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Book
Domestic Competition, Cyclical Fluctuations, and Long-Run Growth in Hong Kong Sar
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ISBN: 1462395295 145276333X 1282061240 9786613799173 1451901437 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper provides an empirical assessment of the degree of competition in Hong Kong SAR using industry-level data. Although due to data limitations only approximate measures of competitiveness can be estimated, the results do suggest that Hong Kong SAR is as competitive as a typical OECD economy. The dramatic shift of the economy toward services over the last decade has also made it slightly less competitive on average. Imperfect competition is not leading to counter-cyclical markups and slower price adjustment as some theories predict, however, since markups are more pro-cyclical than in OECD countries. Lastly, markups are sufficiently imperfectly competitive in both Hong Kong SAR and the OECD to significantly downwardly bias growth accounting estimates of total factor productivity in Asian NICs vis-à-vis OECD countries.


Book
Does Transparency Reduce Favoritism and Corruption? Evidence from the Reform of Figure Skating Judging
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Year: 2012 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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Digital
Does Transparency Reduce Favoritism and Corruption? Evidence from the Reform of Figure Skating Judging
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Year: 2012 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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Transparency is usually thought to reduce favoritism and corruption by facilitating monitoring by outsiders, but there is concern it can have the perverse effect of facilitating collusion by insiders. In response to vote trading scandals in the 1998 and 2002 Olympics, the International Skating Union (ISU) introduced a number of changes to its judging system, including obscuring which judge issued which mark. The stated intent was to disrupt collusion by groups of judges, but this change also frustrates most attempts by outsiders to monitor judge behavior. I find that the "compatriot-judge effect", which aggregates favoritism (nationalistic bias from own-country judges) and corruption (vote trading), actually increased slightly after the reforms.


Digital
How Much Does Size Erode Mutual Fund Performance? A Regression Discontinuity Approach
Authors: ---
Year: 2010 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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The two main stylized facts in the mutual fund literature are that funds exhibit little ability to persistently outperform their peers, but new money flows into funds with the highest past returns. The traditional interpretations of these facts are that fund managers are unskilled and fund investors are unsophisticated. Berk and Green (2004) use a model that combines skilled managers with diseconomies of scale in asset management to challenge these interpretations. They argue that more-skilled managers will manage more assets but—-precisely because they manage more assets—-will generate the same expected future returns as less-skilled managers. In their model, standard cross-sectional regressions of fund returns on fund size will significantly underestimate diseconomies of scale. To identify the causal impact of mutual fund flows on performance, we exploit the fact that small differences in mutual fund returns can cause discrete changes in Morningstar ratings and, thereby, cause discrete differences in mutual fund flows. The diseconomies of scale that we estimate using this regression discontinuity approach are larger than those estimated in standard regressions, but generally smaller than assumed in Berk and Green—-or than are required to explain the low observed levels of performance persistence.


Digital
Wintertime for Deceptive Advertising?
Authors: ---
Year: 2012 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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Casual empiricism suggests that deceptive advertising about product quality is prevalent, and several classes of theories explore its causes and consequences. We provide some unusually sharp empirical evidence on the extent, mechanics, and dynamics of deceptive advertising. Ski resorts self-report substantially more natural snowfall on weekends. Resorts that plausibly reap greater benefits from exaggerating do it more. Data on website visits suggests that consumers are appropriately skeptical of weekend reports. We find little evidence that competition restrains or encourages exaggeration. Near the end of our sample period, a new iPhone application feature makes it easier for skiers share information on ski conditions in real time. Exaggeration falls sharply, especially at resorts with better iPhone reception.


Digital
Prediction markets
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Year: 2004 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. NBER

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Digital
Five open questions about prediction markets
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Year: 2006 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. NBER

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Prediction markets in theory and practice
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Year: 2006 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. NBER

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Interpreting prediction market prices as probabilities
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Year: 2006 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. NBER

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Book
Prediction markets in theory and practice.
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Year: 2006 Publisher: London Centre For Economic Policy Research, Financial Economics, Labour Economics And Public Policy. Discussion Paper Nr.5578. March 2006

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