TY - BOOK ID - 77893619 TI - Taking chances : winning with probability PY - 2003 SN - 1283937700 0191594105 0191500550 9780191594106 0198526636 9780198526636 1383024456 PB - Oxford [England] ; New York : Oxford University Press, DB - UniCat KW - Probabilities UR - http://www.unicat.be/uniCat?func=search&query=sysid:77893619 AB - What are the odds against winning the Lottery, making money in a casino, or backing the right horse? Every day, people make judgments on these matters and face other decisions that rest on their understanding of probability: buying insurance, following medical advice, carrying an umbrella. Yet many of us have a frightening ignorance of how probability works. Taking Chances presents an entertaining and fascinating exploration of probability, revealing traps and fallacies in the field. It describes and analyses a remarkable variety of situations where chance plays a role, including football pool ER -