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Bayesian inference provides a simple and unified approach to data analysis, allowing experimenters to assign probabilities to competing hypotheses of interest, on the basis of the current state of knowledge. By incorporating relevant prior information, it can sometimes improve model parameter estimates by many orders of magnitude. This book provides a clear exposition of the underlying concepts with many worked examples and problem sets. It also discusses implementation, including an introduction to Markov chain Monte-Carlo integration and linear and nonlinear model fitting. Particularly extensive coverage of spectral analysis (detecting and measuring periodic signals) includes a self-contained introduction to Fourier and discrete Fourier methods. There is a chapter devoted to Bayesian inference with Poisson sampling, and three chapters on frequentist methods help to bridge the gap between the frequentist and Bayesian approaches. Supporting Mathematica® notebooks with solutions to selected problems, additional worked examples, and a Mathematica tutorial are available at www.cambridge.org/9780521150125.
Bayesian statistical decision theory. --- Physical sciences --- Statistische data-analyse. --- Statistical methods. --- Mathematica (Computer file). --- Science --- Bayes' solution --- Bayesian analysis --- Statistical decision --- Mathematica (Computer file)
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Bayesian statistical decision theory --- Biometry --- Biological statistics --- Biology --- Biometrics (Biology) --- Biostatistics --- Biomathematics --- Statistics --- Bayes' solution --- Bayesian analysis --- Statistical decision --- Statistical methods --- Mathematical statistics --- Biomathematics. Biometry. Biostatistics
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Probabilistic Modelling in Bioinformatics and Medical Informatics has been written for researchers and students in statistics, machine learning, and the biological sciences. The first part of this book provides a self-contained introduction to the methodology of Bayesian networks. The following parts demonstrate how these methods are applied in bioinformatics and medical informatics. All three fields - the methodology of probabilistic modeling, bioinformatics, and medical informatics - are evolving very quickly. The text should therefore be seen as an introduction, offering both elementary tutorials as well as more advanced applications and case studies.
Bioinformatics --- Medical informatics --- Bayesian statistical decision theory. --- Methodology. --- Bayes' solution --- Bayesian analysis --- Statistical decision --- Clinical informatics --- Health informatics --- Medical information science --- Information science --- Medicine --- Bio-informatics --- Biological informatics --- Biology --- Computational biology --- Systems biology --- Data processing --- Bayesian statistical decision theory --- Methodology
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330.115 --- 330.115 Econometrie --- Econometrie --- Econometrie. --- 330.01519542 --- Bayesian statistical decision theory --- Econometrics --- Economics, Mathematical --- Statistics --- Bayes' solution --- Bayesian analysis --- Statistical decision --- Mathematical statistics --- Quantitative methods (economics) --- Bayesian statistical decision theory. --- Econometrics. --- 303.6 --- AA / International- internationaal --- Raming : theorie (wiskundige statistiek). Bayesian analysis and inference
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Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) originated in statistical physics, but has spilled over into various application areas, leading to a corresponding variety of techniques and methods. That variety stimulates new ideas and developments from many different places, and there is much to be gained from cross-fertilization. This book presents five expository essays by leaders in the field, drawing from perspectives in physics, statistics and genetics, and showing how different aspects of MCMC come to the fore in different contexts. The essays derive from tutorial lectures at an interdisciplinary progr
Monte Carlo method --- Bayesian statistical decision theory --- Markov processes --- Monte-Carlo, Méthode de --- Statistique bayésienne --- Markov, Processus de --- Monte Carlo method. --- Bayesian statistical decision theory. --- Markov processes. --- Simulatiemodellen. --- Analysis, Markov --- Chains, Markov --- Markoff processes --- Markov analysis --- Markov chains --- Markov models --- Models, Markov --- Processes, Markov --- Stochastic processes --- Bayes' solution --- Bayesian analysis --- Statistical decision --- Artificial sampling --- Model sampling --- Monte Carlo simulation --- Monte Carlo simulation method --- Stochastic sampling --- Games of chance (Mathematics) --- Mathematical models --- Numerical analysis --- Numerical calculations --- Markov-processen. --- Monte Carlo-methode.
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This titel offers tools to improve decision making in an imperfect world. This publication provides readers with a thorough understanding of Bayesian analysis that is grounded in the theory of inference and optimal decision making. "Contemporary Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics" provides readers with state-of-the-art simulation methods and models that are used to solve complex real-world problems. Armed with a strong foundation in both theory and practical problem-solving tools, readers discover how to optimize decision making when faced with problems that involve limited or imperfect data. The book begins by examining the theoretical and mathematical foundations of Bayesian statistics to help readers understand how and why it is used in problem solving. The author then describes how modern simulation methods make Bayesian approaches practical using widely available mathematical applications software.In addition, the author details how models can be applied to specific problems, including: linear models and policy choices; modeling with latent variables and missing data; time series models and prediction; and, comparison and evaluation of models.The publication has been developed and fine- tuned through a decade of classroom experience, and readers will find the author's approach very engaging and accessible. There are nearly 200 examples and exercises to help readers see how effective use of Bayesian statistics enables them to make optimal decisions.MATLAB and R computer programs are integrated throughout the book. An accompanying Web site provides readers with computer code for many examples and datasets. This publication is tailored for research professionals who use econometrics and similar statistical methods in their work. With its emphasis on practical problem solving and extensive use of examples and exercises, this is also an excellent textbook for graduate-level students in a broad range of fields, including economics, statistics, the social sciences, business, and public policy.
Mathematical statistics --- Econometrics --- Bayesian statistical decision theory --- Decision Making --- Mathematical models --- 330.115 --- 519.226 --- Bayesian statistical decision theory. --- Decision making --- -330.01519542 --- Deciding --- Decision (Psychology) --- Decision analysis --- Decision processes --- Making decisions --- Management --- Management decisions --- Choice (Psychology) --- Problem solving --- Bayes' solution --- Bayesian analysis --- Statistical decision --- Economics, Mathematical --- Statistics --- Econometrie --- Inference and decision theory. Likelihood. Bayesian theory. Fiducial probability --- Decision making. --- Decision making - Mathematical models. --- Econometrics. --- Mathematical models. --- Business & Economics --- Economic Theory --- 519.226 Inference and decision theory. Likelihood. Bayesian theory. Fiducial probability --- 330.115 Econometrie --- 330.01519542 --- Decision Making - Mathematical models
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