Listing 1 - 10 of 124 << page
of 13
>>
Sort by
Deflation : what happens when prices fall
Author:
ISBN: 0060576456 Year: 2004 Publisher: New York HarperCollins

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract


Book
Botswana : Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes-Data Module-Update.
Author:
ISBN: 1455257214 1452738467 1280919787 1452708525 9786613741967 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

The high priority recommendations from the data report on the observance of standards and codes mission covered both general and sector-specific issues relating to the national accounts, consumer and producer price indices, government finance statistics, monetary statistics, and balance-of-payments statistics. Progress has been made in implementing the recommendation on data sharing and coordination among agencies. A high-level statistics producers committee has been established. Progress on quarterly national accounts data has been slow because of poor response rates to the surveys.


Book
Measuring Disinflation Credibility in Emerging Markets : A Bayesian Approach with An Application to Turkey
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462328474 1452790396 1283518929 145191931X 9786613831378 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

This paper presents an empirical measure of disinflation credibility and discusses its evolution in Turkey since the 2001 crisis. The results indicate that credibility has improved markedly over this period, boding well for the future of disinflation in Turkey.


Book
A Reexamination of Korea’s Trade Flows : What Has Changed and What Explains These Changes?
Author:
ISBN: 1462342825 1452729026 1282108735 1451901704 9786613802088 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

This paper reexamines Korea's trade flows. Using the standard demand-based models, the paper finds that owing to the increasing share of electrical and electronic products (EEPs) in total exports, the income elasticity of the Korean export demand has fallen sharply while its price elasticity has risen dramatically. This is a curious result, which begs the question of why. Accordingly, an alternative supply-based model shows that the sharp increase in exports of EEPs is mainly due to Korea's remarkable ability to make technological improvements in their production. After reestimating the standard import equation, the paper finds estimates similar to those from previous studies. Since most of these imports are industrial inputs, they are jointly determined by consumption, fixed investment, and exports.


Book
Forecasting Thailand’s Core Inflation
Author:
ISBN: 1462357024 1451985428 1281328715 1451897294 9786613778741 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

This paper develops an approach for forecasting in Thailand core inflation. The key innovation is to anchor the projections derived from the short-term time-series properties of core inflation to its longer-run evolution. This involves combining a short-term model, which attempts to distill the forecasting power of a variety of monthly indicators purely on goodness-of-fit criteria, with an equilibrium-correction model that pins down the convergence of core inflation to its longer-run structural determinants. The result is a promising model for forecasting Thai core inflation over horizons up to 10, 24, and 55 months, based on a root mean-squared error criterion as well as a mean absolute error criterion.


Book
Choosing the correct currency anchor for a small economy : the case of Nepal
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462391257 1452735077 1282048279 9786613797995 145190147X Year: 2004 Publisher: [Washington, District of Columbia] : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

This paper uses the Sjaastad model to estimate the optimal currency area for the Nepalese rupee and concludes that, currently, Nepal may be reasonably well off with its peg to the Indian rupee. As its economy opens and its trade base and trading partners expand, it may want to reevaluate whether moving toward an exchange rate basket including the U.S. dollar may be a better policy choice. The regression results indicate that, currently, the prices of imported goods in Nepal are solely influenced by India, suggesting that with the peg to the Indian rupee, Nepal can isolate the import side of its economy completely from external shocks. On the export side, the regression results indicate that Nepalese export prices seem, to a large extent, to be influenced by U.S. prices. However, the export price index had to be constructed, and the construction methodology is likely to entail an overestimation of the impact of the U.S. dollar.


Book
A New Taxonomy of Monetary Regimes
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462350852 1452735042 1282110535 1451905106 9786613803429 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

This paper proposes a new taxonomy of monetary regimes defined by the choice and clarity of the nominal anchor. The regimes are as follows: (i) monetary nonautonomy, (ii) weak anchor, (iii) money anchor, (iv) exchange rate peg, (v) full-fledged inflation targeting, (vi) implicit price stability anchor, and (vii) inflation targeting lite. This taxonomy captures the commitment-discretion tradeoffs that lie at the heart of choosing a monetary regime. During the last 15 years the world has moved toward monetary regimes with less discretion. Empirical analysis suggests that country regime choices reflect the level of financial and economic development and recent inflation history.


Book
Money-Based Versus Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilization : Is There Space for Political Opportunism?
Author:
ISBN: 1462301525 145274419X 1281601527 9786613782212 1451897618 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

In response to high and chronic inflation, countries have adopted different stabilization policies. However, the extent to which these stabilization programs were designed for political motives is not clear. Since exchange-rate-based stabilizations (ERBS) create an initial consumption boom followed by a contraction, whereas money-based stabilizations (MBS) generate a consumption bust followed by a recovery, policymakers may consider the timing of elections when determining the nominal anchor for stabilization. This paper finds strong evidence that the choice of nominal anchor depends on elections, implying the existence of political opportunism. ERBS are, on average, launched before elections while MBS are set after them.


Book
Ghostbusting : Which Output Gap Measure Really Matters?
Author:
ISBN: 1462318606 1451983379 1282108530 145190178X 9786613801883 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

This paper investigates various output gap measures in a simple inflation forecasting framework. Reflecting the cyclical position of an economy, an (unobservable) output gap has important implications for economic analysis. I construct and compare common output gap measures for five European countries. Since output above potential reflects domestic inflationary pressures, including a gap could improve the accuracy of autoregressive inflation forecasting. This assertion is tested in a simple simulated out-of-sample forecasting exercise for the period 1990-2002. The main conclusions are that an output gap rarely provides useful information and that there is no single best output gap measure across countries.


Book
Economic geography and wages : the case of Indonesia
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462399428 145271696X 1281244120 9786613777928 1451896425 Year: 2004 Publisher: [Washington, District of Columbia] : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

The paper finds a significant shift in the economic characteristics of civil conflicts during the1990s. Conflicts have become shorter but with more severe contractions and a stronger recovery of growth. The overall length and cost of the conflict cycle has probably declined. The stance of macroeconomic policy was an important factor while the underlying "conflict process" remained unchanged. This shift seems related to changes in aid flows since the Cold War: donors became disinclined to provide support during conflict, but more inclined after conflict. These findings are buttressed by the post-conflict experience of countries that received financial assistance from the IMF and of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). These findings have implications for policy and aid priorities after conflict.

Listing 1 - 10 of 124 << page
of 13
>>
Sort by