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This book defends the view that any adequate account of rational decision making must take a decision maker's beliefs about causal relations into account. The early chapters of the book introduce the non-specialist to the rudiments of expected utility theory. The major technical advance offered by the book is a 'representation theorem' that shows that both causal decision theory and its main rival, Richard Jeffrey's logic of decision, are both instances of a more general conditional decision theory. The book solves a long-standing problem for Jeffrey's theory by showing for the first time how to obtain a unique utility and probability representation for preferences and judgements of comparative likelihood. The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true. The most complete and robust defence of causal decision theory available.

Decision making. --- Besluitvorming --- Besluitvormingsanalyse --- Besluitvormingsprocessen --- Deciding --- Decision analysis --- Decision making --- Decision processes --- Decision-making --- Décision [Prise de ] --- Décision [Théorie de la ] --- Making decisions --- Management decisions --- Management--Beslissingen --- Management--Besluitvorming --- Management--Decision making --- Prise de décision --- Théorie de la décision --- Prise de décision --- Arts and Humanities --- Philosophy

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Marine sediments --- Submarine valleys. --- Sea level --- Geology, Stratigraphic --- From 40 to 55 million years ago --- California.