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Computer-based medical guidelines and protocols : a primer and current trends
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ISBN: 6000006454 1281786276 1435678109 1607503417 9781435678101 9781597344647 1597344648 9781281786272 9781607503415 1586038737 9781586038731 9781607503411 Year: 2008 Publisher: Amsterdam ; Washington, DC : IOS Press,

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Abstract

Presents results from different branches of computer science (in particular, artificial intelligence), medical informatics and medicine to examine approaches to computer-based guideline modeling, verification and interpretation.


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Decision enhancement services : rehearsing the future for decisions that matter
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ISBN: 1586038370 1441616764 1607503123 6000014376 9781441616760 9781607503125 9781586038373 9786000014377 Year: 2008 Publisher: Amsterdam : IOS Press,

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Decision Enhancement (DE) is a field of practice aimed at extending lessons, principles and tools built up over a thirty year period, largely under the term 'Decision Support'. This book encourages reflection and discussion within and across executives, their advisors, change management specialists, and experts in multi-disciplinary fields.


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Better than conscious?
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ISBN: 0262272350 1435651898 0262195801 9780262272353 9781435651890 9780262195805 Year: 2008 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. MIT Press

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Experts discuss the implications of the ways humans reach decisions through the conscious and subconscious processing of information. Conscious control enables human decision makers to override routines, to exercise willpower, to find innovative solutions, to learn by instruction, to decide collectively, and to justify their choices. These and many more advantages, however, come at a price: the ability to process information consciously is severely limited and conscious decision makers are liable to hundreds of biases. Measured against the norms of rational choice theory, conscious decision makers perform poorly. But if people forego conscious control, in appropriate tasks, they perform surprisingly better: they handle vast amounts of information; they update prior information; they find appropriate solutions to ill-defined problems. This inaugural Strungmann Forum Report explores the human ability to make decisions, consciously as well as without conscious control. It explores decision-making strategies, including deliberate and intuitive; explicit and implicit; processing information serially and in parallel, with a general-purpose apparatus, or with task-specific neural subsystems. The analysis is at four levels--neural, psychological, evolutionary, and institutional--and the discussion is extended to the definition of social problems and the design of better institutional interventions. The results presented differ greatly from what could be expected under standard rational choice theory and deviate even more from the alternate behavioral view of institutions. New challenges emerge (for example, the issue of free will) and some purported social problems almost disappear if one adopts a more adequate model of human decision making.

Integrated pitchfork analysis : basic to intermediate level
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ISBN: 1119206065 1282686720 9786612686726 0470740493 0470694343 9781119206064 9780470740491 9780470694343 Year: 2008 Publisher: Chichester, West Sussex, England ; Hoboken, NJ : Wiley,

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Integrated Pitchfork Analysis: Basic to Intermediate Level is an introductory text to the branch of Technical Analysis which uses the Andrews' pitchfork trading technique. Designed for traders with no experience of Pitchfork Analysis this book demonstrates how to analyse the markets and trade using pitchfork analysis, assisting the novice trader in achieving a consistent performance. Written by experienced trader, Dr Mircea Dologa, founder of www.pitchforktrader.com, the book begins by introducing and discussing the basic theory of p

Inside intuition.
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ISBN: 9780415414524 9780415414531 0415414520 0415414539 9780203932070 9781134121793 9781134121830 Year: 2008 Publisher: London Routledge


Book
Decisions : risk and reward
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ISBN: 1134092512 0429240732 128145706X 9786611457068 0203932811 Year: 2008 Publisher: New York, N.Y. : Routledge,

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This book addresses a wide range of contemporary issues in decision research, such as how individuals deal with uncertainty and complexity, gender-based differences in decision-making, what determines decision performance and why people choose risky activities.


Book
Operations Research Proceedings 2007 : Selected Papers of the Annual International Conference of the German Operations Research Society (GOR)
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ISBN: 1281241660 9786611241667 3540779035 3540779027 Year: 2008 Publisher: Berlin, Heidelberg : Springer Berlin Heidelberg : Imprint: Springer,

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The symposium Operations Research 2007 was held from September 5-7, 2007 at the Saarland University in Saarbru ¨cken. This international conference is at the same time the annual meeting of the German - erations Research Society (GOR). The transition in Germany (and many other countries in Europe) from a production orientation to a service society combined with a continuous demographic change generated a need for intensi?ed Op- ations Research activities in this area. On that account this conference has been devoted to the role of Operations Research in the service industry. The links to Operations Research are manifold and include many di?erent topics which are particularly emphasized in scienti?c sections of OR 2007. More than 420 participants from 30 countries made this event very international and successful. The program consisted of three p- nary,elevensemi-plenaryandmorethan300contributedpresentations, which had been organized in 18 sections. During the conference, the GOR Dissertation and Diploma Prizes were awarded. We congratulate all winners, especially Professor Wolfgang Domschke from the Da- stadt University of Technology, on receiving the GOR Scienti?c Prize Award.


Book
Pricing Portfolio Credit Derivatives by Means of Evolutionary Algorithms
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ISBN: 3834997021 3834909157 Year: 2008 Publisher: Wiesbaden : Gabler Verlag : Imprint: Gabler Verlag,

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With the recent development of non-standard credit derivatives, it has become increasingly important to develop pricing models for these illiquid products which are consistent with the pricing models and the market quotes of related liquid instruments. Svenja Hager aims at pricing non-standard illiquid portfolio credit derivatives which are related to standard CDO tranches with the same underlying portfolio of obligors. Instead of assuming a homogeneous dependence structure between the default times of different obligors, as it is assumed in the standard market model, the author focuses on the use of heterogeneous correlation structures. The intention is to find a correlation matrix sufficiently flexible so that all tranche spreads of a CDO structure can be reproduced simultaneously. This allows for consistent pricing. The calibrated model can then be used to determine the price of non-standard contracts. As there is no standard optimization technique to derive the correlation structure from market prices, Evolutionary Algorithms are applied.


Book
Integrated Capacity and Price Control in Revenue Management : A Fuzzy System Approach
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ISBN: 3834996505 3835009869 Year: 2008 Publisher: Wiesbaden : Gabler Verlag : Imprint: Gabler Verlag,

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Due to tough competition and increased customer-orientation, companies must improve their management of revenue objectives. In the context of a fluctuating demand and the unknown price behaviour of customers, the practice-oriented development of a revenue management approach for an integrated control of capacities and prices becomes essential. Michael Becher develops a concept for an integrated capacity and price control in revenue management. His concept is based on fuzzy expert controllers and complies with the defined business and application requirements. The resulting approach is evaluated in three applications: capacity control in waste incineration industry, price control in hotels and integrated capacity and price control in goods distribution. The results show that the amount of coverage can be increased due to the application of the proposed concept.

Voting and collective decision-making : bargaining and power
Authors: ---
ISBN: 9780521873871 0521873878 9780511493553 9780521182638 0511429541 9780511429545 9780511429927 0511429924 9780511429132 0511429134 051149355X 0521182638 1107198100 128179144X 9786611791445 0511428421 0511427743 Year: 2008 Publisher: Cambridge : Cambridge University Press,

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Every day thousands of decisions are made by all kinds of committees, parliaments, councils and boards by a 'yes-no' voting process. Sometimes a committee can only accept or reject the proposals submitted to it for a decision. On other occasions, committee members have the possibility of modifying the proposal and bargaining an agreement prior to the vote. In either case, what rule should be used if each member acts on behalf of a different-sized group? It seems intuitively clear that if the groups are of different sizes then a symmetric rule (e.g. the simple majority or unanimity) is not suitable. The question then arises of what voting rule should be used. Voting and Collective Decision-Making addresses this and other issues through a study of the theory of bargaining and voting power, showing how it applies to real decision-making contexts.

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