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Are the Unemployed Unemployable?
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ISBN: 1462308635 1455282782 1281600245 1455216070 9786613780935 Year: 1994 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper develops a matching model of the labor market under wage rigidity when hiring decisions are irreversible. There are two types of workers, the skilled and the unskilled. The model is used to analyze whether technological advances may have increased unemployment. It is shown that it is likely to be so if they are associated with an increase in the productivity and/or the supply of skilled workers relative to unskilled workers. These effects are stronger when hiring decisions are more irreversible.


Book
Netherlands : Selected Issues.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462362443 1452705291 1280897171 9786613738486 1452736669 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This Selected Issues paper on the Kingdom of the Netherlands reviews the cyclical position of the Dutch economy, and provides a comparison of different estimates of the nonaccelerating inflation rate of unemployment and the potential output. The study analyzes the adjustment mechanisms embedded in the central projections of a number of forecasters, and investigates the sensitivity of the outlook to upside demand risks using macroeconometric models. The paper also evaluates the effect of changes in the monetary and fiscal policies, key features of labor, and asset markets.


Book
Netherlands : Selected Issues.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 146230897X 1452752710 1280975202 1463909578 9786613746818 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This Selected Issues paper examines Netherlands’ experience with macroeconomic and structural reforms. The reforms, which were introduced gradually and in a consultative manner, were comprehensive in their coverage. They included a credible monetary policy, based on a tight link to the deutsche mark; expenditure-based fiscal consolidation, which allowed reduction of the tax burden as well as the fiscal deficit; and measures to stimulate both the supply and the demand side of the labor market. The labor market and associated social security reforms focused on measures to strengthen labor supply as well as labor demand.


Book
Austria : Staff Report for the 2001 Article IV Consultation.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462387845 1451990774 1280896892 1452712581 9786613738202 Year: 2001 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Growth in the Austrian economy decelerated in mid-2000 in tandem with weaker activity in Europe after a vigorous expansion. Privatization of state holdings in commercial enterprises has continued, and liberalization of the electricity and gas markets is planned to be completed well ahead of EU deadlines. In light of pressures to reduce the tax burden and narrow the scope of the public sector’s direct economic involvement, Executive Directors recommended a long-term focus on the fiscal policy debate and encouraged the authorities for their civil service.


Book
Are Labor Market Indicators Telling the Truth? Role of Measurement Error in the U.S. Current Population Survey
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ISBN: 1498301614 1498300456 Year: 2019 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Labor market indicators are critical for policymakers, but measurement error in labor force survey data is known to be substantial. In this paper, I quantify the implications of classification errors in the U.S. Current Population Survey (CPS), in which respondents misreport their true labor force status. Once I correct for measurement error using a latent variable approach, the unemployment rate is on average 0.8 percentage points (ppts) higher than the official unemployment rate, with a maximum of 2.0 ppts higher between 1996 and 2018. This paper further quantifies the contributions to business-cycle fluctuations in the unemployment rate from job separation, job finding, and participation. Correcting for misclassification changes previous studies' results about the contributions of these transition probabilities: job separation accounts for more of the unemployment fluctuations, while participation accounts for fewer. The methodology I propose can be applied to any other labor force survey in which labor force status is observed for three periods.


Book
Exchange Rate Movements and Inflation Performance : The Case of Italy
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ISBN: 1462340962 1455246441 1281601861 145520496X 9786613782557 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper presents an empirical model to study the response of wages and prices to movements in the nominal exchange rate. A four-equation model is applied to Italian data to evaluate the response of tradeable goods prices, consumer prices, and wages following the lira’s exit from the ERM in the fall of 1992. The model tracks reasonably well the inflation performance of tradeables, especially import prices. But it is argued that structural changes in the labor market contribute to an overprediction of price and wage inflation.


Book
Deposit-Refundon Labor : A Solution to Equilibrium Unemployment?
Authors: ---
ISBN: 146236019X 1452791678 1281603864 9786613784551 1451890761 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The paper studies the employment effects of a deposit-refund scheme on labor in a simple search-theoretic model of the labor market. It is shown that if a firm pays a deposit to the government when it fires a worker, to be refunded when it employs the same or another worker, the vacancy rate increases and the unemployment rate declines. However, the scheme introduces rigidities in the labor market that may be undesirable in countries wanting to liberalize their labor markets.


Book
Alternative Models of Wage Dispersion.
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ISBN: 1462310486 1452795576 1282107755 9786613801104 1451906196 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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We analyze labor market models where the law of one price does not hold-that is, models with equilibrium wage dispersion. We begin by assuming workers are ex ante heterogeneous, and highlight a flaw with this approach: if search is costly, the market shuts down. We then assume workers are homogeneous, but matches are ex post heterogeneous. This model is robust to search costs, and it delivers equilibrium wage dispersion. However, we prove the law of two prices holds: generically, we cannot get more than two wages. We explore several other models, including one combining ex ante and ex post heterogeneity, which is robust and can deliver more than two-point wage distributions.


Book
Apartheid, Growth and Income Distribution in South Africa : Past History and Future Prospects
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462372112 1455248525 1282109766 9786613802651 1455200980 Year: 1991 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Estimates of a supply-side model of the nonprimary sectors, in which particular attention has been paid to modeling key characteristics of the evolution of the apartheid system, are presented. These imply that the wage differential between white and nonwhite workers doing similar jobs fell significantly over the last two decades to around 14 percent in 1990. This relatively small gap implies that medium-term prospects for the advancement of the disadvantaged groups in South Africa depend heavily on their ability to take up skilled employment, with the direct gains from the elimination of apartheid being relatively small.


Book
China's Labor Market Performance and Challenges.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462381952 1452739943 1283517612 9786613830067 1451919409 Year: 2003 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

A more market-oriented labor market has emerged in China in the past twenty years with growing importance of the urban private sector, as state-owned enterprises have downsized. Despite the progress on reforms, a sizable surplus of labor still exists in the rural sector and state-owned enterprises. The main challenge facing China’s labor market in coming years is to absorb the surplus labor into quality jobs while adjusting to World Trade Organization (WTO) accession. This paper estimates that if annual GDP growth averages 7 percent and the employment elasticity is one-half, urban unemployment could double to about 10 percent over the next three to four years. These pressures would be limited by stronger economic growth, especially in the private sector and more labor-intensive service industries which have generated the most jobs in recent years. Therefore, policy should focus on encouraging private sector development while reducing barriers to labor mobility, improving worker skills, upgrading job search services, and strengthening the social safety net.

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