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A Comprehensive Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Strategy for The Netherlands
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Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The Netherlands has ambitious greenhouse gas emission reduction targets for the future - to cut them by 49 percent below 1990 levels by 2030 and 95 percent by 2050. These targets and the likely new EU-wide targets under the recent EU Green Deal entail a rapid acceleration in decarbonization. This paper discusses the government’s mitigation strategy and advances several recommendations to complement and reinforce that strategy and to achieve better alignement of the effective carbon prices across sectors. The paper discusses alternatives to make the recently-introduced industry carbon levy more effcient and recomends the use of revenue-neutral feebate schemes in industry, transportation, buildings, and agriculture. For power generation, it recommends eliminating taxes on residential and industrial electricity, supplementing the coal phaseout plan with an increase in the CO2 emissions floor price. The impacts of these reforms on consumption would be low and relatively evenly split across the income distribution.

Keywords

Netherlands, The


Book
Assessing Recent Climate Policy Initiatives in the Netherlands : NETHERLANDS
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
Year: 2023 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The Netherlands has committed to the EU’s ambitious targets for cutting greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 and emissions neutrality in 2050 but at the same time is also vulnerable to sea-level rise and flood risks. This paper reviews recent mitigation policy initiatives in the Netherlands, including carbon levies for the industry and power sectors, energy and car tax reforms, and air passenger taxes, and recommends some modifications to these initiatives. The paper also provides assessments of hazards and macroeconomic risks from weather shocks and climate change and assesses the adaption plan against key principles on mainstream climate change into macro-fiscal planning.

Keywords

Netherlands, The


Book
Dutch Inflation: Developments, Drivers, and the Risk of Wage-Price Spiral : NETHERLANDS
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Year: 2023 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Global inflation surged in 2022, driven by high gas price growth. With Russia being a key supplier of energy products, the start of the war in Ukraine has led to strong inflationary pressures in the euro area (EA), given the region’s significant exposure to the Russian gas. The price shock has been particularly strong in the Netherlands, largely due to the larger share of gas on the energy mix compared to other peers, making the country vulnerable to changing market conditions.

Keywords

Netherlands, The


Book
Assessing Dutch Fiscal and Debt Sustainability
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Year: 2020 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Although the Netherlands entered the so-called Great Lockdown with a strong fiscal position, the Dutch fiscal balance is projected to deteriorate by an unprecedented magnitude, largely as a result of necessary fiscal measures deployed to weather the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. This paper performs a stochastic analysis of risks to Dutch fiscal and debt sustainability over the next decade, taking into account alternative recovery scenarios and associated fiscal consolidation paths and also a range of macroeconomic shocks drawn from the historical experience of the Netherlands. The simulations show that even under significant downturn scenarios and assuming an initially less favorable fiscal position due to persistent economic effects of the pandemic, risks to the Dutch fiscal and debt sustainability would remain contained.

Keywords

Netherlands, The


Book
Real Estate in the Netherlands: A Taxonomy of Risks and Policy Challenges
Authors: ---
Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Soaring real estate prices and valuations despite the economic downturn brought by the pandemic have focussed the attention of Dutch policymakers on potential macro-financial and socio-economic implications. In this context, our paper reviews the salient features of Dutch commercial and residential real estate markets with an eye to identify pertinent risks and challenges. While we find that the Dutch authorities have made considerable strides to strengthen real estate-related policies in recent years, some, and partly long-standing, issues remain, requiring additional efforts to bolster financial stability, address housing supply shortages and manage secular changes affecting property markets.

Keywords

Netherlands, The


Book
A Balance-Sheet Analysis of the Dutch Economy
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Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The Dutch economy is characterized by substantial financial balance sheets in the private sector. Uncommonly large gross financial assets and liabilities are found in the financial sector, whereas households own significant net financial wealth. The large gross financial assets and liabilities reflect a dominant role of multinational corporations (MNCs). Despite their size, these financial positions have not brought significant financial stability risks to the country. On the other hand, Dutch households’ long balance sheets have been associated with depressed consumption and volatile real estate investment, which has probably exacerbated the cyclicality of the economy. The expected reform of the pension system is likely to change the way household balance sheets interact with private consumption.

Keywords

Netherlands, The


Book
Kingdom of the Netherlands–the Netherlands : Selected Issues.
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Year: 2023 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This Selected Issues paper explores the nature of the recent acceleration of inflation in the Netherlands, taking into consideration different perspectives. The paper also presents different measures of inflation and the methodological discrepancies among the indicators considered. It also presents an empirical assessment on the main drivers of inflation through the Phillips-Curve estimation. The paper also analyses the particularities of the Dutch energy mix compared to other EA peers, and the pass-through from wholesale to retail gas and electricity prices. In addition, as increasing inflation has raised concerns for a potential wage-price spiral, and presents empirical evidence on how the distribution of the total remuneration of productive factors—capital (profits) and labor (wages)—worked in the past. As risks of high inflation persistence increase, the effects of the loss of purchasing power for households will be also heterogeneous among different income quintiles, with unclear effects on demand and economic activity overall. The capacity of the Dutch economy to adapt to the new energy environment and to improve productivity is key to preserving employment, growth, and profits.

Keywords

Netherlands, The


Book
Kingdom of the Netherlands–the Netherlands : 2022 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Kingdom of the Netherlands–the Netherlands.
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Year: 2023 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The 2022 Article IV Consultation discusses that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is posing new challenges, but the Netherlands has suffered a smaller decline in the terms of trade compared to the rest of the euro area. Growth is projected to slow to 0.6 percent in 2023 from 4.2 percent in 2022, as high inflation weighs on consumption, external demand wanes, and financial conditions tighten. Over the medium term, growth will be underpinned by public investment and reforms. Headline inflation is expected to moderate in 2023 with the activation of the energy price ceiling, while core inflation is projected to peak in 2023 at about 7.3 percent. The fiscal deficit is projected to increase to 2.8 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2023, mainly reflecting government measures to cushion the impact of high-energy prices and the economic slowdown. However, the Dutch fiscal position remains strong, with the public debt to GDP ratio expected to remain below 50 percent over the medium term.

Keywords

Netherlands, The


Book
Fintech in Europe: Promises and Threats
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
Year: 2020 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Europe’s high pre-existing level of financial development can partly account for the relatively smaller reach of fintech payment and lending activities compared to some other regions. But fintech activity is growing rapidly. Digital payment schemes are expanding within countries, although cross-border and pan-euro area instruments are not yet widespread, notwithstanding important enabling EU level regulation and the establishment of instant payments by the ECB. Automated lending models are developing but remain limited mainly to unsecured consumer lending. While start-ups are pursuing platform-based approaches under minimal regulation, there is a clear trend for fintech companies to acquire balance sheets and, relatedly, banking licenses as they expand. Meanwhile, competition is pushing many traditional banks to adopt fintech instruments, either in-house or by acquisition, thereby causing them to increasingly resemble balanced sheet-based fintech companies. These developments could improve the efficiency and reach of financial intermediation while also adding to profitability pressures for some banks. Although the COVID-19 pandemic could call into question the viability of platform-based lending fintechs funding models given that investors could face much higher delinquencies, it may also offer growth opportunities to those fintechs that are positioned to take advantage of the ongoing structural shift in demand toward virtual finance.

Keywords

Netherlands, The


Book
Productivity in the Netherlands
Author:
Year: 2020 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Although GDP growth in the Netherlands has recently been stronger than in peer countries, the main contributor has been the growth in labor. If GDP is divided by labor, productivity growth appears to have been slower than in peers. This chapter discusses both exogenous and endogenous factors behind the disappointing productivity growth in the Netherlands and derives policy implications.

Keywords

Netherlands, The

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