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2008 (3)

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Book
Republic of Armenia : Selected Issues.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462355560 1452776768 1280883480 9786613724793 1451985126 Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This Selected Issues paper for the Republic of Armenia shows that building up fiscal space during economic expansions is crucial for the effective implementation of stimulatory policies during downturns. Armenia’s tax revenue remains one of the lowest in the region, and significantly below potential. The legislative changes introducing a VAT threshold and a simplified regime for those businesses below the threshold, as well as the adoption of a comprehensive and ambitious modernization plan for revamping tax administration, are promising steps in the right direction.


Book
Accumulating Foreign Reserves Under Floating Exchange Rates
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ISBN: 1451914113 1462366902 9786612840517 1282840517 1451869576 1452702675 Year: 2008 Volume: WP/08/96 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Official accumulation of foreign reserves may be perceived as interventions to influence the exchange rate, undermining the credibility of floating exchange rates and inflation targets. This paper develops a theoretical framework to study the interaction between reserve accumulation and monetary policy. The model uncovers a trade-off between the speed of reserve accumulation and anti-inflationary credibility. Under reasonable assumptions, delegation of intervention and monetary policy decisions to separate government agencies allows faster reserve accumulation, while centralization of these decisions results in a more stable economy. The analysis underscores the importance of rather overlooked institutional features of policymaking in open economies.


Book
Is Central Bank Intervention Effective Under Inflation Targeting Regimes? The Case of Colombia
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ISBN: 1462315445 1452782385 1283518546 1451914032 9786613830999 Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Policymakers in many emerging markets are attempting to resist currency appreciation while simultaneously meeting targets for inflation. Using the recent experience of Colombia between 2004 and 2007, this paper examines the effectiveness of the Central Bank's intervention in stemming domestic currency appreciation under an inflation targeting regime. The results indicate that exchange rate intervention was effective during 2004-2006, when foreign currency purchases were undertaken during a period of monetary easing. During 2007, on the other hand, intervention was ineffective in reversing or slowing down domestic currency appreciation, as large-scale intervention became incompatible with meeting the inflation target in an overheating economy. Currency derivative markets-which have grown in depth and sophistication-played a key role in blunting the effectiveness of intervention.

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