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2008 (6)

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Digital
The seasonal adjustment of the harmonised index of consumer prices for the euro area : a comparison of direct and indirect methods
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Year: 2000 Publisher: Roma Banca d'Italia

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Book
A core inflation index for the for the euro area
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Year: 2002 Publisher: Roma Banca d'Italia

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Book
A real time coincident indicator of the euro area business cycle
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Year: 2001 Publisher: Roma Banca d'Italia

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Digital
Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise
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Year: 2008 Publisher: Brussels NBB

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Book
Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets : a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise
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Year: 2008 Publisher: Brussels National Bank of Belgium

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Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets : a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
Year: 2008 Publisher: Brussels National Bank of Belgium

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This paper evaluates different models for the short-term forecasting of real GDP growth in ten selected European countries and the euro area as a whole. Purely quarterly models are compared with models designed to exploit early releases of monthly indicators for the nowcast and forecast of quarterly GDP growth. Amongst the latter, we consider small bridge equations and forecast equations in which the bridging between monthly and quarterly data is achieved through a regression on factors extracted from large monthly datasets. The forecasting exercise is performed in a simulated real-time context, which takes account of publication lags in the individual series. In general, we find that models that exploit monthly information outperform models that use purely quarterly data and, amongst the former, factor models perform best.


Book
Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets : a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise.
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
Year: 2008 Publisher: Brussel National Bank of Belgium,

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This paper evaluates different models for the short-term forecasting of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in ten selected European countries and the euro area as a whole.


Digital
Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets : a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
Year: 2008 Publisher: Brussels National Bank of Belgium

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Digital
Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets : a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
Year: 2008 Publisher: Brussels National Bank of Belgium

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Abstract

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