Narrow your search
Listing 1 - 10 of 11 << page
of 2
>>
Sort by

Book
Armington Elasticities in Intermediate Inputs Trade : A Problem in Using Multilateral Trade Data
Author:
ISBN: 1462342000 1452789657 1283555840 9786613868299 1451891857 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

This paper finds that the estimates of Armington elasticities (the elasticity of substitution between groups of products identified by country of origin) obtained from multilateral trade data can differ from those obtained from bilateral trade data. In particular, the former tends to be higher than the latter when trade consists largely of intermediate inputs. Given that the variety of intermediate inputs traded across borders is increasing rapidly, and that the effect of this increase is not adequately captured in multilateral trade data, the evidence shows that the use of multilateral trade data to estimate Armington elasticities needs caution.


Book
Trade Patterns Among Industrial Countries : Their Relationship to Technology Differences and Capital Mobility
Author:
ISBN: 1462303668 1452720029 1281131407 9786613776556 1451891938 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

This paper compares two alternative measures of technology differences across industrial countries during 1970-92: one measures differences in labor productivity (the Ricardian measure), and the other differences in total factor productivity (the Hicksian measure). The distinction between the two measures is important to the extent that trade patterns are inconsistent with comparative advantage revealed by the Hicksian measure, but not necessarily with that by the Ricardian measure. The distinction becomes more important in the period with high capital mobility across countries.


Book
The Impact of Tradeon Wages : What If Countries Are Not Small?
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1451864159 1462327605 1451982992 9786613826480 1452706751 1283514036 Year: 2006 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

This paper explores the effect of trade on the relative wage of less-skilled labor through its effect on world prices, which are typically exogenously given under the small open economy assumption. Using the 1995 international input-output data for APEC member countries, we numerically simulate a general equilibrium model to study the effects of abolishing existing tariffs under the assumption that each member country is large enough to affect the prices of goods and services produced in the region. We find that the responsiveness of prices plays an important role in easing a possible adverse effect of trade on relative wages.


Book
A Rule-Based Medium-Term Fiscal Policy Framework for Tanzania
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1451918070 1452772258 1282844431 1451873913 9786612844430 1462380980 Year: 2009 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

A zero net domestic financing (NDF) target has served Tanzania well in recent years, contributing to prudent expenditure policy, improved fiscal sustainability, and macroeconomic stability. Moving to a more flexible fiscal policy, however, may serve Tanzania better. The "diamond rule" proposed in this paper incorporates a permanent hard ceiling on debt and annual benchmark limits on NDF, expenditure growth, and nonconcessional external financing. This rule would provide flexibility for countercyclical policy and help define the fiscal space for infrastructure spending that is consistent with longrun fiscal sustainability. An illustrative simulation shows that Tanzania has considerable fiscal space for development spending.


Book
Japan out of the Lost Decade : Divine Wind or Firms’ Effort?
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1475505191 1475582528 1475530048 Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

A surge of exports in the 2000s helped Japan exit the severe decade-long stagnation known as the lost decade. Using panel data of Japanese exporting firms, we examine the sources of the export surge during this period. One view argues that the so-called "divine wind" or exogenous external demand boosted Japanese exports. The other view emphasizes the role of supply factors such as productivity gains, materialized after long-fought restructuring efforts during the lost decade. Estimating the firm-level export function allows us to assess the relative importance of these demand and supply factors. Evidence shows that firms' efforts were more important than the divine wind.


Book
Japan out of the lost decade
Authors: --- --- ---
ISSN: 22278885 ISBN: 9781475590401 1475590407 1475505191 9781475505191 1475530048 9781475530049 9781475505191 9781475530049 1475582528 9781475582529 Year: 2012 Publisher: [Washington, D.C.] International Monetary Fund

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

A surge of exports in the 2000s helped Japan exit the severe decade-long stagnation known as the lost decade. Using panel data of Japanese exporting firms, we examine the sources of the export surge during this period. One view argues that the so-called "divine wind" or exogenous external demand boosted Japanese exports. The other view emphasizes the role of supply factors such as productivity gains, materialized after long-fought restructuring efforts during the lost decade. Estimating the firm-level export function allows us to assess the relative importance of these demand and supply factors. Evidence shows that firms' efforts were more important than the divine wind.


Book
Trade and Trade Finance in the 2008-09 Financial Crisis
Authors: --- --- --- ---
ISBN: 1462369855 1455232688 1283555190 9786613867643 145521258X Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

Global merchandise trade sharply declined in late 2008 and early 2009, and some press and financial market reports assigned a large role for the decline to trade finance. However, the available evidence suggests that shocks to trade finance were not the major factor in the decline in trade. Surveys of commercial banks by the IMF and others found that while bank-intermediated trade finance fell in value during the crisis, it fell by less than merchandise trade. As a result, the share of world trade supported by bank-intermediated trade finance increased despite higher pricing margins. Other explanations appear to account for the bulk of the reduction in international trade.


Book
Trade and the Crisis : Protect or Recover
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1462328989 1452762430 1455251216 Year: 2010 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

The pace of trade reforms waned from the mid-2000s as protectionist sentiment began to increase. With the onset of the global financial crisis, reform progress not only halted but began to reverse. As we show in this note, new trade restrictions have had—in the limited products they targeted—a strong negative impact on trade. The aggregate impact of new restrictions is modest, at about 0.25 percent of global trade, as most countries have resisted a widespread resort to protectionism. Looking ahead, however, in 2010 sustained high unemployment, uneven growth, and an unwinding of government stimulus measures suggest that protectionist pressures may rise. Gaps in World Trade Organization (WTO) commitments leave ample scope to further restrict trade, so unless all countries vigorously resist protectionism this could threaten the economic recovery and drag down future growth. Continuing and further enhancing the monitoring of all protectionist measures and maintaining the high-level political awareness of the associated macroeconomic risks will help. But the surest way to avoid such a downside scenario is to tighten multilateral trade commitments by completing the WTO Doha Round. This can be viewed as a key part of the exit strategy from the global economic crisis.


Book
Measuring Competitiveness : Trade in Goods or Tasks?
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1484372581 1484381467 1484326377 Year: 2013 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

With global supply chains, any value added or production task can be traded as part of goods. This means that competitiveness can be measured either in terms of “tasks” (Bems and Johnson, 2012), or goods, but with goods prices reflecting the cost of tasks embedded in those goods. We show that when measuring competitiveness in goods, the formula used in computing the real effective exchange rates at the IMF (Bayoumi, Lee, and Jayanthi, 2005) needs to be expressed in terms of the price of value added and needs an additional term, which captures a gain or loss in competitiveness of goods due to outsourcing.


Book
Household Financial Access and Risk Sharing in Nigeria
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1498303374 1513516981 Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

We examine the role of household financial access in determining the extent of risksharing in Nigeria using household-level panel data. We estimate changes in the response of consumption to shocks for households with formal and informal access to finance and those without, both for the country as a whole and for different regions. Our findings suggest that households with financial access who experience an unexpected negative income shock see consumption fall by 15 percentage points less than those without access. This result is mainly driven by households with informal financial access, and by household savings rather than borrowing. Regional variation in risk sharing tends to be significant, suggesting that financial inclusion efforts going forward should have a more regional focus.

Listing 1 - 10 of 11 << page
of 2
>>
Sort by