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In this book, Michael W. Kramer applies uncertainty reduction theory (URT)--a key theory in current communication scholarship--to the context of organizational communication. Examining URT and the range of research applicable to organizational settings, Kramer proposes a groundbreaking theory of managing uncertainty (TMU), which synthesizes prior research while also addressing its criticisms. Examples are provided to illustrate the principles of the TMU at both the individual and collective (group/organizational) levels of analysis. Original studies based on the theory show that it provides a
Communication in organizations. --- Uncertainty (Information theory) --- Measure of uncertainty (Information theory) --- Shannon's measure of uncertainty --- System uncertainty --- Organizational communication --- Information measurement --- Probabilities --- Questions and answers --- Organization
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In this book Simon Parsons describes qualitative methods for reasoning under uncertainty, "uncertainty" being a catch-all term for various types of imperfect information. The advantage of qualitative methods is that they do not require precise numerical information. Instead, they work with abstractions such as interval values and information about how values change. The author does not invent completely new methods for reasoning under uncertainty but provides the means to create qualitative versions of existing methods. To illustrate this, he develops qualitative versions of probability theory, possibility theory, and the Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence. According to Parsons, these theories are best considered complementary rather than exclusive. Thus the book supports the contention that rather than search for the one best method to handle all imperfect information, one should use whichever method best fits the problem. This approach leads naturally to the use of several different methods in the solution of a single problem and to the complexity of integrating the results--a problem to which qualitative methods provide a solution.
Computer Science --- Engineering & Applied Sciences --- Qualitative reasoning. --- Uncertainty (Information theory) --- COMPUTER SCIENCE/Artificial Intelligence --- Measure of uncertainty (Information theory) --- Shannon's measure of uncertainty --- System uncertainty --- Information measurement --- Probabilities --- Questions and answers --- Artificial intelligence --- Reasoning
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Materials --- Mathematical models. --- Uncertainty (Information theory) --- Measure of uncertainty (Information theory) --- Shannon's measure of uncertainty --- System uncertainty --- Information measurement --- Probabilities --- Questions and answers --- Engineering --- Engineering materials --- Industrial materials --- Engineering design --- Manufacturing processes
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Soft Numerical Computing in Uncertain Dynamic Systems is intended for system specialists interested in dynamic systems that operate at different time scales. The book discusses several types of errors and their propagation, covering numerical methods--including convergence and consistence properties and characteristics--and proving of related theorems within the setting of soft computing. Several types of uncertainty representation like interval, fuzzy, type 2 fuzzy, granular, and combined uncertain sets are discussed in detail. The book can be used by engineering students in control and finite element fields, as well as all engineering, applied mathematics, economics, and computer science students. One of the important topics in applied science is dynamic systems and their applications. The authors develop these models and deliver solutions with the aid of numerical methods. Since they are inherently uncertain, soft computations are of high relevance here. This is the reason behind investigating soft numerical computing in dynamic systems. If these systems are involved with complex-uncertain data, they will be more practical and important. Real-life problems work with this type of data and most of them cannot be solved exactly and easily--sometimes they are impossible to solve. Clearly, all the numerical methods need to consider error of approximation. Other important applied topics involving uncertain dynamic systems include image processing and pattern recognition, which can benefit from uncertain dynamic systems as well. In fact, the main objective is to determine the coefficients of a matrix that acts as the frame in the image. One of the effective methods exhibiting high accuracy is to use finite differences to fill the cells of the matrix. Explores dynamic models, how time is fundamental to the structure of the model and data, and how a process unfolds Investigates the dynamic relationships between multiple components of a system in modeling using mathematical models and the concept of stability in uncertain environments Exposes readers to many soft numerical methods to simulate the solution function's behavior.
Soft computing. --- Cognitive computing --- Electronic data processing --- Computational intelligence --- Uncertainty (Information theory) --- Measure of uncertainty (Information theory) --- Shannon's measure of uncertainty --- System uncertainty --- Information measurement --- Probabilities --- Questions and answers
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Population forecasting --- Uncertainty (Information theory) --- Measure of uncertainty (Information theory) --- Shannon's measure of uncertainty --- System uncertainty --- Information measurement --- Probabilities --- Questions and answers --- Forecasting, Population --- Population --- Population projection --- Population projections --- Projection, Population --- Projections, Population --- Social prediction --- Statistical methods --- Forecasting --- Demography
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This book pulls together many perspectives on the theory, methods and practice of drawing judgments from panels of experts in assessing risks and making decisions in complex circumstances. The book is divided into four parts: Structured Expert Judgment (SEJ) current research fronts; the contributions of Roger Cooke and the Classical Model he developed; process, procedures and education; and applications.
Decision making --- Risk assessment --- Mathematical models. --- Probability. --- Uncertainty (Information theory). --- Measure of uncertainty (Information theory) --- Shannon's measure of uncertainty --- System uncertainty --- Information measurement --- Probabilities --- Questions and answers --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Combinations --- Mathematics --- Chance --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk
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