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Recent commentary has downplayed the growth dividend from international financial integration, highlighting the possibly negative correlation between capital inflows and long-run growth. This paper presents new evidence consistent with standard economic theory and a more benign interpretation of cross-border private capital flows. The key observation is that a country’s growth volatility changes over time. With volatility below a threshold, an inflow of foreign capital has promoted growth. However, during periods of volatile growth, more flows have been associated with slower growth. Volatility levels and changes reflect an interaction of domestic production and institutional structures with global factors.
Capital movements --- Capital flight --- Capital flows --- Capital inflow --- Capital outflow --- Flight of capital --- Flow of capital --- Movements of capital --- Balance of payments --- Foreign exchange --- International finance --- Econometric models. --- Exports and Imports --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- International economics --- Capital inflows --- Current account --- Private capital flows --- Current account balance --- United States
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In the run up to the global crisis, countries in Central Eastern and Southeastern Europe attracted large capital inflows and some of them built up large external imbalances. This paper investigates whether these imbalances are linked to the sectoral composition of FDI. It shows that FDI in the tradable sectors leads to an improvement of the external balance. We also find that the countries with large market size, good infrastructure, greater trade integration, and educated labor force are more likely to receive more FDI in the tradable sectors.
Investments, Foreign --- Capital movements --- Capital flight --- Capital flows --- Capital inflow --- Capital outflow --- Flight of capital --- Flow of capital --- Movements of capital --- Balance of payments --- Foreign exchange --- International finance --- Exports and Imports --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Economywide Country Studies: Europe --- Trade: General --- Finance --- International economics --- Foreign direct investment --- Trade balance --- Capital inflows --- Exports --- Capital controls --- International trade --- Balance of trade --- Slovak Republic
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International finance --- anno 1900-1999 --- anno 1800-1899 --- Finances internationales --- History --- Histoire --- AA / International- internationaal --- 331.162.1 --- 333.600 --- 382.242.0 --- Geschiedenis van de financiële markten. --- Financiële markten. Kapitaalmarkten (algemeenheden). --- Balans van het kapitaalverkeer: algemeenheden. --- Banks and banking, International --- Capital movements --- Capital flight --- Capital flows --- Capital inflow --- Capital outflow --- Flight of capital --- Flow of capital --- Movements of capital --- Balance of payments --- Foreign exchange --- International banking --- Offshore banking (Finance) --- Transnational banking --- Financial institutions, International --- Geschiedenis van de financiële markten --- Financiële markten. Kapitaalmarkten (algemeenheden) --- Balans van het kapitaalverkeer: algemeenheden --- Mouvements de capitaux --- Banques internationales
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The paper shows that Asia's degree of financial integration, both with the world and within the region remains low by various measures. The paper also provides empirical evidence that greater financial integration can support economic rebalancing in statistically meaningful ways. The implication is that in the debate on managing capital inflows the longer-term benefits of financial openness for broader-based growth should not be forgotten.
Business & Economics --- Economic History --- Capital movements --- Asia --- Economic integration. --- Foreign economic relations. --- Capital flight --- Capital flows --- Capital inflow --- Capital outflow --- Flight of capital --- Flow of capital --- Movements of capital --- Balance of payments --- Foreign exchange --- International finance --- Exports and Imports --- Finance: General --- Foreign Exchange --- Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment and Investment: Other --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Financial Economics: General --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Finance --- Currency --- Financial integration --- Portfolio investment --- Foreign direct investment --- Financial sector development --- Exchange rates --- Financial markets --- Portfolio management --- Investments, Foreign --- Financial services industry --- Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China
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The resumption of strong capital flows into emerging markets in mid-2009 brought back the debate over whether pull or push factors are the main determinants. This paper, using panel specifications with alternative measures of global liquidity, asks the question whether G-4 liquidity expansion spills over to the rest of the world. The paper finds strong positive links between G-4 liquidity expansion and asset prices, such as equities, in the liquidity receiving economies, which indicates that the push factor plays an important role in asset prices. Liquidity also has a strong positive link with the accumulation of official reserves and with equity portfolio inflows in receiving economies. Moreover, the association between excess equity returns, excess credit growth, and global liquidity has implications for rising risks to financial stability in the receiving economies.
Capital movements --- Capital flight --- Capital flows --- Capital inflow --- Capital outflow --- Flight of capital --- Flow of capital --- Movements of capital --- Balance of payments --- Foreign exchange --- International finance --- Econometric models. --- Finance: General --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: Other --- International Policy Coordination and Transmission --- International Financial Markets --- Portfolio Choice --- Investment Decisions --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Finance --- Monetary economics --- International liquidity --- Monetary base --- Liquidity --- Domestic liquidity --- Excess liquidity --- Asset and liability management --- Money --- Economics --- Money supply --- United States
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India embarked on reintegration with the world economy in the early 1990s. At first, a certain limited opening took place emphasising equity flows by certain kinds of foreign investors. This opening has had myriad interesting implications in terms of both microeconomics and macroeconomics. A dynamic process of change in the economy and in economic policy then came about, with a co-evolution between the system of capital controls, macroeconomic policy, and the internationalisation of firms including the emergence of Indian multinationals.Through this process, de facto openness has risen sharply. De facto openness has implied a loss of monetary policy autonomy when exchange rate pegging was attempted. The exchange rate regime has evolved towards greater flexibility.
Globalization --- Capital movements --- Monetary policy --- International business enterprises --- Capital flight --- Capital flows --- Capital inflow --- Capital outflow --- Flight of capital --- Flow of capital --- Movements of capital --- Balance of payments --- Foreign exchange --- International finance --- Economic aspects --- Exports and Imports --- Finance: General --- Foreign Exchange --- Economic Integration --- Multinational Firms --- International Business --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Financial Aspects of Economic Integration --- International Financial Markets --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- International economics --- Finance --- Currency --- Capital account --- Capital controls --- Foreign direct investment --- Exchange rate arrangements --- Stock markets --- Financial markets --- Investments, Foreign --- Stock exchanges --- India
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The recent boom-bust episode in Emerging Europe was largely the product of surges and sudden stops in capital inflows. This paper empirically argues that the sectors into which capital flows determines their impact on GDP growth. Applying data from EU New Member States, it is found that capital flows into real estate have a greater impact on swings in GDP than other sectors, irrespective of a country's exchange rate or fiscal policy. Consequently, as new waves of capital inflows spread to emerging markets, policies may usefully focus on supporting capital inflows towards economic sectors that minimize large swings in GDP.
Capital movements --- Economic development --- Gross domestic product --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Domestic product, Gross --- GDP --- Gross national product --- Capital flight --- Capital flows --- Capital inflow --- Capital outflow --- Flight of capital --- Flow of capital --- Movements of capital --- Balance of payments --- Foreign exchange --- International finance --- Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- International economics --- Finance --- Monetary economics --- Capital inflows --- Foreign direct investment --- Credit --- Consumption --- Investments, Foreign --- Slovak Republic
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Curzio Giannini's history of the evolution of central banks illustrates how the most relevant institutional developments have taken place at times of widespread confidence crises and in response to deflationary pressures.
Private finance --- Banks and banking, Central. --- Banques centrales --- Banking. --- Banks and banking. --- Deflation. --- Banks and banking, Central --- Finance --- Business & Economics --- Banking --- History --- International finance --- Monetary policy --- Capital movements --- Foreign exchange --- Debts, External --- AA / International- internationaal --- 333.111.0 --- 332.11 --- Debts, Foreign --- Debts, International --- External debts --- Foreign debts --- International debts --- Debt --- Investments, Foreign --- Cambistry --- Currency exchange --- Exchange, Foreign --- Foreign currency --- Foreign exchange problem --- Foreign money --- Forex --- FX (Finance) --- International exchange --- Currency crises --- Capital flight --- Capital flows --- Capital inflow --- Capital outflow --- Flight of capital --- Flow of capital --- Movements of capital --- Balance of payments --- Monetary management --- Economic policy --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- International monetary system --- International money --- International economic relations --- Banker's banks --- Banks, Central --- Central banking --- Central banks --- Banks and banking --- Algemeenheden. Theoretische en beschrijvende studies. Centrale banken. --- Algemeenheden. Theoretische en beschrijvende studies. Centrale banken
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This paper investigates the determinants of FDI inflows to emerging market economies, concentrating on the effects of economic policies. The empirical analysis also addresses the role of external push factors and of political stability using a domestic conflict events database. The results suggest that lowering corporate tax rates and trade tariffs, adopting fixed or managed exchange rate policies and eliminating FDI related capital controls have played an important role. Domestic conflict events and political instability are found to have significant negative effects on FDI, which highlights the role of incluside policies to promote growth and avoid sudden stops of FDI inflows.
Investments, Foreign --- Capital movements --- Capital exports --- Capital imports --- FDI (Foreign direct investment) --- Foreign direct investment --- Foreign investment --- Foreign investments --- International investment --- Offshore investments --- Outward investments --- Investments --- Capital flight --- Capital flows --- Capital inflow --- Capital outflow --- Flight of capital --- Flow of capital --- Movements of capital --- Balance of payments --- Foreign exchange --- International finance --- Econometric models. --- Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Finance: General --- Corporate Taxation --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Finance --- Corporate & business tax --- International economics --- Corporate income tax --- Emerging and frontier financial markets --- Capital account --- Real interest rates --- Taxes --- Financial markets --- Financial services --- Corporations --- Taxation --- Financial services industry --- Interest rates --- Ireland
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In this paper we explore the properties of the global banking network using cross-border bank lending data for 184 countries over 1978-2009. Specifically, we analyze financial interconnectedness using network metrics of centrality, connectivity, and clustering. We document a relatively unstable global banking network, with structural breaks in network indicators identifying several waves of capital flows. Interconnectedness rankings, especially for borrowers, are relatively volatile over the period. Connectivity tends to fall during and after systemic banking crises and sovereign debt crises. The 2008-09 global financial crisis stands out as an unusually large perturbation to the cross-border banking network.
Banks and banking, International --- Capital movements --- Capital flight --- Capital flows --- Capital inflow --- Capital outflow --- Flight of capital --- Flow of capital --- Movements of capital --- Balance of payments --- Foreign exchange --- International finance --- International banking --- Offshore banking (Finance) --- Transnational banking --- Financial institutions, International --- Econometric models. --- Banks and Banking --- Financial Risk Management --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Statistics --- Financial Crises --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology --- Computer Programs: Other --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Banking --- Monetary economics --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Financial crises --- Bank credit --- Financial statistics --- Cross-border banking --- Banks and banking --- Credit --- Finance --- United States
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