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Capital Account Liberalization and Economic Performance : Survey and Synthesis
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ISBN: 1462330746 1452751234 1282107232 1451899688 9786613800589 1451854285 Year: 2002 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper reviews and discusses issues involved in assessing the relationship between capital account liberalization and economic performance. First, it discusses the different measures of restrictions used in the literature. Second, it reviews the literature on the relationship between growth and capital account liberalization. Finally, it identifies and explains some of the differences in the results of the various studies and provides some support for a positive effect of capital account liberalization on growth, especially for developing countries.


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Sequencing Capital Account Liberalization : Lessons From the Experiences in Chile, Indonesia, Korea, and Thailand
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ISBN: 1462366015 145198538X 1282027565 9786613796554 145190259X Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines issues in sequencing and pacing capital account liberalization and draws lessons from experience in four countries (Chile, Indonesia, Korea, and Thailand). The paper focuses on the interrelationship between capital account liberalization, domestic financial sector reforms, and the design of monetary and exchange rate policy. It concludes that capital account liberalization should be approached as an integrated part of comprehensive reform strategies and should be paced with the implementation of appropriate macroeconomic and exchange rate policies.


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International Reserves : Precautionary vs. Mercantilist Views, Theory and Evidence
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ISBN: 1462326617 1452757224 1283516969 9786613829412 1451907532 1451862172 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper compares the importance of precautionary and mercantilist motives in the hoarding of international reserves by developing countries. Overall, empirical results support precautionary motives; in particular, a more liberal capital account regime increases international reserves. Theoretically, large precautionary demand for international reserves arises as a self-insurance to avoid costly liquidation of long-term projects when the economy is susceptible to sudden stops. The welfare gain from the optimal management of international reserves is of a first-order magnitude, reducing the welfare cost of liquidity shocks from a first-order to a second-order magnitude.


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The Speed of Adjustment and the Sequencing of Economic Reforms : Issues and Guidelines for Policymakers
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ISBN: 1462326692 1452749213 1282020056 9786613796141 1451900643 Year: 2002 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper reviews the issues involved in determining the appropriate speed of adjustment and the sequencing of economic reforms, focusing on considerations relevant to policymakers. It points out that the debate between the protagonists of a high-speed approach and those favoring a gradualist approach is based primarily on the weights given to adjustment costs, policy credibility, reform feasibility, and risk assessment. It underscores the importance of appropriate sequencing and the impact of sequencing on the speed of adjustment and reforms. The paper concludes by highlighting factors that policymakers should consider when selecting their approach toward speed and sequencing.


Book
Controlled Capital Account Liberalization : A Proposal
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ISBN: 1462327001 1452768501 1451975740 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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In this paper, we develop a proposal for a controlled approach to capital account liberalization for economies experiencing large capital inflows. The proposal essentially involves securitizing a portion of capital inflows through closed-end mutual funds that issue shares in domestic currency, use the proceeds to purchase foreign exchange from the central bank and then invest the proceeds abroad. This would eliminate the fiscal costs of sterilizing those inflows, give domestic investors opportunities for international portfolio diversification and stimulate the development of domestic financial markets. More importantly, it would allow central banks to control both the timing and quantity of capital outflows. This proposal could be part of a broader toolkit of measures to liberalize the capital account cautiously when external circumstances are favorable. It is not a substitute for other necessary policies such as strengthening of the domestic financial sector or, in some cases, greater exchange rate flexibility. But it could in fact help create a supportive environment for these essential reforms.


Book
Putting the Cart Before the Horse? Capital Account Liberalization and Exchange Rate Flexibility in China
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ISBN: 145523978X 1452762449 1451975457 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper reviews the issues involved in moving towards greater exchange rate flexibility and capital account liberalization in China. A more flexible exchange rate regime would allow China to operate a more independent monetary policy, providing a useful buffer against domestic and external shocks. At the same time, weaknesses in China’s financial system suggest that capital account liberalization poses significant risks and should be a lower priority in the short term. This paper concludes that greater exchange rate flexibility is in China’s own interest and that, along with a more stable and robust financial system, it should be regarded as a prerequisite for undertaking a substantial liberalization of the capital account.


Book
External Balance in Low Income Countries
Authors: --- --- --- ---
ISBN: 1451917880 1451873689 1282844253 9786612844256 1452792437 1462312373 Year: 2009 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper offers a coherent empirical analysis of the determinants of the real exchange rate, the current account, and the net foreign assets position in low income countries. The paper focuses on indicators specific to low income countries, such as the quality of policies and institutions, the special access to official external financing, and the role of shocks. In addition to more standard factors, we find that domestic financial liberalization is associated with higher current account balances and net foreign asset positions, while capital account liberalization is associated with lower current account balances and net foreign asset positions and with more appreciated real exchange rates. Negative exogenous shocks tend to raise (reduce) the current account in countries with closed (opened) capital accounts. Finally, foreign aid is progressively absorbed over time through net imports, and is associated with a more depreciated real exchange rate in the long-run.


Book
Who Benefits from Capital Account Liberalization? Evidence from Firm-Level Credit Ratings Data
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1451917791 1452759146 1282844164 1451873573 9786612844164 1462390064 Year: 2009 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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We provide new firm-level evidence on the effects of capital account liberalization. Based on corporate foreign-currency credit ratings data and a novel capital account restrictions index, we find that capital controls can substantially limit access to, and raise the cost of, foreign currency debt, especially for firms without foreign currency revenues. As an identification strategy, we exploit, via a difference-in-difference approach, within-country variation in firms' access to foreign currency, measured by whether or not a firm belongs to the nontradables sector. Nontradables firms benefit substantially more from capital account liberalization than others, a finding that is robust to a broad range of alternative specifications.


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Capital Account Liberalization, Capital Flow Patterns, and Policy Responses in the EU's New Member States.
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ISBN: 1462314503 145274713X 1283516543 9786613828996 1451907680 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper discusses the experience of the EU's eight new member countries (EU8) between 1995 and 2003 when the bulk of capital account liberalization took place, focusing on interest-rate-sensitive portfolio flows and financial flows. It takes stock of the lessons from capital flow patterns to draw policy conclusions. There were two distinct groups in terms of the speed of capital account liberalization: rapid liberalizers and cautious liberalizers. The speed of disinflation and the level of public debt were major determinants of the size of interest-rate-sensitive portfolio inflows. Monetary and exchange rate policies were the main instruments used to react to large interest-sensitive inflows, whereas fiscal tightening was seldom used as a direct reaction to inflows.


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Financial Fragility and Economic Performance in Developing Economies : Do Capital Controls, Prudential Regulation and Supervision Matter?
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ISBN: 1462387330 1452761361 1281376388 9786613779588 1451895321 Year: 1999 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Little empirical investigation exists of the links among capital account liberalization, prudential regulation and supervision, financial crises, and economic development, mainly because of the lack of comparable measures to describe regulatory practices for different countries. This paper examines empirically, albeit in a preliminary manner, these links using new measures of capital controls, prudential regulation, supervision, and depositors’ safety for a sample of 15 developing economies over the period 1990–97. Results confirm the importance of the degree of capital account convertibility and the regulatory and supervisory framework in affecting financial fragility and economic performance.

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