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Millions of Americans-including many experienced politicians-viewed Barack Obama through a prism of high expectations, based on a belief in the power of presidential persuasion. Yet many who were inspired by candidate Obama were disappointed in what he was able to accomplish once in the White House. They could not understand why he often was unable to leverage his position and political skills to move the public and Congress to support his initiatives. Predicting the Presidency explains why Obama had such difficulty bringing about the change he promised, and challenges the conventional wisdom about presidential leadership.In this incisive book, George Edwards shows how we can ask a few fundamental questions about the context of a presidency-the president's strategic position or opportunity structure-and use the answers to predict a president's success in winning support for his initiatives. If presidential success is largely determined by a president's strategic position, what role does persuasion play? Almost every president finds that a significant segment of the public and his fellow partisans in Congress are predisposed to follow his lead. Others may support the White House out of self-interest. Edwards explores the possibilities of the president exploiting such support, providing a more realistic view of the potential of presidential persuasion.Written by a leading presidential scholar, Predicting the Presidency sheds new light on the limitations and opportunities of presidential leadership.

Public opinion --- Presidents --- Political leadership --- Executive power --- Executive-legislative relations --- Political aspects --- Public opinion. --- Abraham Lincoln. --- Affordable Care Act. --- Barack Obama. --- Congress. --- Democrats. --- George W. Bush. --- ISIS. --- Internet. --- Lyndon B. Johnson. --- National Security Agency. --- Organizing for Action. --- Organizing for America. --- Republicans. --- Ronald Reagan. --- Social Security reform. --- Strategic Defense Initiative. --- Syria. --- White House. --- co-partisans. --- coalitions. --- cross-pressuring. --- expectations. --- framing. --- government shutdown. --- gun control. --- health care insurance. --- ideology. --- immigration policy. --- mandate. --- media. --- motivated reasoning. --- new media. --- opportunity structure. --- partisan identification. --- partisans. --- persuasion. --- power. --- predispositions. --- presidency. --- presidential leadership. --- presidential success. --- priming. --- public opinion. --- public policy. --- sequestration. --- signaling. --- social media. --- strategic assessments. --- strategic position. --- supporter mobilization. --- surveillance policy. --- taxation policy.

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Considers how research in psychology offers new perspectives on property law, and suggests avenues of reform Property law governs the acquisition, use and transfer of resources. It resolves competing claims to property, provides legal rules for transactions, affords protection to property from interference by the state, and determines remedies for injury to property rights. In seeking to accomplish these goals, the law of property is concerned with human cognition and behavior. How do we allocate property, both initially and over time, and what factors determine the perceived fairness of those distributions? What social and psychological forces underlie determinations that certain uses of property are reasonable? What remedies do property owners prefer? The Psychology of Property Law explains how assumptions about human judgement, decision-making and behavior have shaped different property rules and examines to what extent these assumptions are supported by the research. Employing key findings from psychology, the book considers whether property law’s goals could be achieved more successfully with different rules. In addition, the book highlights property laws and conflicts that offer productive areas for further behaviorally-informed research. The book critically addresses several topics from property law for which psychology has a great deal to contribute. These include ownership and possession, legal protections for residential and personal property, takings of property by the state, redistribution through property law, real estate transactions, discrimination in housing and land use, and remedies for injury to property.

Possessiveness. --- Property --- Acquisition of property. --- Things (Law) --- Possession (Law) --- Right of property. --- Property. --- Psychological aspects. --- Discrimination. --- Fair Housing Act. --- Lockean labor theory. --- Ownership. --- Possession. --- Preferences. --- Prejudice. --- Remedies. --- Schemas. --- Stereotype. --- Taxes. --- adaptation. --- adverse possession. --- anchoring. --- applied psychology. --- bailments. --- bankruptcy exemptions. --- behavioral law and economics. --- bounded rationality. --- bundle of rights. --- cognitive biases. --- cultural differences. --- debiasing. --- deception. --- dictator game. --- disparate impact. --- dual agency. --- eminent domain. --- endowment effect. --- expropriation. --- externalities. --- fair housing. --- family property. --- first possession. --- groupthink. --- homelessness. --- homes. --- homestead exemptions. --- identifiability effect. --- identity. --- implicit bias. --- in-kind redress. --- inequity aversion. --- injunctions. --- just compensation. --- legitimacy. --- liability rules. --- long-term tenants. --- mere ownership effect. --- monetary compensation. --- motivated reasoning. --- neighborhood associations. --- nudges. --- omission bias. --- optimism bias. --- overoptimism. --- ownership. --- participatory democracy. --- personal property. --- personhood theory. --- property rights. --- property rules. --- psychology-informed property law. --- quick take. --- redistribution. --- remedies. --- reparcellation. --- resource theory. --- self- help. --- self-serving bias. --- social norms. --- source dependence. --- sunk costs. --- takings. --- tenancy by the entirety. --- theories of private property. --- trespass. --- ultimatum game. --- undercompensation. --- well-being.

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