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This book refutes the widely held convention that high turnout in national elections advantages Democratic candidates while low turnout helps Republicans. It examines over fifty years of presidential, gubernatorial, Senate, and House election data to show there is no consistent partisan effect associated with turnout. The overall relationship between the partisan vote and turnout for these offices is uncorrelated. Most significant, there is no observable party bias to turnout when each office or seat is examined through time. In some states, across the decades, gubernatorial and senatorial contests show a pro-Democratic bias to turnout; in others an increase in turnout helps Republicans. The pattern repeats for House elections during the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, and through the 2010s. The analysis demonstrates that, within the range that turnout varies in American elections, it is the participation and abstention of easily influenced, less engaged citizens - peripheral voters - that move the outcome between the parties. These voters are the most influenced when the short-term forces of the election - differential candidate appeal, issues, scandals, and so forth - help the parties. Since these influences advantage Republicans as often as Democrats, the oscillation in turnout that coincides with pro-GOP and pro-Democratic forces leaves turnout rates inconsequential overall. The connections between short-term forces and the election cycle dominate the inconsistent partisan effects of turnout.

Voter turnout --- Political participation --- Voting research --- Voting --- Voting behavior research --- Elections --- Election turnout --- Turnout (Voting) --- Voting turnout --- Research

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Analyzes methods for targeting potential supporters and getting them to the polls, especially in smaller-scale political contests. The most important element in every election is getting voters to the polls--these get-out-the-vote (GOTV) efforts make the difference between winning and losing office. With the first two editions of Get Out the Vote, Donald P. Green and Alan S. Gerber broke ground by introducing a new scientific approach to the challenge of voter mobilization that profoundly influenced how campaigns operate. Get Out the Vote has become the reference text for those who manage campaigns and study voter mobilization. In this expanded and updated edition, Green and Gerber incorporate data from more than 100 new studies, which shed new light on the cost-effectiveness and efficiency of various campaign tactics, including door-to door canvassing, email, direct mail, and telephone calls. Two new chapters focus on the effectiveness of registration drives and messaging tactics. The new Get Out the Vote will be available as the country gears up for the 2016 presidential campaign. This readable, practical guide on voter mobilization is sure to be an important resource for consultants, candidates, and grassroots organizations, as well as a valuable teaching tool in courses on campaigns and elections. -- Provided by publisher.

Internal politics --- United States --- Political campaigns --- Campaign management --- Voter registration --- Campagnes électorales --- Electeurs --- Gestion --- Inscription --- Campagnes électorales --- Voter turnout --- Election turnout --- Turnout (Voting) --- Voting turnout --- Voting --- #SBIB:324H50 --- #SBIB:324H42 --- #SBIB:328H31 --- #SBIB:309H271 --- Politieke participatie en legitimiteit (referenda, directe democratie, publieke opinie...) --- Politieke structuren: verkiezingen --- Instellingen en beleid: VSA / USA --- Politieke communicatie: toepassingsgebieden --- United States of America

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Although there is a widespread belief that uneven voter turnout leads to biased outcomes in American democracy, existing empirical tests have found few effects. By offering a systematic account of how and where turnout matters in local politics, this book challenges much of what we know about turnout in America today. It demonstrates that low and uneven turnout, a factor at play in most American cities, leads to sub-optimal outcomes for racial and ethnic minorities. Low turnout results in losses in mayoral elections, less equitable racial and ethnic representation on city councils, and skewed spending policies. The importance of turnout confirms long held suspicions about the under-representation of minorities and raises normative concerns about local democracy. Fortunately, this book offers a solution. Analysis of local participation indicates that a small change to local election timing - a reform that is cost effective and relatively easy to enact - could dramatically expand local voter turnout.

Local elections --- Voting --- Municipal government --- Cities and towns --- City government --- Municipal administration --- Municipal reform --- Municipalities --- Urban politics --- Local government --- Metropolitan government --- Municipal corporations --- County elections --- Elections, County --- Elections, Local --- Elections, Municipal --- Municipal elections --- Election law --- Elections --- Citizen participation. --- Government --- Law and legislation --- Voter turnout --- Election turnout --- Turnout (Voting) --- Voting turnout --- Social Sciences --- Political Science

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This book develops and empirically tests a social theory of political participation. It overturns prior understandings of why some people (such as college-degree holders, churchgoers and citizens in national rather than local elections) vote more often than others. The book shows that the standard demographic variables are not proxies for variation in the individual costs and benefits of participation, but for systematic variation in the patterns of social ties between potential voters. Potential voters who move in larger social circles, particularly those including politicians and other mobilizing actors, have more access to the flurry of electoral activity prodding citizens to vote and increasing political discussion. Treating voting as a socially defined practice instead of as an individual choice over personal payoffs, a social theory of participation is derived from a mathematical model with behavioral foundations that is empirically calibrated and tested using multiple methods and data sources.

Voting --- Political participation --- #SBIB:324H60 --- #SBIB:324H50 --- Citizen participation --- Community action --- Community involvement --- Community participation --- Involvement, Community --- Mass political behavior --- Participation, Citizen --- Participation, Community --- Participation, Political --- Political activity --- Political behavior --- Polls --- Social aspects. --- Social aspects --- Politieke socialisatie --- Politieke participatie en legitimiteit (referenda, directe democratie, publieke opinie...) --- Voter turnout --- Election turnout --- Turnout (Voting) --- Voting turnout --- Political rights --- Social participation --- Political activists --- Politics, Practical --- Elections --- Social choice --- Suffrage --- Social Sciences --- Political Science

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Voting is a habit. People learn the habit of voting, or not, based on experience in their first few elections. Elections that do not stimulate high turnout among young adults leave a 'footprint' of low turnout in the age structure of the electorate as many individuals who were new at those elections fail to vote at subsequent elections. Elections that stimulate high turnout leave a high turnout footprint. So a country's turnout history provides a baseline for current turnout that is largely set, except for young adults. This baseline shifts as older generations leave the electorate and as changes in political and institutional circumstances affect the turnout of new generations. Among the changes that have affected turnout in recent years, the lowering of the voting age in most established democracies has been particularly important in creating a low turnout footprint that has grown with each election.

Voter turnout --- Political participation --- Democracy --- Election turnout --- Turnout (Voting) --- Voting turnout --- Voting --- Citizen participation --- Community action --- Community involvement --- Community participation --- Involvement, Community --- Mass political behavior --- Participation, Citizen --- Participation, Community --- Participation, Political --- Political activity --- Political behavior --- Political rights --- Social participation --- Political activists --- Politics, Practical --- History --- Polls --- Elections --- Social choice --- Suffrage --- Vote --- Participation politique --- Démocratie --- Histoire --- Political sociology --- Political systems --- anno 1900-1999 --- anno 2000-2009 --- Social Sciences --- Political Science