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Book
Survival is for the Fittest : Export Survival Patterns in Georgia
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Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C., The World Bank,

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Abstract

This paper analyzes the determinants of export flow survival in Georgia. The paper uses a unique Georgian firm-level data set, in which firms' characteristics and output dynamics are matched with their customs' export transactions, for the perio


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Trade Policy Reforms for the Twenty First Century : The Case of Nepal
Authors: ---
Year: 2017 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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This report examines how Nepal could move away from a remittance-driven growth model by reforming its trade policies to increase competitiveness. It looks at the extent to which Nepal has been tapping into its trade potentials, the underlying obstacles that it faces, and the type of reforms that could turn trade and investment into a vehicle for growth. Five key messages emerge. First, Nepalese exporters remain small and struggle with increase their shipments once they enter a new market, rather than with the fixed cost associated with entering. This is due to severe supply-side constraints that affect their trade and production costs. Second, Nepalese firms underutilize existing trade agreements and granted trade preferences. Third, diversification opportunities lie in fast-growing economies in East Asia and the Pacific. Efforts regarding connectivity, trade facilitation and export intelligence could help firms get to those markets. Fourth, to reduce the anti-export bias of its trade policy, Nepal needs to simplify its tariff code, reduce tariffs on intermediates, and embrace deeper integration, starting with more openness to services and investment. Fifth, trade reforms in Nepal are welfare enhancing and, on average, pro-poor.


Book
Incomplete, Slow, and Asymmetric Price Transmission in Ten Product Markets of Bolivia
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Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C., The World Bank,

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With food prices on the rise, understanding the transmission of price shocks, both internationally and domestically, is central for trade policy analysis. This paper examines spatial market integration and its determinants for ten key food products in Bolivia, across the four most important cities, and with the world, over the period 1991-2008. Within Bolivia, markets for onions, chicken, sugar, and to a lower extent for potatoes, cooking oil, wheat flour, and rice are integrated. However, only chicken, sugar, cooking oil, and rice are integrated with world markets, with incomplete and slow transmission. The perennial result of asymmetric price adjustment to foreign shocks also holds for Bolivia: domestic prices respond faster when the world price increases than when it decreases. This points to a perennial recommendation: the importance of stimulating competitive practices to avoid welfare redistribution due to imperfect competition. Infrastructure improvements will also contribute to accessible food prices for the poor.


Book
Internationally Linked Firms, Integration Reforms and Productivity : Evidence from Pakistan
Authors: ---
Year: 2020 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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This paper examines productivity dynamics and drivers for Pakistani firms listed in the stock exchange (publicly listed firms) over 2012-17. It relies on policy and outcome measures of integration in upstream merchandise and services sectors, to assess their impact on productivity downstream. The paper presents three main findings. First, the productivity of publicly listed firms remained stagnant over the period, in line with macro-level indicators for Pakistan. Second, foreign-owned or exporting firms are more productive than domestic-owned or domestic-oriented firms. Foreign investors target more productive firms, and their productivity grows after being acquired. Exporters tend to exhibit productivity growth after becoming exporters. Third, increased import duties on intermediates, or reduced levels of foreign direct investment in upstream services sectors, are associated with decreases in the total factor productivity of firms downstream. Gains from lower input tariffs accrue to those that do not secure duty exemption schemes - domestic-oriented firms or smaller exporters. Gains from upstream services foreign direct investment accrue mostly to firms that are further from the productivity frontier. Taken together, these results suggest that productivity growth in Pakistan would benefit from increased exposure of upstream sectors to global markets.


Book
Pakistan : Unlocking Private Sector Growth through Increased Trade and Investment Competitiveness
Authors: ---
Year: 2018 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Evidence suggests that Pakistan has the potential for much faster and more diversified economic growth. Energizing trade can help Pakistan to realize its growth potential. Pakistan's inward-oriented trade policies have had the effect of stalling Pakistan's integration into regional and global value chains (GVCs). Pakistan's failure to reform its trade policy to better foster export competitiveness can be attributed in part to institutional fragmentation within the government. This fragmentation has resulted in different agencies sometimes working at cross purposes. Efforts to reduce tariffs have been offset by the introduction of alternative protection instruments such as regulatory duties (RDs) and firm-specific special regulatory orders (SROs). In addition to tariffs, RDs and SROs, other obstacles to global integration include a heavy regulatory burden and perceived risks to investing and operating in the country, which have hurt efforts to attract foreign direct investment (FDI). Growth and competitiveness are also inhibited by inefficient trade facilitation policies, weak logistics services, and underdeveloped infrastructure. These constraints have made it difficult for Pakistan to fully exploit its proximity to China, a trade powerhouse, with which it has a free trade agreement. All in all, the anti-export bias of Pakistan's trade policy has made it more difficult for outward-looking firms to grow by accessing global markets. A series of actions in the areas of trade policy, trade facilitation and connectivity, and institutional coordination could potentially stimulate Pakistan's growth through increased trade and investment competitiveness. Integration with other countries in the region and neighboring regions, particularly East Asia, will allow Pakistan to diversify both its product basket and markets. Finally, full normalization of trade relations with India would allow Pakistan to benefit from India's fast growth and promote complementarities, including valuechain activities and investment potential.


Book
Export Diversification in Twelve European and Central Asian Countries and the Role of the Commodity Boom
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Year: 2013 Publisher: Washington, D.C., The World Bank,

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This paper examines export diversification along the product and market dimensions for selected countries in the Europe and Central Asia region and, more generally, export performance. While the latter is extraordinary, with average export growth rates above 10 percent, the evidence on diversification is less impressive, and hints at a role played by the interaction of natural resource abundance and the commodity price boom. A cross-country analysis including 171 economies suggests that the region's resource rich countries are less diversified than would be expected given their resource endowments, level of development, and size. The commodity boom period was associated with an increase in concentration for the resource rich along the product dimension: they did not increase the number of products exported and became more reliant on oil and gas. During the same period, the resource poor increased their export product scope while maintaining other concentration indices unchanged. A similar but milder pattern is found for diversification along the destination dimension.


Book
Constraints on Productivity and Investment in Indonesia's Manufacturing Sector : Survey-based Analysis of Business Constraints.
Authors: ---
Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Well-functioning markets, adequate infrastructure and simple and clearly defined regulations are some of the characteristics of a growth-enhancing business climate. In Indonesia, some of these elements are missing, which challenges firms' operations. This note discusses the main constraints that Indonesia's manufacturing firms face, shows that these differ depending on the nature of the firm and examines the effect of these constraints on firms' productivity and decisions to invest. It concludes that the poor business climate has substantial costs in terms of firms' productivity and growth. Some broad policy recommendations emerge, and are related to improving credit information, providing microfinance for productive start-ups, improving infrastructure particularly electricity and logistics, incentivizing training, increasing collective action on sharing knowledge, improving tax administration including shortening the time for Value Added Tax (VAT) refunds and duty drawbacks, as well as strengthening law enforcement on business contracts. Addressing these constraints is not merely a task for the Government of Indonesia, but also one for the private sector. It is the Government's responsibility to set clear business regulations, as well as improve the business environment, but it is the private sector's responsibility to take action on sharing knowledge and developing its clusters.


Book
Integration and Price Transmission in Key Food Commodity Markets in India
Authors: ---
Year: 2019 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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This paper examines patterns of market integration for food commodities in India. First, it tests the extent of domestic spatial market integration for retail and wholesale markets in 2006-14 and 2008-15, respectively, and looks at patterns of price transmission of shocks from international sources. Second, it measures vertical integration from wholesale to retail markets and tests for asymmetric speed of adjustment to shocks. Third, it examines the determinants of spatial integration. The results reveal that in India, food markets are imperfectly integrated across space, with the law of one price being systematically rejected, with heterogeneities across states and products. There is substantial co-movement between wholesale and retail prices, although integration is still imperfect in all commodities but one: rice, for which perfect vertical integration cannot be rejected. Retail prices adjust faster when wholesale prices rise than when wholesale prices fall. The analysis of the determinants of spatial integration reveals that prior to implementation of the Goods and Services Tax, the mere act of crossing a state border increased prices; unexploited gains from arbitrage persisted after considering the effects of transport costs; and information frictions and menu costs reduced market integration.


Book
Determinants of Market Integration and Price Transmission in Indonesia
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C., The World Bank,

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This paper investigates the determinants of price differences and market integration among Indonesian provinces, using data from retail cooking oil, rice and sugar markets during the period 1993-2007, and from wholesale maize and soybean markets during the period 1992-2006. The authors measure the degree of integration using co-integration techniques, and calculate average price differences. They use regression analysis to understand the drivers of price differences and market integration. For rice and sugar, they find wide market integration and low price differences, in the range of 5-12 percent. For maize, soybeans and cooking oil, they find less integration and higher price differences (16-22 percent). Integration across provinces is explained by the remoteness and quality of transport infrastructure of a province. Price differences across provinces respond to differences in provincial characteristics such as remoteness, transport infrastructure, output of the commodity, land productivity and income per capita.


Book
Deep Trade Agreement and Foreign Direct Investments
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Preferential trade agreements are growing in number and deepening in content by incorporating disciplines that go beyond market access. They increasingly encompass non-trade-related disciplines as diverse as intellectual property rights, environment laws, or labor market regulations. Moreover, because investment is complementary to trade, preferential trade agreements provide relevant institutional frameworks to partner countries that wish to regulate their foreign investments. This paper studies the impact of deep trade agreements on foreign direct investment and examines three sub-questions. First, is the impact of trade agreements on foreign direct investment heterogeneous across types of business activity Second, is this impact heterogeneous across disciplines covered in the agreements Third, does the level of development of home and host countries matter for this impact The analysis exploits the World Bank's data set on the content of preferential trade agreement and data on announcements of bilateral greenfield investment at the activity level. The findings show that deep trade agreements matter for investment: every additional discipline in a preferential trade agreement increases foreign direct investment by 1.4 percent, on average. Deep agreements do not impact foreign direct investment in natural resources and extractive activities and have heterogeneous effects across manufacturing- and services-related activities. The results also reveal that disciplines that go beyond the mandate the World Trade Organization matter more for foreign direct investment. Disciplines related to investment liberalization and protection, intellectual property rights, or migration increase foreign direct investment, whereas disciplines on labor market regulations reduce investment. The results are mostly driven by investment between developed and developing countries.

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