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Could understanding whether elections make people happy and bring them closure matter more than who they vote for? What if people did not vote for what they want but for what they believe is right based on roles they implicitly assume? Do elections make people cry? This book invites readers on a unique journey inside the mind of a voter using unprecedented data from the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, South Africa, and Georgia throughout a period when the world evolved from the centrist dominance of Obama and Mandela to the shock victories of Brexit and Trump. Michael Bruter and Sarah Harrison explore three interrelated aspects of the heart and mind of voters: the psychological bases of their behaviour, how they experience elections and the emotions this entails, and how and when elections bring democratic resolution.
Voting --- Elections --- Psychological aspects. --- Election Day. --- Homo suffragator. --- appropriation. --- ballot. --- choice. --- democratic citizen, voter physiology. --- democratic closure. --- dependent variables. --- electoral habits. --- electoral outcome. --- electorate. --- hope. --- individual-societal psarojection. --- participation. --- partisan identification. --- partisanship. --- projected efficacy. --- reconciliation. --- resolution. --- societal projection. --- voting.
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Millions of Americans-including many experienced politicians-viewed Barack Obama through a prism of high expectations, based on a belief in the power of presidential persuasion. Yet many who were inspired by candidate Obama were disappointed in what he was able to accomplish once in the White House. They could not understand why he often was unable to leverage his position and political skills to move the public and Congress to support his initiatives. Predicting the Presidency explains why Obama had such difficulty bringing about the change he promised, and challenges the conventional wisdom about presidential leadership.In this incisive book, George Edwards shows how we can ask a few fundamental questions about the context of a presidency-the president's strategic position or opportunity structure-and use the answers to predict a president's success in winning support for his initiatives. If presidential success is largely determined by a president's strategic position, what role does persuasion play? Almost every president finds that a significant segment of the public and his fellow partisans in Congress are predisposed to follow his lead. Others may support the White House out of self-interest. Edwards explores the possibilities of the president exploiting such support, providing a more realistic view of the potential of presidential persuasion.Written by a leading presidential scholar, Predicting the Presidency sheds new light on the limitations and opportunities of presidential leadership.
Public opinion --- Presidents --- Political leadership --- Executive power --- Executive-legislative relations --- Political aspects --- Public opinion. --- Abraham Lincoln. --- Affordable Care Act. --- Barack Obama. --- Congress. --- Democrats. --- George W. Bush. --- ISIS. --- Internet. --- Lyndon B. Johnson. --- National Security Agency. --- Organizing for Action. --- Organizing for America. --- Republicans. --- Ronald Reagan. --- Social Security reform. --- Strategic Defense Initiative. --- Syria. --- White House. --- co-partisans. --- coalitions. --- cross-pressuring. --- expectations. --- framing. --- government shutdown. --- gun control. --- health care insurance. --- ideology. --- immigration policy. --- mandate. --- media. --- motivated reasoning. --- new media. --- opportunity structure. --- partisan identification. --- partisans. --- persuasion. --- power. --- predispositions. --- presidency. --- presidential leadership. --- presidential success. --- priming. --- public opinion. --- public policy. --- sequestration. --- signaling. --- social media. --- strategic assessments. --- strategic position. --- supporter mobilization. --- surveillance policy. --- taxation policy.
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