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Over the last thirty years Burundi's low economic growth has led to a significant decline in per capita GDP. The purpose of this paper is to shed light on supply-side constraints that prevented Burundi's economy from growing faster. Lack of investment, civil conflict, economic inefficiencies, state intervention in the economy, and regulatory restrictions explain a large part of the weak growth performance for the last thirty years.
Economic development --- Burundi --- Economic conditions. --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Urundi --- Royaume du Burundi --- Résidence de l'Urundi --- Kingdom of Burundi --- Ingoma y'i Burundi --- République du Burundi --- Republika y'Uburundi --- Gouvernement de transition du Burundi --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- ブルンジ --- Burunji --- Бурунди --- בורונדי --- Ruanda-Urundi --- Bulongdi --- Republic of Burundi --- بوروندي --- 布隆迪 --- Investments: Commodities --- Investments: General --- Investments: Stocks --- Macroeconomics --- Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development --- Economywide Country Studies: Africa --- Forecasting and Other Model Applications --- Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data --- Data Access --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Agriculture: General --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Investment & securities --- Depreciation --- Stocks --- Agricultural commodities --- Income --- Capital accumulation --- National accounts --- Financial institutions --- Commodities --- Saving and investment --- Farm produce
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This study assesses the sustainability of Botswana’s diamond-related fiscal revenue. Diamond reserves are not adequate to generate enough permanent revenue to sustain a high level of expenditure. Under the current fiscal rule that no debt may be accumulated, Botswana will have to save more to avoid an abrupt adjustment in the medium term.
Fiscal policy --- Diamond industry and trade --- Jewelry trade --- Nonmetallic minerals industry --- Tax policy --- Taxation --- Economic policy --- Finance, Public --- Government policy --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Fiscal Policy --- Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth --- Environmental Accounts --- Public finance & taxation --- Expenditure --- Personal income --- Fiscal rules --- Fiscal consolidation --- GDP measurement --- Expenditures, Public --- Income --- National income --- Botswana
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This guidance note describes how to use the Excel-based template developed by the Fiscal Affairs Department (FAD) of the IMF accompanying the note "How to Design a Fiscal Strategy in a Resource-Rich Country." This template uses data inputs to generate simulations of fiscal policy dynamics. It helps IMF teams and country authorities in RRCs analyze trade-offs associated with alternative fiscal strategies for the use of public resource wealth. Visualizing these trade-offs and assessing their sensitivity to underlying macroeconomic assumptions can help inform policymakers on the most appropriate fiscal strategy, given country-specific circumstances.
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This How to Note provides operational guidance for policymakers and IMF staff teams on designing-or revising-a fiscal strategy in resource-rich countries (RRC). Properly managed, resource revenue can support fiscal sustainability and development and equity objectives. Resource revenues also create significant stabilization challenges for fiscal policy because of their size, uncertainty, volatility, and finite nature. The guidance in this note is intended to be general and applicable to RRCs with a range of income levels, resource endowments, and macroeconomic contexts. It is designed primarily to help policymakers analyze the trade-offs associated with alternative fiscal paths and select the right fiscal strategy, given country-specific circumstances.
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This guidance note describes how to use the Excel-based template developed by the Fiscal Affairs Department (FAD) of the IMF accompanying the note "How to Design a Fiscal Strategy in a Resource-Rich Country." This template uses data inputs to generate simulations of fiscal policy dynamics. It helps IMF teams and country authorities in RRCs analyze trade-offs associated with alternative fiscal strategies for the use of public resource wealth. Visualizing these trade-offs and assessing their sensitivity to underlying macroeconomic assumptions can help inform policymakers on the most appropriate fiscal strategy, given country-specific circumstances.
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This How to Note provides operational guidance for policymakers and IMF staff teams on designing-or revising-a fiscal strategy in resource-rich countries (RRC). Properly managed, resource revenue can support fiscal sustainability and development and equity objectives. Resource revenues also create significant stabilization challenges for fiscal policy because of their size, uncertainty, volatility, and finite nature. The guidance in this note is intended to be general and applicable to RRCs with a range of income levels, resource endowments, and macroeconomic contexts. It is designed primarily to help policymakers analyze the trade-offs associated with alternative fiscal paths and select the right fiscal strategy, given country-specific circumstances.
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Following the onset of the global economic crisis in 2008, SACU member countries have witnessed a significant growth slowdown, and a deterioration of their fiscal balances. This paper (i) assesses options for the design of the needed fiscal consolidation, and (ii) discussed medium-term fiscal policy rules that would help maintain a sound fiscal stance once consolidation has taken place. The main messages are: (i) government consumption cuts appears to minimize the negative impact on growth, and would be appropriate given the relatively large size of the public sector in each country, (ii) fiscal rules could be of particular interest for SACU members notably, a new customs revenue-sharing formula, procedural rules to strengthen budget process, and numerical rules at the national level.
Fiscal policy --- Monetary unions --- Economic history. --- Economic conditions --- History, Economic --- Economics --- Common currencies --- Currency areas --- Currency unions --- Optimum currency areas --- Currency question --- Money --- Tax policy --- Taxation --- Economic policy --- Finance, Public --- Econometric models. --- Government policy --- Africa, Southern --- Economic conditions. --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Fiscal Policy --- National Budget, Deficit, and Debt: General --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Public finance & taxation --- Fiscal consolidation --- Expenditure --- Fiscal rules --- Consumption taxes --- Taxes --- Expenditures, Public --- Spendings tax --- South Africa
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This paper applies the work of Berg and Ostry (2011) to the SACU region, to identify how inequalities have played a role in growth in each of these countries, and elaborates policy options to mitigate the effects of inequalities and foster growth. Lower income inequalities could lead to significant gains, as SACU countries could almost double the duration of their growth periods, with much lower inequalities. While reducing inequalities may be desirable, the design of policies to achieve such objective is not trivial. Policies targeting income inequalities at the sources are expected to be the most effective to reduce inequalities and promote growth. However, direct redistribution, if carefully crafted can also be very effective in reducing inequalities while limiting its potentially negative impact on growth.
Income distribution --- Economic development --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Distribution of income --- Income inequality --- Inequality of income --- Distribution (Economic theory) --- Disposable income --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Economic Development: Human Resources --- Human Development --- Income Distribution --- Migration --- Measurement of Economic Growth --- Aggregate Productivity --- Cross-Country Output Convergence --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- Education: General --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Labour --- income economics --- Education --- Human capital --- Personal income --- National accounts --- Income --- South Africa
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Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, and Swaziland face the serious challenge of adjusting not only to lower Southern Africa Customs Union (SACU) transfers because of the global economic crisis, but also to a potential further decline over the medium term. This paper assesses options for the design of the needed fiscal consolidation. The choice among these options should be driven by (i) the impact on growth and (ii) the specificities of each country. Overall, a focus on government consumption cuts appears to minimize the negative impact on growth, and would be appropriate given the relatively large size of the public sector in each country.
Fiscal policy--Econometric models. --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Taxation --- Computational Techniques --- Fiscal Policy --- National Budget, Deficit, and Debt: General --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- Public finance & taxation --- Welfare & benefit systems --- Fiscal consolidation --- Consumption taxes --- Government consumption --- Labor taxes --- Public investment spending --- Fiscal policy --- Taxes --- National accounts --- Expenditure --- Spendings tax --- Consumption --- Economics --- Income tax --- Public investments --- Lesotho, Kingdom of --- Fiscal policy.
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Swaziland has faced a significant fiscal crisis since 2010, in the wake of loss of transfers from the Southern African Customs Union (SACU). The fiscal crisis has led to increasing vulnerabilities, not only of public finances but also on commercial banks and the private sector. This paper provides an analysis of Swaziland's main macroeconomic vulnerabilities and the main policy implications of the analysis.
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