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Advanced economies have been experiencing diverse developments in accumulation of financial liabilities by their household and corporate sectors since around 1995. Crosscountry- industry evidence indicates that the type of the financial system and the degree of labor market flexibility matter for the economic impact of expanded borrowings. Especially in countries with a more arm's length-based financial system and less rigid labor market, faster creation of corporate liabilities in recent years appears to have spurred growth of industries more reliant on external finance, and strengthened the development of growing industries. The findings suggest an association of recent increases in corporate borrowings with a reduction in costs of external finance and improvement in resource allocation-two supposed channels through which finance facilitates growth.
Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Labor --- Production and Operations Management --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Labour --- income economics --- Finance --- Macroeconomics --- Labor market flexibility --- Labor markets --- Real interest rates --- Financial sector development --- Productivity --- Labor market --- Interest rates --- Financial services industry --- Industrial productivity --- Japan
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We revisit the time-honored link between productivity and the real exchange rate. Consistent with the traditional view, we find that higher labor productivity tends to lead to appreciation of the real exchange rate. Contrary to the traditional view, however, we find that the positive productivity effect is transmitted through the real exchange rate based on tradable prices, rather than through relative prices between tradables and nontradables. Moreover, higher total factor productivity is found, if anything, to lead to depreciation of the real exchange rate. These last two pieces of evidence provide support for the emerging view that limited tradability of goods and services provides scope for the strategic pricing decision, which has material consequences for the aggregate real exchange rate.
Foreign Exchange --- Agribusiness --- Production and Operations Management --- Open Economy Macroeconomics --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Production --- Cost --- Capital and Total Factor Productivity --- Capacity --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- Agricultural Markets and Marketing --- Cooperatives --- Macroeconomics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Agriculture, agribusiness & food production industries --- Productivity --- Real exchange rates --- Total factor productivity --- Labor productivity --- Agroindustries --- Economic sectors --- Industrial productivity --- Agricultural industries --- France
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This paper studies the role of central bank communication of its economic assessment in shaping inflation dynamics. Imperfect information about the central bank's assessment - or the basis for monetary policy decisions - could complicate the private sector's learning about its policy response function. We show how clear central bank communication, which facilitates agents' understanding of policy reasoning, could bring about less volatile inflation and interest rate dynamics, and afford the authorities with greater policy flexibility. We then estimate a simple monetary model to fit the Mexican economy, and use the suggested paramters to illustrate the model's quantitative implications in scenarios where the timing, nature and persistence of shocks are uncertain.
Monetary policy --- Inflation targeting --- Targeting, Inflation --- Monetary management --- Economic policy --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- Econometric models. --- Banks and Banking --- Inflation --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Public Finance --- Economic Theory --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation --- Monetary Policy --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Agriculture: Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis --- Prices --- Macroeconomics --- Banking --- Public finance & taxation --- Monetary economics --- Economic theory & philosophy --- Communications in revenue administration --- Central bank transparency --- Revenue administration --- Central banks --- Supply shocks --- Economic theory --- Banks and banking --- Revenue --- Supply and demand --- Mexico
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This paper studies the value of external commitment to policy reforms in the case of WTO/GATT accessions. The accessions often entail reforms that go beyond narrowly defined trade liberalization, and have to overcome fierce resistance in the acceding countries, as reflected in protracted negotiations. We study the growth and investment consequences of WTO/GATT accessions, with attention to a possible selection bias. We find that the accessions tend to raise income , but only for those countries that were subject to rigorous accession procedures. Policy commitments associated with the accessions were helpful, especially for countries with poor governance.
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