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This paper presents a rule for foreign exchange interventions (FXI), designed to preserve financial stability in floating exchange rate arrangements. The FXI rule addresses a market failure: the absence of hedging solution for tail exchange rate risk in the market (i.e. high volatility). Market impairment or overshoot of exchange rate between two equilibria could generate high volatility and threaten financial stability due to unhedged exposure to exchange rate risk in the economy. The rule uses the concept of Value at Risk (VaR) to define FXI triggers. While it provides to the market a hedge against tail risk, the rule allows the exchange rate to smoothly adjust to new equilibria. In addition, the rule is budget neutral over the medium term, encourages a prudent risk management in the market, and is more resilient to speculative attacks than other rules, such as fixed-volatility rules. The empirical methodology is backtested on Banco Mexico’s FXIs data between 2008 and 2016.
Banks and Banking --- Econometrics --- Finance: General --- Foreign Exchange --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Financial Forecasting and Simulation --- Time-Series Models --- Dynamic Quantile Regressions --- Dynamic Treatment Effect Models --- Diffusion Processes --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- International Financial Markets --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Financial services law & regulation --- Finance --- Exchange rates --- Vector autoregression --- Exchange rate risk --- Currency markets --- Financial risk management --- Foreign exchange market --- Mexico
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We analyze a range of macrofinancial indicators to extract signals about cyclical systemic risk across 107 economies over 1995–2020. We construct composite indices of underlying liquidity, solvency and mispricing risks and analyze their patterns over the financial cycle. We find that liquidity and solvency risk indicators tend to be counter-cyclical, whereas mispricing risk ones are procyclical, and they all lead the credit cycle. Our results lend support to high-level accounts that risks were underestimated by stress indicators in the run-up to the 2008 global financial crisis. The policy implications of conflicting risk signals would depend on the phase of the credit cycle.
Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Macroeconomics --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Money Supply --- Credit --- Money Multipliers --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Business Fluctuations --- Cycles --- Bankruptcy --- Liquidation --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Finance --- Financial services law & regulation --- Credit cycles --- Liquidity risk --- Solvency --- Systemic risk --- Private debt --- Financial risk management --- Debt --- Business cycles --- Denmark --- Monetary policy. --- Fiscal policy. --- Risk management.
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The NBRB revised in 2018 its regulation on asset classification and provisioning (the Regulation). One of the main changes was the introduction of a new definition for NPLs based on the current framework of risk groups (RGs). This definition substitutes the previous term “problem assets.” One of the intentions of the replacement is to promote international comparability by using it as a financial soundness indicator (FSI). The reported levels of this new NPLs indicator are, however, relatively low and, more important, much lower than the previous indicator, based on problem assets. The new NPL indicator levels are relatively stable, around 4 percent. The previous indicator was also stable, but the levels were more than three times higher, about 13 percent.
Money and Monetary Policy --- International Economics --- Industries: Financial Services --- Banks and Banking --- Monetary Policy --- International Agreements and Observance --- International Organizations --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Monetary economics --- International institutions --- Finance --- Financial services law & regulation --- Monetary policy --- International organization --- Financial institutions --- Financial regulation and supervision --- International agencies --- Loans --- Financial risk management --- Belarus, Republic of
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The spread of COVID-19, containment measures, and general uncertainty led to a sharp reduction in activity in the first half of 2020. Europe was hit particularly hard—the economic contraction in 2020 is estimated to have been among the largest in the world—with potentially severe repercussions on its nonfinancial corporations. A wave of corporate bankruptcies would generate mass unemployment, and a loss of productive capacity and firm-specific human capital. With many SMEs in Europe relying primarily on the banking sector for external finance, stress in the corporate sector could easily translate into pressures in the banking system (Aiyar et al., forthcoming).
Finance: General --- Investments: Stocks --- Industries: Financial Services --- Diseases: Contagious --- Computational Techniques --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Portfolio Choice --- Investment Decisions --- Health Behavior --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Bankruptcy --- Liquidation --- Finance --- Infectious & contagious diseases --- Investment & securities --- Liquidity --- COVID-19 --- Stocks --- Solvency --- Loans --- Economics --- Communicable diseases --- Debt --- United Kingdom
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The NBRB revised in 2018 its regulation on asset classification and provisioning (the Regulation). One of the main changes was the introduction of a new definition for NPLs based on the current framework of risk groups (RGs). This definition substitutes the previous term “problem assets.” One of the intentions of the replacement is to promote international comparability by using it as a financial soundness indicator (FSI). The reported levels of this new NPLs indicator are, however, relatively low and, more important, much lower than the previous indicator, based on problem assets. The new NPL indicator levels are relatively stable, around 4 percent. The previous indicator was also stable, but the levels were more than three times higher, about 13 percent.
Belarus, Republic of --- Money and Monetary Policy --- International Economics --- Industries: Financial Services --- Banks and Banking --- Monetary Policy --- International Agreements and Observance --- International Organizations --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Monetary economics --- International institutions --- Finance --- Financial services law & regulation --- Monetary policy --- International organization --- Financial institutions --- Financial regulation and supervision --- International agencies --- Loans --- Financial risk management
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The spread of COVID-19, containment measures, and general uncertainty led to a sharp reduction in activity in the first half of 2020. Europe was hit particularly hard—the economic contraction in 2020 is estimated to have been among the largest in the world—with potentially severe repercussions on its nonfinancial corporations. A wave of corporate bankruptcies would generate mass unemployment, and a loss of productive capacity and firm-specific human capital. With many SMEs in Europe relying primarily on the banking sector for external finance, stress in the corporate sector could easily translate into pressures in the banking system (Aiyar et al., forthcoming).
United Kingdom --- Finance: General --- Investments: Stocks --- Industries: Financial Services --- Diseases: Contagious --- Computational Techniques --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Portfolio Choice --- Investment Decisions --- Health Behavior --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Bankruptcy --- Liquidation --- Finance --- Infectious & contagious diseases --- Investment & securities --- Liquidity --- COVID-19 --- Stocks --- Solvency --- Loans --- Economics --- Communicable diseases --- Debt
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This paper presents a rule for foreign exchange interventions (FXI), designed to preserve financial stability in floating exchange rate arrangements. The FXI rule addresses a market failure: the absence of hedging solution for tail exchange rate risk in the market (i.e. high volatility). Market impairment or overshoot of exchange rate between two equilibria could generate high volatility and threaten financial stability due to unhedged exposure to exchange rate risk in the economy. The rule uses the concept of Value at Risk (VaR) to define FXI triggers. While it provides to the market a hedge against tail risk, the rule allows the exchange rate to smoothly adjust to new equilibria. In addition, the rule is budget neutral over the medium term, encourages a prudent risk management in the market, and is more resilient to speculative attacks than other rules, such as fixed-volatility rules. The empirical methodology is backtested on Banco Mexico’s FXIs data between 2008 and 2016.
Mexico --- Banks and Banking --- Econometrics --- Finance: General --- Foreign Exchange --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Financial Forecasting and Simulation --- Time-Series Models --- Dynamic Quantile Regressions --- Dynamic Treatment Effect Models --- Diffusion Processes --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- International Financial Markets --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Financial services law & regulation --- Finance --- Exchange rates --- Vector autoregression --- Exchange rate risk --- Currency markets --- Financial risk management --- Foreign exchange market
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The audited financial statements that follow form Appendix VI of the International Monetary Fund's Annual Report 2021 and can be found, together with Appendixes I through V and other materials, on the Annual Report 2021 web page (www.imf.org/AR2021). They have been reproduced separately here as a convenience for readers. Quarterly updates of the IMF's Finances are available at www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/quart/index.htm.
Money and Monetary Policy --- International Economics --- Accounting --- Banks and Banking --- Macroeconomics --- Industries: Financial Services --- Monetary Policy --- International Agreements and Observance --- International Organizations --- Public Administration --- Public Sector Accounting and Audits --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Monetary economics --- International institutions --- Financial reporting, financial statements --- Finance --- Financial services law & regulation --- Monetary policy --- International organization --- Financial statements --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Credit risk --- Financial regulation and supervision --- Income --- National accounts --- Credit --- Money --- Loans --- Financial institutions --- International agencies --- Finance, Public --- Financial risk management --- Somalia
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The shutdown in economic activity due to the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) crisis has resulted in a short-term decline in global carbon emissions, but the long-term impact of the pandemic on the transition to a low-carbon economy is uncertain. Looking at previous episodes of financial and economic stress to draw implications for the current crisis, we find that tighter financial constraints and adverse economic conditions are generally detrimental to firms’ environmental performance, reducing green investments. The COVID-19 crisis could thus potentially slow down the transition to a low-carbon economy. In light of the urgent need to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions, these findings underline the importance of climate policies and green recovery packages to boost green investment and support the energy transition. Policies that support the sustainable finance sector, such as improved transparency and standardization, could further help mobilize green investments.
Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- International Economics --- Diseases: Contagious --- Environmental Conservation and Protection --- Environmental Economics --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Climate --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Global Warming --- Energy: Demand and Supply --- Prices --- Health Behavior --- Environment and Growth --- Environmental Economics: General --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Infectious & contagious diseases --- Economic growth --- Climate change --- Environmental economics --- Health --- Environment --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Communicable diseases --- Economic development --- Greenhouse gases --- Climatic changes --- Environmental sciences --- United States
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Green debt markets are rapidly growing while product design and standards are evolving. Many policymakers and investors view green debt as an important component in the policy mix to achieve the transition to a low carbon economy and ensure the pricing of climate risks. Our analysis contributes to the nascent literature on the environmental impact of green debt by documenting the CO2 emission intensity of corporate green debt issuers. We find lower emission intensities for green bond issuers relative to other firms, but no difference for green loan and sustainability-linked loan borrowers. Green bond, green loan, and sustainability-linked loan borrowers lower their emission intensity over time at a faster rate than other firms.
Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Environmental Economics --- Environmental Conservation and Protection --- Investments: Bonds --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Climate --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Global Warming --- Environment and Development --- Environment and Trade --- Sustainability --- Environmental Accounts and Accounting --- Environmental Equity --- Population Growth --- Environmental Economics: General --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Environmental economics --- Climate change --- Investment & securities --- Climate finance --- Environment --- Greenhouse gas emissions --- Bonds --- Financial institutions --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Climatic changes --- Environmental sciences --- Greenhouse gases --- Germany
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