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Mathematical statistics --- Operational research. Game theory --- Bayes [Methode van ] --- Bayes [Méthode de ] --- Bayesian statistical decision theory --- Besluitvorming--Problemen --- Decision problems --- Décision [Prise de ]--Problèmes --- Décision statistique --- Methode van Bayes --- Méthode de Bayes --- Statistical decision --- Bayesian statistical decision theory. --- Game theory --- Operations research --- Statistics --- Management science --- Bayes' solution --- Bayesian analysis --- Statistical decision.

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A central problem of prescriptive decision making is the mismatch between the elegant formal models of decision theory and the less elegant, informal thinking of decision makers, especially when dealing with ill-structured situations. This problem has been a central concern of the authors and their colleagues over the past two decades. They have wisely (to my mind) realized that any viable solution must be informed by a deep understanding of both the structural properties of alternative formalisms and the cognitive demands that they impose on decision makers. Considering the two in parallel reduces the risk of forcing decision makers to say things and endorse models that they do not really understand. It opens the door for creative solutions, incorporating insights from both decision theory and cognitive psychology. It is this opportunity that the authors have so ably exploited in this important book. Under the pressures of an interview situation, people will often answer a question that is put to them. Thus, they may be willing to provide a decision consultant with probability and utility assessments for all manner of things. However, if they do not fully understand the implications of what they are saying and the use to which it will be put, then they cannot maintain cognitive mastery of the decision models intended to represent their beliefs and interests.

Besluitvorming --- Besluitvorming--Problemen --- Besluitvormingsanalyse --- Besluitvormingsprocessen --- Deciding --- Decision analysis --- Decision making --- Decision problems --- Decision processes --- Decision-making --- Décision [Prise de ] --- Décision [Prise de ]--Problèmes --- Décision [Théorie de la ] --- Décision statistique --- Making decisions --- Management decisions --- Management--Beslissingen --- Management--Besluitvorming --- Management--Decision making --- Prise de décision --- Statistical decision --- Théorie de la décision --- Decision Making --- Operations research. --- Decision making. --- Economic theory. --- Microeconomics. --- Operations Research/Decision Theory. --- Economic Theory/Quantitative Economics/Mathematical Methods. --- Price theory --- Economics --- Economic theory --- Political economy --- Social sciences --- Economic man --- Decision (Psychology) --- Management --- Choice (Psychology) --- Problem solving --- Operational analysis --- Operational research --- Industrial engineering --- Management science --- Research --- System theory --- Data processing. --- Game theory --- Operations research --- Statistics

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Planning (firm) --- Mathematical statistics --- Human medicine --- Analyse-méta --- Besluitvorming--Problemen --- Cost effectiveness --- Coûts-efficacité --- Decision problems --- Décision [Prise de ]--Problèmes --- Décision statistique --- Kostendoelmatigheid --- Meta-analyse --- Meta-analysis --- Méta-analyse --- Statistical decision --- Meta-Analysis as Topic --- Decision Support Techniques --- Cost-Benefit Analysis --- Medicine --- Decision making --- Meta-Analysis as Topic. --- Decision Support Techniques. --- Cost-Benefit Analysis. --- -Clinical sciences --- Medical profession --- Human biology --- Life sciences --- Medical sciences --- Pathology --- Physicians --- Benefit cost analysis --- Capital output ratios --- Cost benefit analysis --- Costs, Industrial --- Engineering economy --- Value analysis (Cost control) --- Psychometrics --- Social sciences --- Game theory --- Operations research --- Statistics --- Management science --- Analysis, Decision --- Clinical Prediction Rule --- Decision Aids --- Decision Support Technics --- Decision Analysis --- Decision Modeling --- Models, Decision Support --- Aid, Decision --- Aids, Decision --- Analyses, Decision --- Clinical Prediction Rules --- Decision Aid --- Decision Analyses --- Decision Support Model --- Decision Support Models --- Decision Support Technic --- Decision Support Technique --- Model, Decision Support --- Modeling, Decision --- Prediction Rule, Clinical --- Prediction Rules, Clinical --- Rule, Clinical Prediction --- Rules, Clinical Prediction --- Technic, Decision Support --- Technics, Decision Support --- Technique, Decision Support --- Techniques, Decision Support --- Clinical Decision-Making --- Decision Making --- Decision Making, Organizational --- Research --- Evaluation --- Statistical methods --- Cost effectiveness. --- Meta-analysis. --- Statistical decision. --- Meta-Analysis. --- Decision making. --- -Decision making --- Overviews, Clinical Trial --- Clinical Trial Overviews --- Data Pooling --- Clinical Trial Overview --- Data Poolings --- Meta Analysis as Topic --- Overview, Clinical Trial --- Clinical Trials as Topic --- Review Literature as Topic --- Statistics as Topic --- Models, Statistical --- Benefits and Costs --- Cost Benefit --- Cost Benefit Analysis --- Cost-Effectiveness Analysis --- Cost-Utility Analysis --- Costs and Benefits --- Economic Evaluation --- Marginal Analysis --- Cost Effectiveness --- Cost-Benefit Data --- Analyses, Cost Benefit --- Analyses, Cost-Benefit --- Analyses, Cost-Utility --- Analyses, Marginal --- Analysis, Cost Benefit --- Analysis, Cost-Benefit --- Analysis, Cost-Effectiveness --- Analysis, Cost-Utility --- Analysis, Marginal --- Cost Benefit Analyses --- Cost Benefit Data --- Cost Effectiveness Analysis --- Cost Utility Analysis --- Cost-Benefit Analyses --- Cost-Utility Analyses --- Data, Cost-Benefit --- Economic Evaluations --- Effectiveness, Cost --- Evaluation, Economic --- Evaluations, Economic --- Marginal Analyses --- Medicine - Decision making. --- Health Workforce --- Cost and Benefit --- Benefit and Cost --- Medicine - Decision making