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Book
Does Productivity Growth Lead to Appreciation of the Real Exchange Rate?
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462357946 1452720940 1282110195 1451902417 9786613803085 Year: 2003 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

We revisit the time-honored link between productivity and the real exchange rate. Consistent with the traditional view, we find that higher labor productivity tends to lead to appreciation of the real exchange rate. Contrary to the traditional view, however, we find that the positive productivity effect is transmitted through the real exchange rate based on tradable prices, rather than through relative prices between tradables and nontradables. Moreover, higher total factor productivity is found, if anything, to lead to depreciation of the real exchange rate. These last two pieces of evidence provide support for the emerging view that limited tradability of goods and services provides scope for the strategic pricing decision, which has material consequences for the aggregate real exchange rate.


Book
Economic and Environmental Benefits of Eliminating Log Export Bans—The Case of Costa Rica
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462346855 1452788545 1282044281 145190231X 9786613797421 Year: 2001 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

An increasing number of tropical timber producing nations have enacted bans on export of logs. Proponents argue that a log export ban is a second-best policy tool for addressing environmental externalities; it also creates more jobs and improves scale efficiencies domestically. Theoretical arguments suggest that log export bans are largely incapable of achieving their objectives. However, little quantitative evidence exists. The authors maintain that eliminating log export bans in Costa Rica could generate economic gains as high as $14 million annually in addition to the environmental benefits.


Book
A Bayesian Approach to Model Uncertainty
Author:
ISBN: 146232679X 1451995539 1281601586 9786613782274 1451895542 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper develops the theoretical background for the Limited Information Bayesian Model Averaging (LIBMA). The proposed approach accounts for model uncertainty by averaging over all possible combinations of predictors when making inferences about the variables of interest, and it simultaneously addresses the biases associated with endogenous and omitted variables by incorporating a panel data systems Generalized Method of Moments estimator. Practical applications of the developed methodology are discussed, including testing for the robustness of explanatory variables in the analyses of the determinants of economic growth and poverty.


Book
Inflation, Disinflation, and Growth
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462322751 1452794669 1283569698 1451895488 9786613882141 Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Although few would doubt that very high inflation is bad for growth, there is much less agreement about moderate inflation’s effects. Using panel regressions and a nonlinear specification, this paper finds a statistically and economically significant negative relationship between inflation and growth. This relationship holds at all but the lowest inflation rates and is robust across various samples and specifications. The method of binary recursive trees identifies inflation as one the most important statistical determinants of growth. Finally, while there are short-run growth costs of disinflation, these are only relevant for the most severe disinflations, or when the initial inflation rate is well within the single-digit range.


Book
Optimal Taxation in the Forestry Sector in the Congo Basin : The Case of Gabon
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ISBN: 1462338666 1452701679 1282649000 9786613822888 1451912692 Year: 2007 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper reviews forestry reform in the Congo basin, focusing on Gabon. It argues that the key challenge for the Congo basin countries is to manage their forests in a sustainable manner. It presents the current situation of forestry taxation and forestry reform in Gabon. The paper analyzes optimal taxation in the forestry sector using a static model. The model works from the proposition that tax policy should be used exclusively for revenue purposes and resource preservation should be achieved mainly through legislation and enforcement. It argues that when prices are uncertain the best practice is to tax only profits.


Book
Real Exchange Rates in Growing Economies : How Strong Is the Role of the Nontradables Sector?
Author:
ISBN: 1462331653 1452706778 1283485583 9786613823694 1451907885 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper emphasizes the importance of total factor productivity (TFP) developments in the nontradables sector to quantitatively demonstrate that the time-honored Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis does not generally apply to episodes of economic growth. Though the Balassa- Samuelson hypothesis postulates that strong economic growth should, in general, be accompanied by a real appreciation in exchange rates, this paper does not find such systematic links. This is because some growth spurts are marked by equal TFP gains in both the tradables and nontradables sectors, and others by larger TFP gains in the nontradables sector.


Book
Cambodia : Statistical Appendix.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1455285374 145279989X 1280885084 1451883102 9786613726391 Year: 2002 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discussions with government officials, is published at the option of the member country.


Book
Brunei Darussalam : Statistical Appendix.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1455285471 145270712X 1280919450 1451994028 9786613741653 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discussions with government officials, is published at the option of the member country.


Book
Cambodia : Statistical Appendix.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462316085 1452735328 1280888903 9786613730213 1451883129 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discussions with government officials, is published at the option of the member country.


Book
Republic of Mozambique : Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper: Economic and Social Plan for 2005.
Author:
ISBN: 1462348335 1452741352 128088357X 9786613724885 1451884907 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper discusses Mozambique’s Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper—Economic and Social Plan for 2005. In the international context, the paper presents the evolution of the international economy so as to understand under what economic conditions the country will have to implement its economic and social policy. It discusses the major macroeconomic objectives, and the evolution of the main economic indicators for Mozambique. The paper also presents the main policy measures to be implemented by the government, targets, and activities.

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