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book (10)


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2011 (10)

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Book
Growth from International Capital Flows : The Role of Volatility Regimes
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1455284548 1455299677 1283551608 9786613864055 1455252271 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Recent commentary has downplayed the growth dividend from international financial integration, highlighting the possibly negative correlation between capital inflows and long-run growth. This paper presents new evidence consistent with standard economic theory and a more benign interpretation of cross-border private capital flows. The key observation is that a country’s growth volatility changes over time. With volatility below a threshold, an inflow of foreign capital has promoted growth. However, during periods of volatile growth, more flows have been associated with slower growth. Volatility levels and changes reflect an interaction of domestic production and institutional structures with global factors.


Book
Sectoral Composition of Foreign Direct Investment and External Vulnerability in Eastern Europe
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1455291633 1455279528 128356212X 9786613874573 1455277509 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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In the run up to the global crisis, countries in Central Eastern and Southeastern Europe attracted large capital inflows and some of them built up large external imbalances. This paper investigates whether these imbalances are linked to the sectoral composition of FDI. It shows that FDI in the tradable sectors leads to an improvement of the external balance. We also find that the countries with large market size, good infrastructure, greater trade integration, and educated labor force are more likely to receive more FDI in the tradable sectors.


Book
Financial Integration and Rebalancing in Asia
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1463922647 1463977662 9786613883100 1463948808 1463925182 1283570653 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The paper shows that Asia's degree of financial integration, both with the world and within the region remains low by various measures. The paper also provides empirical evidence that greater financial integration can support economic rebalancing in statistically meaningful ways. The implication is that in the debate on managing capital inflows the longer-term benefits of financial openness for broader-based growth should not be forgotten.


Book
Does G-4 Liquidity Spill Over?
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1463996039 1463950764 128356999X 9786613882448 1463963238 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The resumption of strong capital flows into emerging markets in mid-2009 brought back the debate over whether pull or push factors are the main determinants. This paper, using panel specifications with alternative measures of global liquidity, asks the question whether G-4 liquidity expansion spills over to the rest of the world. The paper finds strong positive links between G-4 liquidity expansion and asset prices, such as equities, in the liquidity receiving economies, which indicates that the push factor plays an important role in asset prices. Liquidity also has a strong positive link with the accumulation of official reserves and with equity portfolio inflows in receiving economies. Moreover, the association between excess equity returns, excess credit growth, and global liquidity has implications for rising risks to financial stability in the receiving economies.


Book
India's Financial Globalisation
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462340598 1455280127 1283564920 9786613877376 1455214868 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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India embarked on reintegration with the world economy in the early 1990s. At first, a certain limited opening took place emphasising equity flows by certain kinds of foreign investors. This opening has had myriad interesting implications in terms of both microeconomics and macroeconomics. A dynamic process of change in the economy and in economic policy then came about, with a co-evolution between the system of capital controls, macroeconomic policy, and the internationalisation of firms including the emergence of Indian multinationals.Through this process, de facto openness has risen sharply. De facto openness has implied a loss of monetary policy autonomy when exchange rate pegging was attempted. The exchange rate regime has evolved towards greater flexibility.


Book
Capital Flows to EU New Member States : Does Sector Destination Matter?
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1455281514 1455278483 1283554585 9786613867032 145522507X Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The recent boom-bust episode in Emerging Europe was largely the product of surges and sudden stops in capital inflows. This paper empirically argues that the sectors into which capital flows determines their impact on GDP growth. Applying data from EU New Member States, it is found that capital flows into real estate have a greater impact on swings in GDP than other sectors, irrespective of a country's exchange rate or fiscal policy. Consequently, as new waves of capital inflows spread to emerging markets, policies may usefully focus on supporting capital inflows towards economic sectors that minimize large swings in GDP.


Book
The age of central banks
Author:
ISBN: 9780857932136 0857932136 Year: 2011 Publisher: Cheltenham Edward Elgar

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Abstract

Curzio Giannini's history of the evolution of central banks illustrates how the most relevant institutional developments have taken place at times of widespread confidence crises and in response to deflationary pressures.


Book
Economic Policies and FDI Inflows to Emerging Market Economies
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ISBN: 1462393012 1463900732 1283570203 9786613882653 1463900740 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper investigates the determinants of FDI inflows to emerging market economies, concentrating on the effects of economic policies. The empirical analysis also addresses the role of external push factors and of political stability using a domestic conflict events database. The results suggest that lowering corporate tax rates and trade tariffs, adopting fixed or managed exchange rate policies and eliminating FDI related capital controls have played an important role. Domestic conflict events and political instability are found to have significant negative effects on FDI, which highlights the role of incluside policies to promote growth and avoid sudden stops of FDI inflows.


Book
A network analysis of global banking : 1978–2009
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462339468 1462395961 1283553783 9786613866233 1455225002 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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In this paper we explore the properties of the global banking network using cross-border bank lending data for 184 countries over 1978-2009. Specifically, we analyze financial interconnectedness using network metrics of centrality, connectivity, and clustering. We document a relatively unstable global banking network, with structural breaks in network indicators identifying several waves of capital flows. Interconnectedness rankings, especially for borrowers, are relatively volatile over the period. Connectivity tends to fall during and after systemic banking crises and sovereign debt crises. The 2008-09 global financial crisis stands out as an unusually large perturbation to the cross-border banking network.

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