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Netherlands : Selected Issues.
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ISBN: 1462362443 1452705291 1280897171 9786613738486 1452736669 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This Selected Issues paper on the Kingdom of the Netherlands reviews the cyclical position of the Dutch economy, and provides a comparison of different estimates of the nonaccelerating inflation rate of unemployment and the potential output. The study analyzes the adjustment mechanisms embedded in the central projections of a number of forecasters, and investigates the sensitivity of the outlook to upside demand risks using macroeconometric models. The paper also evaluates the effect of changes in the monetary and fiscal policies, key features of labor, and asset markets.


Book
Cost of Living Adjustment and Business Cycles : Disaggregated Evidence
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ISBN: 1462319645 1451985401 128210666X 145189998X 9786613800015 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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For a sample of US industries, nominal wage and price inflation follow aggregate price inflation closely during economic expansions. Hence, fluctuations in profit markup and real output are moderate in the face of expansionary demand shocks. During recessions, however, industrial nominal wage deflation exceeds that of the aggregate price level. This is in contras to producers’ attempt to maintain, or even increase, industrial real price inflation during recessions. Consistently, the increase in the profit markup is correlated with an increase in output contraction and a reduction in workers’ real standard of living during recessions.


Book
Unionization and Strategic Trade Policy
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462307647 1451994532 1281600784 1451894287 9786613781475 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines the effect of unionization on welfare and trade policy in a model of duopolists competing in a third market. It shows that the traditional result that the presence of a union necessitates a stronger strategic trade policy to reach the optimal level of welfare depends on the mode of competition. With Bertrand duopolists, a union can be welfare-improving; it can also lead to a weaker trade policy, or even reverse the direction of the optimal policy. The results highlight the importance for trade policy of understanding the nature of firm behavior and the institutional features of the labor market.


Book
The Unbearable Stability of the German Wage Structure : Evidence and Interpretation
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ISBN: 1462397506 1452734151 1281604771 9786613785466 1451891814 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper uses micro data from the German Socio-Economic Panel to document that the wage structure in West Germany was remarkably stable during 1984-97, with little variation over time in wage or earnings inequality between and within different skill groups. Empirical evidence suggests that this stability is attributable to institutional factors rather than market forces. The rigidity of relative wages, despite relative shifts in labor demand that favor skilled workers, has resulted in sharp declines in employment rates for unskilled workers. The microeconomic evidence is shown to have important implications for interpreting trends in wage shares, capital-labor ratios, and aggregate unemployment.


Book
Pension System Viability and Reform Alternatives in the Czech Republic
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ISBN: 1462343023 145273920X 1281604364 9786613785053 1451891326 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The finances of the Czech pension system have deteriorated markedly in recent years and the aging population will add further strains in the future. The system is also burdened by significant distortions and disincentive effects. This paper assesses the current pay-as-you-go (PAYG) system, including its long-run viability, and discusses reform options. It concludes that alterations to the basic PAYG parameters can go a long way toward addressing the problems, although more systemic changes—such as pre-funding, strengthening the link between contributions and benefits, and diverting part of the pension contributions to a mandatory, private pension savings pillar—could also help.


Book
Germany : Staff Report for the 2000 Article IV Consultation.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462358535 1452705194 1280892838 1452712530 9786613734143 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Fiscal policy has a strong foundation in the multiyear program of spending cuts, tax reforms, and deficit reduction in Germany. Germany's focus on actual, rather than cyclically adjusted, fiscal goals and outcomes carries the risk of rendering fiscal policy procyclical. The recent business and personal income tax reforms, pension reform, and product market reforms is commendable. But the potential benefits of these diverse reforms require a more proactive approach to labor market reform. The longer-term efficiency and functioning of the financial sector pose challenging issues.


Book
Germany : Selected Issues.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1455262234 145199687X 128097902X 9786613750631 1452774080 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The conceptual framework of this paper assumes that macroeconomic performance depends on the interplay between the economic environment and policies. Declining labor shares, wage moderation, and employment performance in Germany and the Netherlands have been presented. A number of policy changes are under way, but additional reforms may be needed to fully reap the benefits of the new economy. The tax reform package marks a radical and constructive shift in German tax policy, and the pension system requires a sea of change in public policy reforms.


Book
Norway : Staff Report for the 1999 Article IV Consultation.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1455260096 1452713367 128097317X 9786613746344 1452761884 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Norway showed exemplary economic performance over the past decade, as reflected in the strong economic growth and low inflation. Executive Directors commended this development, and stressed the need to maintain monetary and fiscal stances, improve efficiency, and corporate governance. They appreciated the Solidarity Alternative policy framework for preserving the competitiveness of the non-oil economy, and employment through a combination of incomes policy and prudent management of the country's oil wealth. They agreed that the country's economic statistics are adequate for surveillance purposes in their coverage, quality, and timeliness.


Book
Kyrgyz Republic : Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1455250058 1452797064 1280896256 9786613737564 1452725608 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The paper describes recent macroeconomic and financial developments and highlights a number of important medium- and longer-term policy issues. Empirical estimates of potential output growth for the Kyrgyz economy based on a number of different methodologies are presented. Competitiveness and trade policy, social policy issues, namely poverty alleviation and pension reform, are also taken up for discussion. Developments in the banking system since 1998 are described. Fiscal issues are discussed and also statistical data on economic indices are presented.


Book
Norway : Staff Report for the 1999 Article IV Consultation.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462391702 1452744912 1280896744 9786613738059 1452708401 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The current slowdown in the Norwegian economy has followed an exceptionally prolonged phase of expansion. The current slowdown in economic growth is expected to continue. Over the longer term, the public finances face challenges as oil revenues begin to run out and pension liabilities escalate. Support to agriculture deserves high priority. There is scope to improve the performance of the labor market by liberalizing regulations and allowing for greater wage differentiation. The privatization initiatives should be pursued vigorously to improve efficiency and corporate governance.

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