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The liberalization of capital flows both in the domestic economy and cross-border has been among the most important policies adopted by IMF member countries over recent decades. The impact has been wide-ranging. This paper looks at the impact on the field of economic and financial statistics in the past two decades, as statisticians have responded to the changing policy needs. The paper considers the historical context of changes that have occurred, draws out the key trends, and asks where these trends might lead statisticians in the foreseeable future. The paper considers that there has been nothing short of a revolution in the field of economic and financial statistics over the past two decades led by a need for greater transparency; greater standardization; new data sets to support understanding of financial interconnections and financial sector risks; and the strengthening of the governance of the statistical function through greater independence of statistical agencies.
Capital movements. --- Economic policy. --- Economics -- Statistical methods. --- Finance -- Statistics. --- Finance --- Business & Economics --- International Finance --- Exports and Imports --- Statistics --- Data Transmission Systems --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Financial Aspects of Economic Integration --- Financial Crises --- International Financial Markets --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data --- Data Access --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology --- Computer Programs: Other --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Data capture & analysis --- International economics --- Economic and financial statistics --- Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) --- Financial statistics --- Data dissemination --- Capital account liberalization --- Balance of payments --- Data transmission systems --- Economic statistics --- Mexico
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This paper discusses the recommendations of the Sixth Post-program Monitoring Discussions with Iceland. Iceland recently updated its capital account liberalization strategy. The strategy takes a staged approach, starting with steps to address the balance-of-payments overhang of the old bank estates—prioritizing a cooperative approach with incentives—in a manner consistent with maintaining stability. Growth is accelerating in 2015 and is expected to reach 4.1 percent, backed by significant investment, wage- and debt relief-fueled consumption, and booming tourism. The general government is projected to record a surplus of 0.8 percent of GDP in 2015, helped by large one-offs. Small deficits are also expected over 2016–20.
Financial crises -- Iceland. --- Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009. --- Iceland -- Economic conditions -- 21st century. --- Iceland -- Economic policy. --- Exports and Imports --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Agribusiness --- Gender Studies --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Fiscal Policy --- Economics of Gender --- Non-labor Discrimination --- International economics --- Labour --- income economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Agriculture, agribusiness & food production industries --- Gender studies, gender groups --- Capital account liberalization --- Wages --- Income --- Expenditure --- Fiscal policy --- Balance of payments --- National accounts --- Gender budgeting --- Gender --- Expenditures, Public --- Sex role --- Iceland
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This 2014 Article IV Consultation highlights that Iceland has reached a relatively strong macroeconomic position with good growth prospects. Unemployment continues to trend down, now at 4 percent. Growth is expected to pick up to about 3 percent over 2015–17, supported by robust domestic demand and tourism. Consumption will be boosted by household debt relief and—together with net trade—will benefit from favorable commodity prices. Good progress has also been made in improving the financial stability framework, but gaps remain.
Banks and banking, Central -- Iceland. --- European Union -- Iceland. --- Fiscal policy -- Iceland. --- Iceland -- Economic conditions. --- Iceland -- Economic policy. --- Monetary policy -- Iceland. --- Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Foreign Exchange --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Fiscal Policy --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- General Aggregative Models: General --- International economics --- Banking --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Financial services law & regulation --- Public finance & taxation --- Capital account liberalization --- Fiscal policy --- Income --- Balance of payments --- Prices --- National accounts --- Banks and banking --- National income --- Iceland
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This paper examines the distributional impact of capital account liberalization. Using panel data for 149 countries from 1970 to 2010, we find that, on average, capital account liberalization reforms increase inequality and reduce the labor share of income in the short and medium term. We also find that the level of financial development and the occurrence of crises play a key role in shaping the response of inequality to capital account liberalization reforms.
Capital movements --- Equality --- Egalitarianism --- Inequality --- Social equality --- Social inequality --- Political science --- Sociology --- Democracy --- Liberty --- Capital flight --- Capital flows --- Capital inflow --- Capital outflow --- Flight of capital --- Flow of capital --- Movements of capital --- Balance of payments --- Foreign exchange --- International finance --- Econometric models. --- Government policy. --- Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- International economics --- Capital account liberalization --- Income inequality --- Capital account --- Personal income --- Income distribution --- National accounts --- Income --- Luxembourg
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The establishment of the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) at end-2015 has brought into sharp focus the issue of financial and economic integration in the region. This paper takes stock of ASEAN’s financial integration and prospects. ASEAN integration could accelerate in the years ahead; it will likely be a safe, gradual process consistent with the “ASEAN way” of consensus decision-making. Properly phased and sequenced, closer financial integration has the potential to help increase real incomes and accelerate real convergence within ASEAN and narrow the region’s gap with advanced Asia. Realizing the promise of financial integration will require ASEAN countries to make long-term investments in financial infrastructure. Policymakers can draw on the experience of their more advanced peers and of other regions. Gradualism and safeguards should not be excuses for inaction or financial protectionism. Reliance on flexible policy frameworks and a strengthened and tested regional financial safety net should be part of the agenda. Closer engagement with the Fund could also help.
International economic integration. --- International economic relations. --- Economic development --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Economic policy, Foreign --- Economic relations, Foreign --- Economics, International --- Foreign economic policy --- Foreign economic relations --- Interdependence of nations --- International economic policy --- International economics --- New international economic order --- International relations --- Economic sanctions --- Common markets --- Economic integration, International --- Economic union --- Integration, International economic --- Markets, Common --- Union, Economic --- International economic relations --- ASEAN Economic Community. --- AEC --- MEA --- Masyarakat Ekonomi ASEAN --- Komunitas Ekonomi ASEAN --- Southeast Asia --- Economic policy. --- Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Finance: General --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Finance --- Banking --- Financial integration --- Capital flows --- Capital account liberalization --- Capital account --- Financial markets --- Balance of payments --- Financial sector development --- International finance --- Banks and banking --- Capital movements --- Financial services industry --- Singapore
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