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Book
Understanding the Costs of Deflation in the Japanese Context
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ISBN: 1462382959 1452748012 1283516950 9786613829405 1451919654 Year: 2003 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper examines the cost of deflation in the context of Japan's ongoing deflationary episode. The impact of deflation owing to the zero interest rate bound on monetary policy, wage rigidity, redistribution of wealth from debtor to creditor, and inflexibilities in the financial sector are examined. It is seen that the generalized decline in the Japanese price level, however gradual or mild, has substantially exacerbated the economy's adjustment process under already difficult economic conditions.


Book
Deflation and Public Finances : Evidence from the Historical Records
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1513566814 1513511092 Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines the impact of deflation on fiscal aggregates. With deflation relatively rare in modern history, it relies mostly on the historical records, using a dataset panel covering 150 years and 21 advanced economies. Empirical evidence shows that deflation affects public finances mostly through increases in public debt ratios, reflecting a worsening in interest rate–growth differentials. On average, a mild rate of deflation increases public debt ratios by almost 2 percent of GDP a year, this impact being larger during recessionary deflations. Using a simulation model that accounts for composition effects and price expectations, we also find that, for European countries, a 2 percentage point deflationary shock in both 2015 and 2016 would lead to a deterioration in the primary balance of as much as 1 percent of GDP by 2019.


Book
Dutch Inflation: Developments, Drivers, and the Risk of Wage-Price Spiral : NETHERLANDS
Authors: ---
Year: 2023 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Global inflation surged in 2022, driven by high gas price growth. With Russia being a key supplier of energy products, the start of the war in Ukraine has led to strong inflationary pressures in the euro area (EA), given the region’s significant exposure to the Russian gas. The price shock has been particularly strong in the Netherlands, largely due to the larger share of gas on the energy mix compared to other peers, making the country vulnerable to changing market conditions.

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