by liberalizing regulations and allowing for greater wage differentiation. The privatization initiatives should be pursued vigorously to improve efficiency and corporate governance.
Investments: Energy --- Inflation --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Fiscal Policy --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Energy: General --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Labour --- income economics --- Investment & securities --- Pensions --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Fiscal stance --- Wages --- Oil --- Fiscal policy --- Petroleum industry and trade --- Prices --- Norway
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